Leeds vs Manchester United Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Premier League Predictions
Leeds United’s push for survival is going on well after their New Year’s Day draw with Liverpool. They will be back at home this Sunday to welcome Manchester United in the Premier League. The Whites’ six-match unbeaten run in the league has them in 16th place, while Manchester United are sixth. Read on to find our prediction for this match.
While these two sides have been in the topflight together in just four seasons across the last 22, their fierce rivalry remains strong. Leeds United have, however, not beaten Manchester United in any of their last seven meetings. They will be pumped up for this even more after opening a seven-point gap from the relegation region.
Manchester United have had a few shaky results and will head to Elland Road with a question on their confidence levels. While Leeds manager Daniel Farke has lost three times against United, the visitors have been vulnerable and could end up struggling here.
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The Best Betting Odds for Leeds v Manchester United Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.6 | 3.3 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.4 | 2.6 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.25 | 2.62 |
|
|
2.55 | 3.5 | 2.65 |
|
|
2.63 | 3.4 | 2.6 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Leeds and Manchester United?
Our prediction for the Leeds vs Manchester United match is: BTTS & over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/01/2026 between Leeds and Manchester United in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 26.77% for a win of Leeds against Manchester United with odds of 2.8 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Leeds vs Manchester United is 33.1% with odds of 3.54 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 40.12% chance ⭐ for a win of Manchester United vs Leeds with odds of 2.77 at Shangrila.
Leeds vs Manchester United Form
Leeds and Manchester United's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
30 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
|
16
|
21 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | -7 |
Leeds and Manchester United Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jan 2026 - Premier League
28 Dec 2025 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
14 Dec 2025 - Premier League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
23 Nov 2025 - Premier League
24 Oct 2025 - Premier League
4 Oct 2025 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jan 2026 - Premier League
28 Dec 2025 - Premier League
14 Dec 2025 - Premier League
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
9 Nov 2025 - Premier League
1 Nov 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
26 Dec 2025 - Premier League
21 Dec 2025 - Premier League
15 Dec 2025 - Premier League
8 Dec 2025 - Premier League
4 Dec 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
26 Dec 2025 - Premier League
15 Dec 2025 - Premier League
4 Dec 2025 - Premier League
24 Nov 2025 - Premier League
25 Oct 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Dec 2025 - Premier League
8 Dec 2025 - Premier League
30 Nov 2025 - Premier League
8 Nov 2025 - Premier League
1 Nov 2025 - Premier League
19 Oct 2025 - Premier League
Leeds vs Manchester United Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
50 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Feb 2023 - Premier League
8 Feb 2023 - Premier League
20 Feb 2022 - Premier League
14 Aug 2021 - Premier League
25 Apr 2021 - Premier League
Leeds - Manchester United: Form Analysis
Leeds United haven't won a lot in their recent matches, but a six-game unbeaten run means they aren’t to be underrated. Across those six matches, they’ve beaten Chelsea and Crystal Palace while impressively drawing Liverpool twice.
In their most recent outing, the Whites held Liverpool to a 0-0 stalemate at Anfield. It is at home that they make things happen, having won 15 of their 21 points there. Leeds are currently unbeaten in their last three home games, winning twice, and they’ve scored 13 goals in the last five games they hosted. They only have to address the fact that they’ve kept zero clean sheets in the last seven home games.
Manchester United have lost 12 points from winning positions this season.
Manchester United won on their last two visits to Leeds United, a run they will hope to add to. There will be a tinge of desperation to it though, as the Red Devils are winless in four of their last six matches. They drew three and lost another of the four.
Right ahead of this game, the visitors were forced to a 1-1 draw at home against the bottom side in the league, Wolverhampton Wanderers. On the road in the last 10 outings, United posted just three wins and also lost as many.
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Leeds vs Manchester United last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
J. Rodon
MidfielderS. Longstaff
ForwardD. James
H. Maguire
M. De Ligt
N. Mazraoui
MidfielderK. Mainoo
B. Fernandes
A. Diallo
ForwardB. Mbeumo
Leeds & Manchester United Squad Analysis
Former Manchester United winger Dan James would have loved to feature in this game, but it comes too soon. The Welshman is out, having suffered a hamstring injury at the start of December. He misses alongside Joe Rodon, who is nursing an ankle injury.
Meanwhile, Ethan Ampadu is suspended, while Sebastiaan Bornauw remains a doubt. On a more positive note, Brenden Aaronson will be looked at to provide a spark in attack. Seven of his last eight goals for Leeds came in home matches.
Fernandes’ injury has denied Manchester United creativity in midfield.
Manchester United have in the recent weeks been forced to work with a depleted squad. The Red Devils have at least eight players out on either injury or international duty. Kobbie Mainoo, Bruno Fernandes, and Mason Mount are listed as doubtful.
Toby Collyer and Matthijs de Ligt are definite absentees, while Amad Diallo, Bryan Mbeumo, and Noussair Mazraoui are at the African Cup of Nations with their respective countries. Of all their absent men, Fernandes will be missed the most for his leadership and creative spark. The Portuguese is the club captain and has 12 goal involvements.
Most goals and assists
Leeds
Manchester United
D. Calvert-Lewin
(8 Goals)
B. Mbeumo
(7 Goals)
B. Aaronson
(3 Assists)
B. Fernandes
(7 Assists)
Leeds and Manchester United Stats in Premier League
Leeds - Manchester United Key Points
- Both teams scored in Leeds United’s last seven home matches.
- Each of Leeds’ last seven home matches had over 2.5 goals scored.
- Eight of Manchester United’s last 10 matches had both teams scoring.
- All of Manchester United’s last nine games had at least three goals scored.
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Our Leeds vs Manchester United Prediction
Much is said about Manchester United’s dominance in this fixture. However, they have never beaten Leeds United in three straight away matches. As they attempt that, there will be a greater need to address their defensive issues. Last time out, starting with a back five did not solve that problem.
We feel Leeds United will still be a handful, having scored 13 times in their last five home games. While Leeds have done well in attack, they are also harboring defensive concerns. Our prediction for Leeds United v Manchester United is BTTS & over 2.5 goals.
Leeds vs Manchester United - Other Interesting Predictions
Draw
Leeds United are unbeaten in their recent matches and will be fired up for this, looking to take advantage of Manchester United’s inconsistency. The Whites have also done well at home and hope this leads to an end of Manchester United’s dominance in this fixture.
While United haven't been at their best, they haven't lost a lot and will also take the game to Leeds. This looks like a game where spoils are likely to be shared. Our second prediction is for a draw.
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Leeds vs Manchester United - FAQs
The Leeds United v Manchester United match will be played on Sunday, 4th January.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
