Leeds vs Brentford Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Steve Ashfield | in Premier League Predictions
It's that time of year when Premier League games become even more important. 15th placed Leeds United are home to Brentford who are seventh in the table. Can the Whites get a home win to boost their survival hopes? Read our match prediction below.
Both clubs really need to win this game. Leeds begin this weekend just three points above the relegation zone. A win can take them five above 16th placed Spurs and six ahead of Nottingham Forest who are a place lower. Those two clubs meet on Sunday so at least one will be dropping points this weekend. Leeds will therefore want to take full advantage of this home fixture but aren't in the best of form.
Brentford are looking for points for a totally different reason. The Bees are still hopeful of qualifying for European competition next season. They will drop to eighth in the table if Everton beat Chelsea earlier on Saturday. If the Toffees drop points, Brentford can extend the two point lead they currently have over them. They too aren't in winning form though.
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Leeds v Brentford Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.38 | 3.55 | 3.05 |
|
|
2.45 | 3.38 | 2.86 |
|
|
2.45 | 3.38 | 2.86 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.5 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.44 | 3.4 | 2.78 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Leeds and Brentford?
Our prediction for the Leeds vs Brentford match is: draw or Brentford.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/03/2026 between Leeds and Brentford in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 26.36% for a win of Leeds against Brentford with odds of 2.58 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Leeds vs Brentford is 29.92% with odds of 3.55 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 43.72% chance ⭐ for a win of Brentford vs Leeds with odds of 3.15 at Shangrila.
Leeds - Brentford Prediction and Best Odds:
| Leeds Brentford Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Brentford wins | 43.72% | 3.15 at Shangrila |
| Under 2.5 | 52.15% | 2.85 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score: No | 56.67% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Brentford | 17.22% | 7.5 at Bet365 |
Leeds vs Brentford Form
Leeds and Brentford's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9
|
53 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | +3 |
|
14
|
47 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | -7 |
Leeds and Brentford Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - Premier League
8 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
15 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
6 Feb 2026 - Premier League
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - Premier League
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
15 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
10 Feb 2026 - Premier League
26 Jan 2026 - Premier League
11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Mar 2026 - Premier League
9 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
16 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Mar 2026 - Premier League
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
12 Feb 2026 - Premier League
25 Jan 2026 - Premier League
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
1 Jan 2026 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
16 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
1 Feb 2026 - Premier League
Leeds vs Brentford Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
67 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 Dec 2025 - Premier League
22 Jan 2023 - Premier League
3 Sept 2022 - Premier League
22 May 2022 - Premier League
5 Dec 2021 - Premier League
11 Feb 2020 - Championship
Leeds - Brentford: Form Analysis
Leeds United have only earned three points from their last five league games. With West Ham and even Spurs showing some signs of recovery, United have work to do to avoid an immediate return to the Championship.
The Yorkshire club drew 0-0 at Crystal Palace in their most recent EPL fixture. That wasn't a bad result considering they had a player sent off. United may be in the FA Cup quarter-finals but they have gone five league games without a win.
When will Leeds score again?
They have failed to score in their last three league games. Their last two home fixtures in the Premier League have been lost, again without scoring but they had won six at home this season before that.
Brentford are 13 points ahead of Leeds in the table but it should be 15. The Bees were 2-0 at home to Wolves on Monday but lost that lead and drew 2-2. Just one of their last five league matches has been won.
Earlier in the season they struggled on the road in the Premier League. Eight away league games have been lost by them this season but they are unbeaten in their last four. A win at Leeds will be their first since 2015 and their seventh in this season's Premier League.
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Leeds against Brentford Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Substitutes
L. Perri
DefenderS. Bornauw
MidfielderI. Gruev
S. Longstaff
A. Tanaka
J. Piroe
G. Wilfried
N. Okafor
D. James
H. Valdimarsson
DefenderJ. Stephenson
MidfielderC. McManus
R. Donovan
L. Bentt
ForwardD. Ouattara
K. Furo
O. Shield
R. Nelson
Missing players
R. Henry
A. Hickey
MidfielderJ. Da Silva
V. Janelt
F. Carvalho
A. Milambo
Leeds & Brentford Squad Analysis
Three of the last four Leeds United home league games have been lost. They failed to get on the scoresheet in each of those defeats and away at Palace last weekend.
Their good form seen in the final months of 2025 came when Dominic Calvert-Lewin was in good scoring form. There was talk of him playing again for England but the striker has gone cold with two goals this year. If Leeds are to stay out of the bottom three, then they need him to find his scoring boots again and get on the scoresheet more often.
United will be without Gabriel Gudmundsson for this game. He was controversially sent off at Palace last weekend. Noah Okafor has been out for four weeks but could be in the squad for this match.
Improved away form by the Bees.
Brentford drew 0-0 at Bournemouth in their most recent league game. If their recent league form had been shown earlier in the season, they'd be in the top five. Eight away league games were lost but they've had wins at Aston Villa, Newcastle and Burnley recently. Strangely, their once brilliant home form has gone downhill with no wins in four league games so away results are even more important.
Mikkel Damsgaard is doubtful for this match after being injured in Monday's home game against Wolves. Rico Henry and Vitaly Janelt will definitely miss this away league fixture.
Most goals and assists
Leeds
Brentford
D. Calvert-Lewin
(14 Goals)
I. Thiago
(22 Goals)
B. Aaronson
(5 Assists)
M. Damsgaard
(4 Assists)
, 
V. Janelt
(4 Assists)
Leeds - Brentford Key Points
- Brentford are unbeaten in their last four away league games.
- Leeds have gone five league matches without a win.
- Leeds have failed to score in their last two league games.
- Brentford have had recent away league wins at Aston Villa, Newcastle and Burnley.
- Leeds have lost three of their last four home games, all without scoring.
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Our Leeds vs Brentford Prediction
The ideal weekend for Leeds would be a home win and a draw between Spurs and Nottingham Forest. They are struggling for form though, especially in front of goal and at Elland Road. Three of their last four at Elland Road in the Premier League have been lost.
Brentford should have beaten Wolves on Monday but ended up only drawing. Their away form has improved in recent weeks with some good wins, particularly at Villa and Newcastle. Our main Leeds v Brentford prediction is draw or Brentford.
Leeds vs Brentford Alternative Predictions
Brentford wins
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Leeds Brentford
| Leeds vs Brentford | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds wins | 2.64 | 2.58 | -2.3% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.55 | -1.4% |
| Brentford wins | 2.79 | 3.15 | +12.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Brentford is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 12.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 35.8% and is now 31.7% (-4.1%)
Leeds vs Brentford - FAQs
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
