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Lorenzo Musetti vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP French Open

ATP - ATP French Open

ATP 7 Italy
Lorenzo Musetti
06/06/2025 07:30
ATP 2 Spain
Carlos Alcaraz

Prediction :

 

Alcaraz to win in five sets

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP French Open Predictions

Carlos Alcaraz and Lorenzo Musetti will square off in the first semi-final at the French Open. This match marks the eighth meeting between the two, battling for the right to face Novak Djokovic or Jannik Sinner in the championship match. We have a prediction for this match below.

Musetti’s rise has gone from gradual to sporadic, and he will feel ready to take on the world No. 2. In the last round, the Italian lost the second set but recovered to beat Frances Tiafoe in four, for his fifth straight win.

After posting straight-set wins in the first two games, Musetti dropped a set in each of the last three. Understandably, it gets tougher as the competition progresses.

Alcaraz won in straight sets for the first time in four matches as he beat Tommy Paul in the quarters. He is also responsible for two of Musetti’s last three defeats.

Alcaraz beat the Italian at this same stage at the Rome Masters and at the Monte Carlo final. This dominance may breed comfort, but with his experience, Alcaraz will know Musetti comes baying for blood.

A run of 11 matches without defeat should offer Alcaraz the needed psychological boost. His opponent’s last four defeats were all inflicted by top-10 players, and this should also add to Alcaraz’s confidence.

He comes into this match holding a 6-1 head-to-head advantage.

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The Best Betting Odds for Lorenzo Musetti v Carlos Alcaraz Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
6 1.13
William Hill
5.5 1.14
Betway
6 1.12
Ladbrokes
5.5 1.13
Unibet
6.25 1.13
Check all Lorenzo Musetti vs Carlos Alcaraz odds
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Who will win the Lorenzo Musetti vs Carlos Alcaraz Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Lorenzo Musetti vs Carlos Alcaraz match is: Alcaraz to win in five sets.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Lorenzo Musetti vs Carlos Alcaraz game on 06/06/2025 of the current ATP French Open season:

  • Lorenzo Musetti has a 28.27% chance to win against Carlos Alcaraz according to Tonybet ⭐ with the odds of 6.6.
  • Carlos Alcaraz has a 71.73% probability of winning facing Lorenzo Musetti ⭐ with odds of 1.15 at Vbet.

Lorenzo Musetti vs Carlos Alcaraz Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Lorenzo Musetti has a 28.27 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Lorenzo Musetti28.27 %
Carlos Alcaraz71.73 %

Lorenzo Musetti vs Carlos Alcaraz Form

Lorenzo Musetti and Carlos Alcaraz Last Matches

Lorenzo Musetti Last matches
L W W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

3 Jun 2025 - ATP French Open

Lorenzo Musetti
3 :  1
Frances Tiafoe

1 Jun 2025 - ATP French Open

Lorenzo Musetti
3 :  1
Holger Rune

30 May 2025 - ATP French Open

Lorenzo Musetti
3 :  1
Mariano Navone

28 May 2025 - ATP French Open

Lorenzo Musetti
3 :  0
Daniel Elahi Galan

25 May 2025 - ATP French Open

Lorenzo Musetti
3 :  0
Yannick Hanfmann

16 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Carlos Alcaraz
2 :  0
Lorenzo Musetti
Carlos Alcaraz Last matches
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

3 Jun 2025 - ATP French Open

Tommy Paul
0 :  3
Carlos Alcaraz

1 Jun 2025 - ATP French Open

Ben Shelton
1 :  3
Carlos Alcaraz

30 May 2025 - ATP French Open

Damir Dzumhur
1 :  3
Carlos Alcaraz

28 May 2025 - ATP French Open

Fabian Marozsan
1 :  3
Carlos Alcaraz

26 May 2025 - ATP French Open

Giulio Zeppieri
0 :  3
Carlos Alcaraz

18 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Jannik Sinner
0 :  2
Carlos Alcaraz

Lorenzo Musetti vs Carlos Alcaraz Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Lorenzo Musetti

17 %

Carlos Alcaraz

83 %

16 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Carlos Alcaraz
2 :  0
Lorenzo Musetti

13 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Lorenzo Musetti
1 :  2
Carlos Alcaraz

26 Mar 2024 - ATP Miami

Carlos Alcaraz
2 :  0
Lorenzo Musetti

1 Oct 2023 - ATP Beijing Open

Carlos Alcaraz
2 :  0
Lorenzo Musetti

4 Jun 2023 - ATP French Open

Carlos Alcaraz
3 :  0
Lorenzo Musetti

24 Jul 2022 - ATP Hamburg Open

Carlos Alcaraz
1 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti
Compare Lorenzo Musetti and Carlos Alcaraz with our comparison tool.

Lorenzo Musetti - Carlos Alcaraz Key Points

  1. In three of his last four matches, Alcaraz dropped a set.
  2. Musetti lost one set in each of his last three matches.
  3. Alcaraz has won each of his previous 11 games.
  4. Alcaraz leads 6-1 in previous meetings with Musetti.
  5. Musetti failed to win a set in just three of his last 21 matches.
Up to $300 to bet on Lorenzo Musetti - Carlos Alcaraz! 

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Our Lorenzo Musetti vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction

The second-ever meeting at Roland Garros pitting Carlos Alcaraz and Lorenzo Musetti is here. This match finds both players in great shape, but Alcaraz might just have the slight edge. He is responsible for two of Musetti’s last three defeats and looks like the favorite again.

This time, though, he is struggling to win in straight sets, and Musetti might want to pounce. The Italian has momentum too, and we feel he will push Alcaraz. Our prediction for Lorenzo Musetti v Carlos Alcaraz is for Alcaraz to win in five sets.

Prediction :

 

Alcaraz to win in five sets

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Lorenzo Musetti vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction
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