Lecce vs Genoa Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

Lecce
01/11/2026 11:00
Genoa

Prediction :

 

Genoa to win and under 2.5 goals

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions

Lecce and Genoa are determined to avoid another relegation battle, and an early rush for points is key. The two face off on matchday 10 action, Genoa 13th and Lecce 14th. Genoa have the momentum currently and will be the pick in our prediction.

Lecce’s bid to stabilize their wobbly campaign ended in more disarray in midweek. They were thrashed 5-1 at promoted Frosinone, marking the third time this season that they have conceded 3+.

Salentini will hope to avoid another such defeat, and that could pass here, as they haven’t conceded in the last two matches against Genoa. In nine league matches, Lecce have suffered six defeats.

Genoa will head into this game a more confident side, as they’ve opened up a five-point gap from the relegation region. That almost happened overnight; that's the reason we feel Il Grifone will be confident facing Lecce.

In the opening five games of the season, Genoa managed just one point, but all that changed in the last four outings. The visitors have posted three wins in their last four league outings, only losing to AS Roma, understandably.

Their most recent outing, though, was a big one, as they trounced Juventus 2-0, for their second straight win and clean sheet.

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Lecce v Genoa Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus
Stake
3.25 3.10 2.33
1xbet
3.40 3.17 2.46
Melbet
3.28 3.06 2.38
Betwinner
3.28 3.06 2.38
22bet
3.28 3.06 2.38
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What is the prediction for the football match between Lecce and Genoa?

Our prediction for the Lecce vs Genoa match is: Genoa to win and under 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/11/2026 between Lecce and Genoa in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 49.61% for a win of Lecce against Genoa with odds of 3.4 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lecce vs Genoa is 10.5% with odds of 3.17 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 39.89% chance ⭐ for a win of Genoa vs Lecce with odds of 2.47 at Shangrila.

Lecce vs Genoa Form

Lecce and Genoa's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
13 Genoa
10 9 3 1 5 -5
14 Lecce
9 9 3 0 6 -9

Lecce and Genoa Last Matches

Lecce
Lecce Last matches
W L L W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

29 Oct 2026 - Serie A

Frosinone
5 :  1
Lecce

25 Oct 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  2
Juventus

18 Oct 2026 - Serie A

Udinese
0 :  3
Lecce

11 Oct 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
1 :  2
Bologna

20 Sept 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  0
Lecce

13 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
3 :  2
Monza
W W L W L L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

25 Oct 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  2
Juventus

11 Oct 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
1 :  2
Bologna

13 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
3 :  2
Monza

31 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  4
Roma

9 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Lecce
1 :  0
SS Monopoli

29 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Lecce
5 :  2
NK Bistrica Slovenska Bistrica
L W L L W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
17% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

29 Oct 2026 - Serie A

Frosinone
5 :  1
Lecce

18 Oct 2026 - Serie A

Udinese
0 :  3
Lecce

20 Sept 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  0
Lecce

7 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari
1 :  0
Lecce

23 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Venezia
0 :  2
Lecce

17 Aug 2026 - Coppa Italia

Palermo
2 :  0
Lecce
Genoa
Genoa Last matches
L L W L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

28 Oct 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
2 :  0
Juventus

25 Oct 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  0
Venezia

17 Oct 2026 - Serie A

Roma
2 :  0
Genoa

10 Oct 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
2 :  1
Fiorentina

2 Oct 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Rapid Bucuresti 1923
2 :  0
Genoa

20 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Parma
2 :  1
Genoa
L D W W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

28 Oct 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
2 :  0
Juventus

25 Oct 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  0
Venezia

10 Oct 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
2 :  1
Fiorentina

15 Sept 2026 - Coppa Italia

Genoa
1 :  0
FC Sudtirol Bolzano

12 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  1
Frosinone

4 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  4
Como 1907
W L L L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
2.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

