England - Premier League
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Premier League Predictions
Saturday of Gameweek 7 starts with a bang as Leeds host Tottenham in the opening game of the Premier League this weekend. And with only three points separating these two sides, expect another thriller between these two. See our sharp pick in this Leeds and Tottenham prediction.
For us, the Tottenham to win bet offers much value. They've dominated the H2H in recent history, and the current difference in team quality is significant. Tottenham has beaten Leeds in their last four meetings, scoring 14 goals in those games. Moreover, winning for a Tottenham side that's only tasted defeat once over its nine games this season only seems more plausible.
In the league alone, Tottenham have played six games, winning three against Man City, West Ham, and Burnley. Also, Tottenham haven't lost an away game this season. In sharp contrast, Leeds have only won two of seven games this season, which included a 5-0 loss to Arsenal. However, this may not be a walk in the park as Leeds haven't lost a league game at home since September 2024.
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The Best Betting Odds for Leeds v Tottenham Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.7 | 3.5 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.88 | 3.4 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.4 | 2.4 |
|
|
2.7 | 3.4 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.85 | 3.5 | 2.4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Leeds and Tottenham?
Our prediction for the Leeds vs Tottenham match is: Tottenham to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/10/2025 between Leeds and Tottenham in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 25.51% for a win of Leeds against Tottenham with odds of 2.88 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Leeds vs Tottenham is 43.71% with odds of 3.69 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.78% chance ⭐ for a win of Tottenham vs Leeds with odds of 2.53 at 22bet.
Leeds vs Tottenham Form
Leeds and Tottenham's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 |
|
12
|
8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -3 |
Leeds and Tottenham Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sep 2025 - Premier League
20 Sep 2025 - Premier League
13 Sep 2025 - Premier League
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
23 Aug 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sep 2025 - Premier League
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
18 Aug 2025 - Premier League
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
28 Apr 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sep 2025 - Premier League
13 Sep 2025 - Premier League
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
23 Aug 2025 - Premier League
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 May 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Sep 2025 - Champions League
27 Sep 2025 - Premier League
24 Sep 2025 - Carabao Cup
20 Sep 2025 - Premier League
16 Sep 2025 - Champions League
13 Sep 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sep 2025 - Premier League
24 Sep 2025 - Carabao Cup
16 Sep 2025 - Champions League
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
16 Aug 2025 - Premier League
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Sep 2025 - Champions League
20 Sep 2025 - Premier League
13 Sep 2025 - Premier League
23 Aug 2025 - Premier League
13 Aug 2025 - Uefa Super Cup
7 Aug 2025 - Telekom Cup
Leeds vs Tottenham Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
0 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
28 May 2023 - Premier League
12 Nov 2022 - Premier League
26 Feb 2022 - Premier League
21 Nov 2021 - Premier League
8 May 2021 - Premier League
2 Jan 2021 - Premier League
Leeds - Tottenham: Form Analysis
It's no surprise that Tottenham have been much better than Arsenal form-wise, both in the Premier League and other competitions.
Because of the Champions League, Tottenham have played two extra games, and their mid-week 2-2 draw with Bodo/Glimt will leave Spurs with more tired legs entering this game. But despite the extra games and fewer resting periods, Tottenham has only lost one game this season.
So far in the 2025/26 season, Tottenham have played nine games, won five, drawn three, and lost one, recording 18 goals in that span.
Leeds, meanwhile, have been a mixed bag so far. While they've only won two of their six league games, they've also only lost two.
Leeds recorded an opening day win against Everton, then impressively held Newcastle and Bournemouth to home draws.
However, against a top-side like Tottenham, Leeds may just let up the same way The Whites did when they lost 5-0 to Arsenal in Round 2.
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Leeds vs Tottenham last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
L. Perri
ForwardG. Wilfried
R. Dragusin
K. Takai
C. Romero
MidfielderD. Kulusevski
J. Maddison
Y. Bissouma
ForwardD. Solanke
R. Kolo Muani
Leeds & Tottenham Squad Analysis
For a team that's managed to score only six goals and manage only two losses in six games, it's no surprise that Leeds’ highest-rated player is the goalkeeper.
The man in question, Karl Darlow, and his efforts between the sticks is what has helped the newly promoted side earn a 12th spot with just 3 points behind Tottenham.
Karl has conceded only four goals and made 9 saves in three matches, while being Leeds’ man of the match in their 1-0 away loss to Fulham. However, with the numbers Tottenham attackers are posting, they should feel confident of netting a few against Leeds.
Tottenham have scored the third most goals in the league, and Richarlison has contributed to over a third of those goals (4G/A).
Alongside Richarlison, Mohammed Kudus with 3 G/A and Brennan Johnson with 2 goals are ones the Leeds defense must watch out for.
But Spurs' success so far cannot be stated without the efforts of their defensive players. Tottenham have conceded the second-lowest number of goals (4), and they mostly have Guglielmo Vicario to thank.
Vicario, who is Tottenham’s highest-rated player so far according to SofaScore, has managed three clean sheets in six games, which is the second-highest.
Most goals and assists
Leeds
Tottenham
S. Longstaff
(1 Goals)
, 
J. Rodon
(1 Goals)
, 
N. Okafor
(1 Goals)
, 
A. Stach
(1 Goals)
,
D. Calvert-Lewin
(1 Goals)
,
J. Bogle
(1 Goals)
,
L. Nmecha
(1 Goals)
J. Palhinha
(3 Goals)
,
B. Johnson
(3 Goals)
, 
Richarlison
(3 Goals)
S. Longstaff
(1 Assists)
,
J. Bogle
(1 Assists)
,
A. Stach
(1 Assists)
M. Kudus
(3 Assists)
Leeds and Tottenham Stats in Premier League
Leeds - Tottenham Key Points
- Tottenham have won their last four games against Leeds.
- Tottenham scored four goals in both games in the last season Leeds featured in the Premier League.
- Leeds have won only two of their last seven games, with the latest coming against last-placed Wolves.
- Leeds lost 5-0 to Arsenal, showing their vulnerability against world class teams.
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Our Leeds vs Tottenham Prediction
It's going to be a tough task for Tottenham, especially as Leeds haven't lost a home league game in over a year. However, we still think this Tottenham side is up to the challenge despite their recent struggles.
The last four times they met saw Tottenham walking out victorious. And just like those times, Tottenham still boasts a much better lineup of players. What's more, Tottenham have only lost one of nine games while Leeds have won only two of seven this season. Hence, our Leeds vs Tottenham prediction is Tottenham to win.
Leeds vs Tottenham - Other Interesting Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Leeds vs. Tottenham game!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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