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Legia Warsaw vs MKS Arka Gdynia Prediction & Betting Tips - Ekstraklasa

Poland - Ekstraklasa

Legia Warsaw
03/08/2025 14:15
MKS Arka Gdynia

Prediction :

 

Legia Warsaw win and over 1.5 goals

 
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 by Ita Emmanuel | in Football Predictions

Legia Warsaw clash with Arka Gdynia on Sunday in their second fixture in the 2025-26 Polish Ekstraklasa campaign. The Legionaries will aim to maintain their winning start to the season facing the Yellow and Blues. Here is our prediction for the match.

Legia Warsaw kicked off their campaign this season with a 1-0 victory over Kazakhstani club Aktobe in Europa League first qualifying round. They are unbeaten since then, winning six of their seven matches. 

This impressive run includes a 2-0 away win over Korona Kielce in the Ekstraklasa opener, and recently a 2-1 win over Ostrava in the second leg of the Europa League second qualifying round. They have won their last two competitive home matches and will aim to extend this winning streak as they host Arka Gdynia on Sunday. 

Arka Gdynia will be looking for their first win heading into this match. The newly promoted side lost 1-0 away to Motor Lublin in their opening match and were held to a 1-1 draw by Radomiak Radom in their second fixture.

Notably, the Gdynia-based outfit have struggled against Legia Warsaw in their recent encounters. They have lost their last three matches against the Polish giants, the most recent ending with a heavy 5-1 defeat. A win for Dawid Szwarga's side in Warsaw on Sunday could pass as one of the biggest upsets this season.

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The Best Betting Odds for Legia Warsaw v MKS Arka Gdynia Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.48 4.5 5.75
Betfred
1.5 4.5 5.5
William Hill
1.5 4.2 5.5
Betway
1.48 4.33 5.75
Unibet
1.45 4.75 5.8
Check all Legia Warsaw vs MKS Arka Gdynia odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Legia Warsaw and MKS Arka Gdynia?

Our prediction for the Legia Warsaw vs MKS Arka Gdynia match is: Legia Warsaw win and over 1.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/08/2025 between Legia Warsaw and MKS Arka Gdynia in Ekstraklasa :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.96% for a win of Legia Warsaw against MKS Arka Gdynia with odds of 1.55 at Melbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Legia Warsaw vs MKS Arka Gdynia is 25% with odds of 4.75 at Unibet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 24.04% chance ⭐ for a win of MKS Arka Gdynia vs Legia Warsaw with odds of 6.25 at Betobet.

Legia Warsaw - MKS Arka Gdynia Prediction and Best Odds:

Legia Warsaw MKS Arka Gdynia Prediction Probability Odds
Legia Warsaw wins 50.96% 1.55 at Melbet
Under 2.5 57.1% 2.38 at Betfred
Both Team To Score 40.48%
Half-time / Full-time : Legia Warsaw/Legia Warsaw 17.56% 2.3 at Betfair

Legia Warsaw vs MKS Arka Gdynia Form

Legia Warsaw and MKS Arka Gdynia's standings in the Ekstraklasa

Teams Pts P W D L GD
6
Legia Warsaw
Legia Warsaw
10 6 3 1 2 5
14
MKS Arka Gdynia
MKS Arka Gdynia
8 8 2 2 4 -5

Legia Warsaw and MKS Arka Gdynia Last Matches

Legia Warsaw
Legia Warsaw Last matches
W W W D W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

31 Jul 2025 - Europa League

Legia Warsaw
2 :  1
Banik Ostrava

27 Jul 2025 - Ekstraklasa

Korona Kielce
0 :  2
Legia Warsaw

24 Jul 2025 - Europa League

Banik Ostrava
2 :  2
Legia Warsaw

17 Jul 2025 - Europa League

FC Aktobe
0 :  1
Legia Warsaw

13 Jul 2025 - Super Cup

KKS Lech Poznan
1 :  2
Legia Warsaw

10 Jul 2025 - Europa League

Legia Warsaw
1 :  0
FC Aktobe
L D L W W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

31 Jul 2025 - Europa League

Legia Warsaw
2 :  1
Banik Ostrava

10 Jul 2025 - Europa League

Legia Warsaw
1 :  0
FC Aktobe

30 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Legia Warsaw
1 :  0
FK Jablonec

21 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Legia Warsaw
2 :  3
Wisla Plock

24 May 2025 - Ekstraklasa

Legia Warsaw
2 :  2
FKS Stal Mielec

11 May 2025 - Ekstraklasa

Legia Warsaw
0 :  1
KKS Lech Poznan
L D W W D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

27 Jul 2025 - Ekstraklasa

Korona Kielce
0 :  2
Legia Warsaw

24 Jul 2025 - Europa League

Banik Ostrava
2 :  2
Legia Warsaw

17 Jul 2025 - Europa League

FC Aktobe
0 :  1
Legia Warsaw

13 Jul 2025 - Super Cup

KKS Lech Poznan
1 :  2
Legia Warsaw

25 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Ludogorets
2 :  2
Legia Warsaw