17 Oct 2026 - Serie A

Roma
2 :  0
Genoa

2 Oct 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Rapid Bucuresti 1923
2 :  0
Genoa

20 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Parma
2 :  1
Genoa

30 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  0
Genoa

4 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Bournemouth
10 :  1
Genoa

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Leicester
0 :  1
Genoa

Lecce vs Genoa Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Lecce

33 %

Draw

33 %

Genoa

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.33
Total goals
33.33%
BTTS
0.67
Goals scored
0.67
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

24 May 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
1 :  0
Genoa

23 Aug 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  0
Lecce

14 Mar 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
2 :  1
Lecce

5 Jan 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  0
Genoa

28 Jan 2024 - Serie A

Genoa
2 :  1
Lecce

22 Sept 2023 - Serie A

Lecce
1 :  0
Genoa
Lecce vs Genoa Prediction

Lecce vs Genoa last Lineups

Lecce

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

30
W. Falcone
5
J. Siebert
44
Tiago Gabriel
3
C. Ndaba
17
D. Veiga
14
Y. Maleh
79
O. Ngom
16
O. Gandelman
25
A. Gallo
99
J. Monteiro
22
P. Esteban
18
M. Osmajic
8
T. Baldanzi
9
V. Carvalho
77
M. Ellertsson
32
M. Frendrup
4
Amorim
3
K. Ehizibue
22
J. Vasquez
5
L. Ostigard
27
A. Marcandalli
1
J. Bijlow

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Genoa

Substitutes

Lecce
Lecce
Goalkeeper

M. Bleve

A. Borbei

Defender

A. Dembele

E. Scott

G. Jean

S. Fofana

Midfielder

O. Gorter

A. Ahmed Fatah

K. N’Dri

M. Kaba

Forward

N. Stulic

W. Geubbels

Genoa
Genoa
Goalkeeper

D. Sommariva

F. Stolz

Defender

S. Sabelli

M. Mitaj

L. Klisys

D. Puczka

S. Otoa

Midfielder

S. Wiafe

D. Sow

F. Meichtry

H. Traore

Forward

S. El Shaarawy

L. Colombo

J. Messias

R. Junior

Missing players

Lecce
Lecce
Defender

K. Gaspar

Midfielder

L. Coulibaly

I. Ilic

S. Pierotti

Forward

W. Geubbels

M. Berisha

Genoa
Genoa
Midfielder

S. Wiafe

Forward

M. Ellertsson

E. Havel

J. Nuredini

L. Venturino

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Lecce
CD Huachipato Genoa
Top Goalscorer
Portugal Tiago Gabriel (2 Goals) , 
Mali L. Coulibaly (2 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Montenegro M. Osmajic (3 Goals)
Best assists
Portugal D. Veiga (3 Assists)
Best assists
Italy L. Colombo (2 Assists)

Lecce and Genoa Stats in Serie A

Lecce
Lecce
Genoa
Genoa
33%
Wins
33%
67%
Losses
56%
0%
Draws
11%
3.22
Average goals per match
2.33
1.11
Goals scored per match
0.89
2.11
Goals conceded per match
1.44
33%
Under 2.5 goals
67%
67%
Over 2.5 goals
33%
22%
No goals conceded
22%
33%
BTTS
44%

Lecce - Genoa Key Points

  1. Genoa have posted three wins in four league matches.
  2. Genoa have scored 0.88 goals in Serie A on average.
  3. Lecce have managed 1.11 goals per game in Serie A.
  4. Lecce have suffered four defeats in five league games.
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Our Lecce vs Genoa Prediction

Four times in the last six matches between these teams, under 2.5 goals were scored. That has been the norm in this game, and the low scoring returns the teams are having at the moment aren’t a surprise. The two sides’ average goals in the league this season are below 2.0, and we don’t expect anything spectacular here.

Genoa are currently in good form, but their attack has averaged 0.88 goals. They face Lecce, who are winless in four of the last five matches, with a low goal average as well. Our prediction for Lecce v Genoa is for Genoa to win and under 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Genoa to win and under 2.5 goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.