France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Lens and Lille meet for the 103rd time in the topflight, in the Derby du Nord. The two sides are seven places apart in the Ligue 1 standings, with Lille second and Lens ninth. Let’s have a look at the match prediction below.
Two defeats in the opening four matches have left Lens already playing catch-up this early. The hosts have had trouble when facing top sides.
In their very first match of the season, Lens fell to Lyon 1-0 before picking up wins against Brest and Le Havre. Their return from the international break saw them suffer a 2-0 defeat handed down by the champions, PSG.
Lille have had a stable start and look like they potentially could challenge PSG’s dominance. They are coming off three straight wins, having started the season with a high-scoring draw away to Brest.
While they haven't been at their best defensively, Lille reorganized and haven't conceded three again. They have only one clean sheet in their last four matches, though.
Before leaving for the international break, Lille handed down a 7-1 beating to Lorient, and then they returned to a 2-1 win over Toulouse. Les Dogues are unbeaten in six matches against Lens, and they won each of the last three.
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The Best Betting Odds for Lens v Lille Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.2 | 3.5 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.38 | 3.4 | 3 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.3 | 2.88 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.4 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.23 | 3.6 | 3.1 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Lens and Lille?
Our prediction for the Lens vs Lille match is: Lille wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/09/2025 between Lens and Lille in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.25% for a win of Lens against Lille with odds of 2.4 at Bwin.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lens vs Lille is 19.56% with odds of 3.6 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 34.18% chance ⭐ for a win of Lille vs Lens with odds of 3.2 at Bet365.
Lens - Lille Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lens Lille Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lens wins | 46.25% | 2.4 at Bwin |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.43% | 1.81 at LSbet |
| Both Team To Score | 70% | |
| Half-time: Lille / Full-time: Lens | 18.35% | 26 at Betfair |
Lens vs Lille Form
Lens and Lille's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
22 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
|
4
|
20 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 10 |
Lens and Lille Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
24 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
24 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2025 - Ligue 1
4 May 2025 - Ligue 1
20 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
24 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
24 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
6 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2025 - Ligue 1
Lens vs Lille Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
33 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
29 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
8 Oct 2023 - Ligue 1
4 Mar 2023 - Ligue 1
9 Oct 2022 - Ligue 1
Players list
R. Risser
DefenderJ. Gradit
S. Baidoo
M. Sarr
S. Abdulhamid
M. Udol
MidfielderF. Sylla
A. Thomasson
ForwardF. Sotoca
M. Guilavogui
O. Edouard
B. Ozer
DefenderA. Mandi
N. Ngoy
C. Mbemba
C. Verdonk
MidfielderE. Mbappe
A. Bouaddi
N. Mukau
ForwardM. Fernandez
O. Sahraoui
H. Igamane
Substitutes
R. Gurtner
DefenderI. Ganiou
S. Abdulhamid
A. Bermont
F. Sylla
A. Sima
O. Edouard
M. Guilavogui
F. Sotoca
A. Bodart
DefenderC. Verdonk
T. Santos
M. Goffi
MidfielderO. Sahraoui
N. Mukau
A. Gomes
E. Mbappe
H. Igamane
Missing players
J. Chavez
D. Machado
M. Caillard
DefenderO. Toure
Alexsandro
T. Meunier
MidfielderU. Raghouber
Most goals and assists
Lens
Lille
O. Edouard
(4 Goals)
H. Igamane
(7 Goals)
A. Thomasson
(5 Assists)
F. Correia
(5 Assists)
Lens - Lille Key Points
- Lille have three straight wins against Lens.
- Lille are unbeaten in six matches against Lens.
- Lille are unbeaten this season and are on three straight wins.
- Lens lost two of their opening four matches.
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Our Lens vs Lille Prediction
Lens have struggled a bit when facing the big boys, and their next opponent fits that bill. The hosts have not only been dominated in this fixture but are also facing a side that has had a great run in the season so far.
Lille have three straight wins ahead of this match, and while they are looking to make it four, they will also seek a fourth straight win against Lens. Our prediction for Lens v Lille is that Lille wins the match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lens Lille
| Lens vs Lille | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lens wins | 2.38 | 2.2 | -7.6% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.5 | +2.9% |
| Lille wins | 2.88 | 3.2 | +11.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Lens is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 7.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 42.0% and is now 45.5% (3.4%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
