Poland - Ekstraklasa
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by Ita Emmanuel | in Football Predictions
Legia Warsaw clash with Arka Gdynia on Sunday in their second fixture in the 2025-26 Polish Ekstraklasa campaign. The Legionaries will aim to maintain their winning start to the season facing the Yellow and Blues. Here is our prediction for the match.
Legia Warsaw kicked off their campaign this season with a 1-0 victory over Kazakhstani club Aktobe in Europa League first qualifying round. They are unbeaten since then, winning six of their seven matches.
This impressive run includes a 2-0 away win over Korona Kielce in the Ekstraklasa opener, and recently a 2-1 win over Ostrava in the second leg of the Europa League second qualifying round. They have won their last two competitive home matches and will aim to extend this winning streak as they host Arka Gdynia on Sunday.
Arka Gdynia will be looking for their first win heading into this match. The newly promoted side lost 1-0 away to Motor Lublin in their opening match and were held to a 1-1 draw by Radomiak Radom in their second fixture.
Notably, the Gdynia-based outfit have struggled against Legia Warsaw in their recent encounters. They have lost their last three matches against the Polish giants, the most recent ending with a heavy 5-1 defeat. A win for Dawid Szwarga's side in Warsaw on Sunday could pass as one of the biggest upsets this season.
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The Best Betting Odds for Legia Warsaw v MKS Arka Gdynia Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.48 | 4.5 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.5 | 4.5 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.5 | 4.2 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.48 | 4.33 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.45 | 4.75 | 5.8 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Legia Warsaw and MKS Arka Gdynia?
Our prediction for the Legia Warsaw vs MKS Arka Gdynia match is: Legia Warsaw win and over 1.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/08/2025 between Legia Warsaw and MKS Arka Gdynia in Ekstraklasa :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.96% for a win of Legia Warsaw against MKS Arka Gdynia with odds of 1.5 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Legia Warsaw vs MKS Arka Gdynia is 25% with odds of 4.75 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 24.04% chance ⭐ for a win of MKS Arka Gdynia vs Legia Warsaw with odds of 6.05 at LSbet.
Legia Warsaw - MKS Arka Gdynia Prediction and Best Odds:
| Legia Warsaw MKS Arka Gdynia Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Legia Warsaw wins | 50.96% | 1.5 at Betfred |
| Under 2.5 | 57.1% | 2.38 at Betfred |
| Both Team To Score | 40.48% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Legia Warsaw/Legia Warsaw | 17.56% | 2.3 at Betfair |
Legia Warsaw vs MKS Arka Gdynia Form
Legia Warsaw and MKS Arka Gdynia's standings in the Ekstraklasa
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10
|
18 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | -13 |
|
11
|
17 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 1 |
Legia Warsaw and MKS Arka Gdynia Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jul 2025 - Europa League
27 Jul 2025 - Ekstraklasa
24 Jul 2025 - Europa League
17 Jul 2025 - Europa League
13 Jul 2025 - Super Cup
10 Jul 2025 - Europa League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jul 2025 - Europa League
10 Jul 2025 - Europa League
30 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
21 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
24 May 2025 - Ekstraklasa
11 May 2025 - Ekstraklasa
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Jul 2025 - Ekstraklasa
24 Jul 2025 - Europa League
17 Jul 2025 - Europa League
13 Jul 2025 - Super Cup
25 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2025 - Ekstraklasa
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jul 2025 - Ekstraklasa
20 Jul 2025 - Ekstraklasa
5 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
28 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
21 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jul 2025 - Ekstraklasa
5 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
28 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2025 - 1 Liga
4 May 2025 - 1 Liga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Jul 2025 - Ekstraklasa
21 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 May 2025 - 1 Liga
12 May 2025 - 1 Liga
26 Apr 2025 - 1 Liga
12 Apr 2025 - 1 Liga
Players list
K. Tobiasz
DefenderP. Stojanovic
R. Pankov
A. Jedrzejczyk
B. Kapustka
MidfielderA. Reca
C. Goncalves
W. Urbanski
V. Bichakhchyan
ForwardM. Rajovic
P. Wszolek
D. Weglarz
DefenderM. Navarro
M. Marcjanik
J. Celestine
D. Abramowicz
MidfielderA. Nguiamba
L. Perea
A. Sidibe
ForwardT. Gaprindashvili
E. Espiau
M. Predenkiewicz
Substitutes
M. Mendes-Dudzinski
DefenderJ. Ziolkowski
S. Kapuadi
M. Burch
R. Vinagre
MidfielderJ. Zewlakow
V. Bichakhchyan
P. Wszolek
R. Augustyniak
B. Kapustka
A. Reca
M. Rajovic
J. Grobelny
DefenderT. Gaprindashvili
P. Stolc
D. Zator
MidfielderH. Vitalucci
M. Predenkiewicz
A. Nguiamba
L. Perea
Kike
ForwardE. Espiau
Most goals and assists
Legia Warsaw
MKS Arka Gdynia
M. Rajovic
(3 Goals)
E. Espiau
(5 Goals)
B. Kapustka
(1 Assists)
,
R. Augustyniak
(1 Assists)
,
K. Urbanski
(1 Assists)
, 
J. Elitim
(1 Assists)
, 
P. Stojanovic
(1 Assists)
,
P. Wszolek
(1 Assists)
,
A. Jedrzejczyk
(1 Assists)
, 
M. Alfarela
(1 Assists)
, 
V. Bichakhchyan
(1 Assists)
M. Navarro
(3 Assists)
Legia Warsaw - MKS Arka Gdynia Key Points
- Legia Warsaw are unbeaten in their six matches this season, winning five.
- Seven of Legia Warsaw's last nine competitive matches have ended with at least two goals scored.
- Legia Warsaw have won their last two home competitive matches, both ended with at least two goals scored.
- Arka Gdynia have lost their last three Ekstraklasa encounters with Legia Warsaw, two of which ended with over 1.5 goals.
- Five of Arka Gdynia and Legia Warsaw's last six encounters ended with at least two goals scored.
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Our Legia Warsaw vs MKS Arka Gdynia Prediction
Arka Gdynia will face a huge task turning around their recent misfortunes against an in-form Legia Warsaw. They are winless in two Ekstraklasa matches this season and have lost their last three trips to Warsaw. Two of those defeats ended with at least two goals scored.
Legia Warsaw are unbeaten in their last six matches, winning five. Notably, three of their last four victories have ended with over 1.5 goals, including five of their last six encounters with Arka Gdynia. Our Legia Warsaw vs Arka Gdynia prediction is Legia Warsaw win and over 1.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Legia Warsaw MKS Arka Gdynia
| Legia Warsaw vs MKS Arka Gdynia | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legia Warsaw wins | 1.44 | 1.48 | +2.8% |
| Draw | 4.5 | 4.5 | 0% |
| MKS Arka Gdynia wins | 6.25 | 5.75 | -8.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Legia Warsaw is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 2.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 69.4% and is now 67.6% (-1.9%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
