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Leeds vs West Ham Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

England - Premier League

Leeds
24/10/2025 15:00
West Ham

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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 by Steve Ashfield in Premier League Predictions

Leeds United can move six points clear of the relegation zone if they win this match on Friday. The Whites are 16th in the Premier League and are home to West Ham who are down in 19th. Here's our match prediction.

It's an important game for both of these clubs. Leeds are currently three points above the drop zone after the first eight games of their return to the Premier League. As you will read in the form section of this preview, they have been beaten in their last two league fixtures and will be keen to avoid a third. United will also be keen to get back into winning ways at Elland Road with a victory this Friday.

West Ham have only Wolves below them in the table. They've already changed their coach this season but the arrival of Nuno Espirito Santo is yet to boost the club's fortunes. They remain in the bottom three and like their opponents have lost their last two league fixtures.

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The Best Betting Odds for Leeds v West Ham Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.83 3.4 4.33
Betfred
1.83 3.4 4
William Hill
1.85 3.4 4
Betway
1.83 3.6 4.2
Unibet
1.84 3.65 4.25
Check all Leeds vs West Ham odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Leeds and West Ham?

Our prediction for the Leeds vs West Ham match is: under 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/10/2025 between Leeds and West Ham in Premier League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.76% for a win of Leeds against West Ham with odds of 1.87 at Bwin.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Leeds vs West Ham is 32.42% with odds of 3.65 at Unibet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 28.82% chance ⭐ for a win of West Ham vs Leeds with odds of 4.33 at Bet365.

Leeds vs West Ham Form

Leeds and West Ham's standings in the Premier League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
16
Leeds
Leeds
8 8 2 2 4 -6
19
West Ham
West Ham
4 8 1 1 6 -12

Leeds and West Ham Last Matches

Leeds
Leeds Last matches
D L W D L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

18 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
2 :  0
Leeds

4 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  2
Tottenham

27 Sept 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
2 :  2
Bournemouth

20 Sept 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
1 :  3
Leeds

13 Sept 2025 - Premier League

Fulham
1 :  0
Leeds

30 Aug 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
0 :  0
Newcastle
D D W D D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

4 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  2
Tottenham

27 Sept 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
2 :  2
Bournemouth

30 Aug 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
0 :  0
Newcastle

18 Aug 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  0
Everton

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Leeds
1 :  1
AC Milan

2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Leeds
1 :  1
Villarreal
D L D L W L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

18 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
2 :  0
Leeds

20 Sept 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
1 :  3
Leeds

13 Sept 2025 - Premier League

Fulham
1 :  0
Leeds

26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup

Sheffield Wednesday
1 :  1
Leeds

23 Aug 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
5 :  0
Leeds

19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Manchester United
0 :  0
Leeds
West Ham
West Ham Last matches
W L L D L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

20 Oct 2025 - Premier League

West Ham
0 :  2
Brentford

4 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  0
West Ham

29 Sept 2025 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  1
West Ham

20 Sept 2025 - Premier League

West Ham
1 :  2
Crystal Palace

13 Sept 2025 - Premier League

West Ham
0 :  3
Tottenham

31 Aug 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  3
West Ham
W D L L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

20 Oct 2025 - Premier League

West Ham
0 :  2
Brentford

20 Sept 2025 - Premier League

West Ham
1 :  2
Crystal Palace

13 Sept 2025 - Premier League

West Ham
0 :  3
Tottenham

22 Aug 2025 - Premier League

West Ham
1 :  5
Chelsea

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

West Ham
1 :  1
Lille

30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

West Ham
2 :  1
Everton
W L L W D L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

4 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  0
West Ham

29 Sept 2025 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  1
West Ham

31 Aug 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  3
West Ham

26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup

Wolves
3 :  2
West Ham

16 Aug 2025 - Premier League

Sunderland
3 :  0
West Ham

3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Bournemouth
0 :  2
West Ham

Leeds vs West Ham Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Leeds

17 %

Draw

17 %

West Ham

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.33
Total goals
67%
BTTS
1.17
Goals scored (home team)
2.17
Goals scored (away team)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

21 May 2023 - Premier League

West Ham
3 :  1
Leeds

4 Jan 2023 - Premier League

Leeds
2 :  2
West Ham

16 Jan 2022 - Premier League

West Ham
2 :  3
Leeds

9 Jan 2022 - FA Cup

West Ham
2 :  0
Leeds

25 Sept 2021 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  2
West Ham

8 Mar 2021 - Premier League

West Ham
2 :  0
Leeds
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Leeds - West Ham: Form Analysis

Leeds United have earned eight points from as many games in the Premier League this season. They are three points clear of the relegation zone and four ahead of West Ham. Their most recent game saw them go down 2-0 at fellow-promoted side Burnley.

