Lecce vs Parma Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
Lecce meets Parma in an early kickoff match in the Italian Serie A this Sunday. The two sides sit side by side in the standings, with hosts Lecce a place below Parma, who are 15th with 18 points. Read on to find our prediction of this match.
Lecce are coming off a 2-0 home loss to AS Roma. That was their ninth league defeat of the season, and they’ve only managed four wins so far.
In three of their last five league games, Lecce failed to score, and jointly with Parma, they are the lowest scorers. The hosts have conceded four more goals than Parma, and that could be a concern for them.
Parma, like Lecce, are coming off a loss, their eighth of the season, and they’ve also managed just four wins so far. They fell 2-0 at home against Inter Milan and will be looking to rise from two winless outings here.
The visitors sit five points above the bottom three and are unbeaten in three away league games, winning two. Parma, winless in the last three meetings with Lecce, will be looking to inflict a third straight home loss on their hosts.
Having netted just 12 goals in the league, Carlos Cuesta knows that the only improvement they can get is through bettering the attack. They have an upper hand here, though, having won seven of their last available nine points on the road.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
The Best Betting Odds for Lecce v Parma Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.75 | 2.9 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.63 | 3 | 2.88 |
|
|
2.7 | 2.8 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.75 | 2.85 | 2.85 |
|
|
2.75 | 2.88 | 2.88 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Lecce and Parma?
Our prediction for the Lecce vs Parma match is: less than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/01/2026 between Lecce and Parma in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 34.25% for a win of Lecce against Parma with odds of 2.85 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lecce vs Parma is 27.22% with odds of 3 at Betfred.
- Our prediction model gives a 38.53% chance ⭐ for a win of Parma vs Lecce with odds of 2.98 at LSbet.
Lecce - Parma Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lecce Parma Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Parma wins | 38.53% | 2.98 at LSbet |
| Under 2.5 | 60.47% | 1.95 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 40.83% | 2.1 at Unibet |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Parma | 20.69% | 6.25 at Unibet |
Lecce vs Parma Form
Lecce and Parma's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
14
|
21 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | -8 |
|
16
|
17 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -14 |
Lecce and Parma Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jan 2026 - Serie A
3 Jan 2026 - Serie A
27 Dec 2025 - Serie A
12 Dec 2025 - Serie A
7 Dec 2025 - Serie A
30 Nov 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jan 2026 - Serie A
27 Dec 2025 - Serie A
12 Dec 2025 - Serie A
30 Nov 2025 - Serie A
8 Nov 2025 - Serie A
28 Oct 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jan 2026 - Serie A
7 Dec 2025 - Serie A
23 Nov 2025 - Serie A
2 Nov 2025 - Serie A
25 Oct 2025 - Serie A
4 Oct 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jan 2026 - Serie A
3 Jan 2026 - Serie A
27 Dec 2025 - Serie A
13 Dec 2025 - Serie A
8 Dec 2025 - Serie A
4 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jan 2026 - Serie A
27 Dec 2025 - Serie A
13 Dec 2025 - Serie A
29 Nov 2025 - Serie A
8 Nov 2025 - Serie A
2 Nov 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jan 2026 - Serie A
8 Dec 2025 - Serie A
4 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia
23 Nov 2025 - Serie A
29 Oct 2025 - Serie A
19 Oct 2025 - Serie A
Lecce vs Parma Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
4 Oct 2025 - Serie A
31 Jan 2025 - Serie A
21 Sept 2024 - Serie A
1 Nov 2023 - Coppa Italia
19 Mar 2022 - Serie B
7 Nov 2021 - Serie B
Lecce against Parma Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
C. Fruchtl
DefenderG. Jean
MidfielderH. Rafia
B. Pierret
ForwardM. Berisha
T. Morente
Z. Suzuki
DefenderN. Ndiaye
M. Lovik
ForwardM. Frigan
Most goals and assists
Lecce
Parma
N. Stulic
(2 Goals)
, 
L. Banda
(2 Goals)
, 
M. Berisha
(2 Goals)
, 
L. Coulibaly
(2 Goals)
, 
K. N’Dri
(2 Goals)
M. Pellegrino
(6 Goals)
M. Berisha
(3 Assists)
S. Britschgi
(2 Assists)
, 
A. Benedyczak
(2 Assists)
Lecce - Parma Key Points
- Parma have scored on average 0.66 goals per league match.
- In Serie A after 18 matches, Lecce has only scored 12 times.
- Each of Lecce’s last five matches had under 2.5 goals scored.
- Parma’s league matches have had 1.8 goals scored on average.
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Our Lecce vs Parma Prediction
Parma’s recent returns on the road are a source of encouragement for Carlos Cuesta’s men. They should be able to prevail against a Lecce side without a win in the last two home matches. For both sides though, the major worry is based on their attacking numbers.
They are the two lowest-scoring sides in the league, and this could be another encounter with few goals. Parma, who are the favorites here, saw on average 1.8 goals scored in their league matches. Based on such numbers, our prediction for Lecce v Parma is for less than 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lecce Parma
| Lecce vs Parma | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lecce wins | 2.9 | 2.75 | -5.2% |
| Draw | 2.88 | 2.9 | +0.7% |
| Parma wins | 2.6 | 2.8 | +7.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Parma is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 7.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 38.5% and is now 35.7% (-2.7%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Lecce vs. Parma game!
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Try your luck on this year's Serie A! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
