Germany - Bundesliga
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Daniel Ngulu | in Bundesliga Predictions
Leipzig hosts Hamburg when Bundesliga action returns after the international break. Placed third, Leipzig are looking to stay in the top four, while ninth-placed Hamburg are gunning for a third win of the season. Read on for our prediction of the match.
Leipzig will be defending their perfect home record in the Bundesliga this season. The hosts have fully recovered from their 6-0 defeat to Bayern Munich in the opening week.
They come into this game having drawn 1-1 with Borussia Dortmund for their fifth unbeaten outing. They are just five points behind leaders Bayern Munich and will hope to pick up from where they left off.
Hamburg have had a poor run in this fixture, and their recent improvement may come crashing down. In their opening three matches this season, they failed to score and lost twice.
However, they have collected seven points from their last three league games and will be looking to keep the momentum after this break. It is away from home, where their major problems reside.
Hamburg have no win on the road this season, posting three draws and a loss. They’ve actually failed to score in their three away matches in the league, while conceding five times. The last time they faced Leipzig was in a DFB Pokal game, which they lost 4-0.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
The Best Betting Odds for Leipzig v Hamburg Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.45 | 5 | 6 |
|
|
1.44 | 5 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.8 | 5.8 |
|
|
1.48 | 4.75 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.43 | 5.1 | 6 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Leipzig and Hamburg?
Our prediction for the Leipzig vs Hamburg match is: Leipzig to win to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/10/2025 between Leipzig and Hamburg in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 58.55% for a win of Leipzig against Hamburg with odds of 1.5 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Leipzig vs Hamburg is 20.25% with odds of 5.4 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 21.2% chance ⭐ for a win of Hamburg vs Leipzig with odds of 6.73 at 888Starz.
Leipzig - Hamburg Prediction and Best Odds:
| Leipzig Hamburg Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Leipzig wins | 58.55% | 1.5 at 22bet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.07% | 1.35 at Bwin |
| Both Team To Score | 45.83% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Leipzig/Leipzig | 34.26% | 2.1 at Bet365 |
Leipzig vs Hamburg Form
Leipzig and Hamburg's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
26 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 9 |
|
13
|
12 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -7 |
Leipzig and Hamburg Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
27 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
20 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
13 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
30 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
22 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
30 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - Bundesliga
3 May 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
27 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
13 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
22 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
16 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
20 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
13 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
24 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
20 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2025 - 2. Bundesliga
27 Apr 2025 - 2. Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
13 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
24 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
16 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Leipzig vs Hamburg Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
18 Oct 2022 - DFB Pokal
23 Apr 2019 - DFB Pokal
8 Sept 2017 - Bundesliga
Leipzig against Hamburg Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Missing players
B. Henrichs
K. Nedeljkovic
W. Omari
MidfielderB. Jatta
F. Vieira
Most goals and assists
Leipzig
Hamburg
C. Baumgartner
(9 Goals)
R. Philippe
(3 Goals)
Romulo
(3 Assists)
, 
D. Raum
(3 Assists)
, 
Y. Diomande
(3 Assists)
,
A. Ouedraogo
(3 Assists)
M. Muheim
(2 Assists)
Leipzig - Hamburg Key Points
- Hamburg failed to score in their last three away league matches.
- Leipzig have one loss in seven home league matches.
- In their latest match against Leipzig, Hamburg failed to score.
- In their last five league matches, Leipzig won four.
- Leipzig haven't lost to a newly promoted Bundesliga side in 37 matches.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Leipzig vs Hamburg Prediction
These two sides headed into the international break on good runs and will be looking to build on the same here. Playing at home, Leipzig will have the advantage, but Hamburg have been on the rise and will also be banking on the momentum.
The one area that could let Hamburg down is their attack. They haven't been scoring a lot, especially on the road. Hamburg are still searching for their first away goal in the league. Our prediction for RB Leipzig v Hamburg is for Leipzig to win to nil.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Leipzig Hamburg
| Leipzig vs Hamburg | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leipzig wins | 1.5 | 1.45 | -3.3% |
| Draw | 4.33 | 5 | +15.5% |
| Hamburg wins | 6 | 6 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Leipzig is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 66.7% and is now 69.0% (2.3%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Leipzig vs. Hamburg game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Leipzig and Hamburg? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Bundesliga! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