18 May 2025 - Ekstraklasa

MKS Cracovia Krakow
3 :  1
Legia Warsaw
MKS Arka Gdynia
MKS Arka Gdynia Last matches
L W W W L D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

25 Jul 2025 - Ekstraklasa

MKS Arka Gdynia
1 :  1
RKS Radomiak Radom

20 Jul 2025 - Ekstraklasa

LKP Motor Lublin
1 :  0
MKS Arka Gdynia

5 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

MKS Arka Gdynia
2 :  0
MKS Chojniczanka Chojnice

2 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

MKS Arka Gdynia
2 :  0
MKS Pogon Szczecin

28 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

MKS Arka Gdynia
5 :  0
Miedz Legnica

21 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

GKS Tychy
2 :  0
MKS Arka Gdynia
W D W W W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

25 Jul 2025 - Ekstraklasa

MKS Arka Gdynia
1 :  1
RKS Radomiak Radom

5 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

MKS Arka Gdynia
2 :  0
MKS Chojniczanka Chojnice

2 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

MKS Arka Gdynia
2 :  0
MKS Pogon Szczecin

28 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

MKS Arka Gdynia
5 :  0
Miedz Legnica

18 May 2025 - 1 Liga

MKS Arka Gdynia
2 :  2
GKS Tychy

4 May 2025 - 1 Liga

MKS Arka Gdynia
2 :  1
Nieciecza
D D L W L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

20 Jul 2025 - Ekstraklasa

LKP Motor Lublin
1 :  0
MKS Arka Gdynia

21 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

GKS Tychy
2 :  0
MKS Arka Gdynia

25 May 2025 - 1 Liga

ZKS Stal Stalowa Wola
0 :  3
MKS Arka Gdynia

12 May 2025 - 1 Liga

Wisla Plock
1 :  0
MKS Arka Gdynia

26 Apr 2025 - 1 Liga

Pogon Siedlce
1 :  1
MKS Arka Gdynia

12 Apr 2025 - 1 Liga

Chrobry Glogow
2 :  2
MKS Arka Gdynia
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Legia Warsaw against MKS Arka Gdynia Lineups: Starting 11

Legia Warsaw

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
K. Tobiasz
30
P. Stojanovic
12
R. Pankov
55
A. Jedrzejczyk
23
P. Kun
25
R. Morishita
5
C. Goncalves
53
W. Urbanski
11
K. Chodyna
80
I. Shkurin
9
M. Alfarela
27
J. Abreu De Oliveira
22
D. Canseco
11
D. Kocyla
8
A. Sidibe
35
K. Jakubczyk
37
S. Kerk
33
D. Abramowicz
18
J. Celestine
29
M. Marcjanik
2
M. Navarro
77
D. Weglarz

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

MKS Arka Gdynia

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Legia Warsaw
CD Huachipato MKS Arka Gdynia
Top Goalscorer
Poland P. Wszolek (2 Goals)
Denmark M. Rajovic (2 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Spain E. Espiau (2 Goals)
Best assists
Armenia V. Bichakhchyan (1 Assists)
France M. Alfarela (1 Assists)
Poland A. Jedrzejczyk (1 Assists)
Poland P. Wszolek (1 Assists)
Slovenia P. Stojanovic (1 Assists)
Colombia J. Elitim (1 Assists)
Best assists
Germany S. Kerk (1 Assists)
Spain D. Canseco (1 Assists)
Poland D. Abramowicz (1 Assists)
Spain M. Navarro (1 Assists)

Legia Warsaw - MKS Arka Gdynia Key Points

  1. Legia Warsaw are unbeaten in their six matches this season, winning five.
  2. Seven of Legia Warsaw's last nine competitive matches have ended with at least two goals scored.
  3. Legia Warsaw have won their last two home competitive matches, both ended with at least two goals scored.
  4. Arka Gdynia have lost their last three Ekstraklasa encounters with Legia Warsaw, two of which ended with over 1.5 goals.
  5. Five of Arka Gdynia and Legia Warsaw's last six encounters ended with at least two goals scored.
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Our Legia Warsaw vs MKS Arka Gdynia Prediction

Arka Gdynia will face a huge task turning around their recent misfortunes against an in-form Legia Warsaw. They are winless in two Ekstraklasa matches this season and have lost their last three trips to Warsaw. Two of those defeats ended with at least two goals scored. 

Legia Warsaw are unbeaten in their last six matches, winning five. Notably, three of their last four victories have ended with over 1.5 goals, including five of their last six encounters with Arka Gdynia. Our Legia Warsaw vs Arka Gdynia prediction is Legia Warsaw win and over 1.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Legia Warsaw win and over 1.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Legia Warsaw MKS Arka Gdynia

Legia Warsaw vs MKS Arka Gdynia Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Legia Warsaw wins 1.44 1.48 +2.8%
Draw 4.5 4.5 0%
MKS Arka Gdynia wins 6.25 5.75 -8.0%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Legia Warsaw is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 2.8% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 69.4% and is now 67.6% (-1.9%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Legia Warsaw vs MKS Arka Gdynia Prediction
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