Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
Upon returning from the international break, Lecce will play host to Sassuolo in the seventh round of the Italian Serie A. Ninth-placed Sassuolo could rise into European slots with a win against their 15th-placed hosts. Read on to find our prediction for the match.
Lecce’s push for a first league win of the season ended in the last game as they beat Parma 1-0. That was enough to lift them from the drop zone.
Consecutive wins will not only push the team higher but also instill confidence ahead of even tougher matches. However, their home form leaves nothing to smile about. Salentini have one win in 14 home Serie A matches, losing nine.
The last meeting between these two sides was in the Coppa Italia, a match Sassuolo won 2-0. They lost 3-0 in their latest league match against Lecce, though, the only defeat in their last nine against this opponent.
Nonetheless, the visitors will approach this match as the favorites, having posted back-to-back wins in their last two matches.
I Neroverdi claimed a 1-0 win at Verona before the international break, registering their second clean sheet in the six league matches so far. They are on the verge of winning three league matches in a row for the first time since March 2023 and halt a poor away run as well.
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The Best Betting Odds for Lecce v Sassuolo Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.75 | 3.1 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.75 | 3.1 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.8 | 2.9 | 2.62 |
|
|
2.8 | 3 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.88 | 3.1 | 2.5 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Lecce and Sassuolo?
Our prediction for the Lecce vs Sassuolo match is: Sassuolo wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/10/2025 between Lecce and Sassuolo in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 36.84% for a win of Lecce against Sassuolo with odds of 3.05 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lecce vs Sassuolo is 23.14% with odds of 3.23 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 40.02% chance ⭐ for a win of Sassuolo vs Lecce with odds of 2.75 at Betfred.
Lecce - Sassuolo Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lecce Sassuolo Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo wins | 40.02% | 2.75 at Betfred |
| Under 2.5 | 53.28% | 2.22 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 44.17% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Sassuolo | 17.18% | 6 at Bet365 |
Lecce vs Sassuolo Form
Lecce and Sassuolo's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 2 |
|
14
|
13 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -7 |
Lecce and Sassuolo Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2025 - Serie A
28 Sept 2025 - Serie A
23 Sept 2025 - Coppa Italia
19 Sept 2025 - Serie A
14 Sept 2025 - Serie A
29 Aug 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Sept 2025 - Serie A
19 Sept 2025 - Serie A
29 Aug 2025 - Serie A
15 Aug 2025 - Coppa Italia
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2025 - Serie A
23 Sept 2025 - Coppa Italia
14 Sept 2025 - Serie A
23 Aug 2025 - Serie A
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 May 2025 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Oct 2025 - Serie A
28 Sept 2025 - Serie A
24 Sept 2025 - Coppa Italia
21 Sept 2025 - Serie A
14 Sept 2025 - Serie A
29 Aug 2025 - Serie A
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Sept 2025 - Serie A
14 Sept 2025 - Serie A
23 Aug 2025 - Serie A
15 Aug 2025 - Coppa Italia
23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
15 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Oct 2025 - Serie A
24 Sept 2025 - Coppa Italia
21 Sept 2025 - Serie A
29 Aug 2025 - Serie A
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Lecce vs Sassuolo Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
24 Sept 2024 - Coppa Italia
21 Apr 2024 - Serie A
6 Oct 2023 - Serie A
25 Feb 2023 - Serie A
20 Aug 2022 - Serie A
4 Jul 2020 - Serie A
Lecce against Sassuolo Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
G. Jean
M. Ignacio
MidfielderF. Marchwinski
H. Rafia
ForwardR. Sottil
Y. Paz Blandon
E. Pieragnolo
T. Muharemovic
MidfielderD. Boloca
Most goals and assists
Lecce
Sassuolo
M. Berisha
(2 Goals)
, 
L. Coulibaly
(2 Goals)
, 
K. N’Dri
(2 Goals)
A. Pinamonti
(4 Goals)
,
D. Berardi
(4 Goals)
M. Berisha
(3 Assists)
C. Volpato
(4 Assists)
Lecce - Sassuolo Key Points
- Lecce won once in the last 14 league outings.
- Lecce have only one win in the last nine matches against Sassuolo.
- Sassuolo are coming off three wins in the last four league matches.
- Sassuolo are unbeaten away to Lecce in their five previous meetings.
- Across all competitions, Lecce have suffered four losses in the last six games.
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Our Lecce vs Sassuolo Prediction
Lecce won their first league game before heading out for the international break. They will hope to build on that win, but such breaks can be disruptive, especially for a team with four wins in the last six matches.
Lecce have never beaten Sassuolo at home, and they meet a side with three wins in their last four outings. Sassuolo have only lost once in nine matches against Lecce, and we will back them here too. Our prediction for Lecce v Sassuolo is that Sassuolo wins the match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lecce Sassuolo
| Lecce vs Sassuolo | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lecce wins | 2.05 | 2.75 | +34.1% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 3.1 | -17.3% |
| Sassuolo wins | 3.25 | 2.7 | -16.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Sassuolo is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 16.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 30.8% and is now 37.0% (6.3%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Lecce vs. Sassuolo game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Lecce and Sassuolo when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Serie A!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