That followed a home loss to Tottenham, their first defeat in this season's Premier League at Elland Road. Before that defeat, they had beaten Everton and drew with Newcastle United and Bournemouth. 

A miserable start to the season for the Hammers.

It's been a dismal start to the season for West Ham United. Potter didn't last long after a string of defeats and in came Santo but little has changed. He's failed to get any wins in his first four games in charge of the Hammers.

Monday saw them lose 2-0 at home to Brentford. That meant they are yet to earn a home point this season after four games. It's been going a bit better on their travels with one win (at Notts Forest), a draw and two defeats.

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Leeds vs West Ham last Lineups

Leeds

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

26
K. Darlow
2
J. Bogle
6
J. Rodon
5
P. Struijk
3
G. Gudmundsson
8
S. Longstaff
4
E. Ampadu
18
A. Stach
11
B. Aaronson
9
D. Calvert-Lewin
20
J. Harrison
10
L. Paqueta
7
C. Summerville
18
M. Fernandes
20
J. Bowen
28
T. Soucek
39
A. Irving
30
O. Scarles
3
M. Kilman
25
J. Todibo
2
K. Walker-Peters
23
A. Areola

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

West Ham

Missing players

Leeds
Leeds
Forward

G. Wilfried

H. Gray

N. Okafor

West Ham
West Ham
Midfielder

G. Earthy

Forward

N. Fullkrug

Leeds & West Ham Squad Analysis

Both clubs need to reverse their current losing form. Leeds United will see this game as a chance to put even more daylight between them and the relegation zone. Their home form hasn't been too bad this season but like their opponents, they do need to start scoring more goals.

Injury problems for Leeds.

United have some injury problems ahead of this Premier League fixture. Both Noah Okafor and Wilfried Gnonto are considered to be very doubtful for Friday's match. There are also doubts over Harry Gray with Pascal Strujik and Ethan Ampadu ill.

Better news for them is that Daniel James has recovered well from making his return from the subs bench at Burnley and should play on Friday. This may well be a weekend where we find out just how strong a squad United possess. 

West Ham are still looking for their first win since the change of coach. They are only three points from safety but their -12 goal difference is hindering them. The Hammers will be without Konstantinos Mavropanos who was injured on Monday.

Ever since coming to England, Niclas Fullkrug has had plenty of injuries and he won't be playing against Leeds. El Hadji Malick Diouf and Aaron Wan-Bissaka are both likely to play at Elland Road. United will look to get at least a point from this fixture to avoid a third straight loss.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Leeds
CD Huachipato West Ham
Top Goalscorer
Switzerland N. Okafor (2 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England J. Bowen (3 Goals) Brazil L. Paqueta (3 Goals)
Best assists
England S. Longstaff (1 Assists)
England J. Bogle (1 Assists)
Germany A. Stach (1 Assists)
Best assists
Senegal E. Diouf (3 Assists)

Leeds and West Ham Stats in Premier League

Leeds
Leeds
West Ham
West Ham
25%
Wins
13%
25%
Draw
13%
50%
Losses
75%
2.5
Total goals per match
3
0.88
Goals scored per match
0.75
1.63
Goals conceded per match
2.25
50%
Over 2.5
63%
50%
Under 2.5
38%
38%
BTTS
38%
25%
Clean Sheet
13%

Leeds - West Ham Key Points

  1. Between them, these two clubs have played 16 league games and scored 13 goals.
  2. The last two West Ham away league games have seen under 2.5 goals scored.
  3. Four home Leeds United league games this season have only seen eight goals scored.
  4. There have been under 2.5 goals scored in each of the last three West Ham league fixtures.
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Our Leeds vs West Ham Prediction

West Ham often make a poor start to the season and it's been a real struggle this time around. They are one-from-bottom in the Premier League and have had more managers than league wins. All of their points this season have been earned on the road.

Leeds can't be too disappointed with their start. Eight points is a decent return and is keeping them out of the bottom three. Only seven league goals have been scored (one more than West Ham) in eight games. Our main Leeds v West Ham prediction is under 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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Leeds vs West Ham - Other Interesting Predictions

Draw

Odds 3.4
Leeds have been held to a draw in two of their four home league games this season. All of West Ham's points this season have come on the road.
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Leeds vs West Ham match : Frequently asked questions

This is the first Premier League game of the weekend. It takes place on Friday October 24 with a scheduled 20:00 UK time kick-off.
This is a home fixture for Leeds United. It will therefore be played at Elland Road in Leeds.
This Premier League game is going to be shown live on Sky Sports Main Event. You do need a subscription to view that channel. If you go to our Premier League livescore you can read updated statistics and live text commentary.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Leeds vs West Ham Prediction

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