Lazio vs Genoa Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

Lazio
30/01/2026 14:45
Genoa

Prediction :

 

Draw

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions

Lazio meets Genoa in the opening match of the 23rd round in the Italian Serie A. Heading into the game, hosts Lazio have slipped to ninth in the standings, while improving Genoa are 13th. Read on to find our prediction of this clash.

Lazio have lately struggled against teams below them in the standings and are coming off two winless outings. Their most recent game was against Lecce, and that ended in a 0-0 draw.

It was their eighth draw of the season, and Lazio have only won seven times in 22 matches so far. Lately their home form hasn’t been encouraging either; Biancocelesti failed to win any of the last five games they hosted.

Genoa have lately found this match tough to win, but going by their recent performances, they’ll have a level of confidence coming here. The visitors lost all their latest five matches against Lazio but come into this one on a five-game unbeaten run.

They posted two wins in those five outings, with the latest one seeing them overcome Bologna 3-2 at home. That was only their third win in 10 matches, though.

With it, Grifone managed to open up a six-point gap from the bottom three. Now on 23 points, mid-table looks like Genoa’s next target, but they have to improve on a three-game winless run on the road. 

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Lazio v Genoa Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.31 3 3.85
Melbet
2.25 2.8 3.98
Betwinner
2.2 2.9 3.96
Bet365
2.25 2.9 3.7
Roobet
2.2 2.82 3.9
Check all Lazio vs Genoa odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Lazio and Genoa?

Our prediction for the Lazio vs Genoa match is: draw.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 30/01/2026 between Lazio and Genoa in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.88% for a win of Lazio against Genoa with odds of 2.31 at Stake.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lazio vs Genoa is 41.01% with odds of 3 at Stake.
  • Our prediction model gives a 23.11% chance ⭐ for a win of Genoa vs Lazio with odds of 4.17 at 888Starz.

Lazio - Genoa Prediction and Best Odds:

Lazio Genoa Prediction Probability Odds
Draw 41.01% 3 at Stake
Under 2.5 54.84% 1.8 at Stake
Both Team To Score: No 56.25%
Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw 19.88% 4 at Bet365

Lazio vs Genoa Form

Lazio and Genoa's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
9 Lazio
54 38 14 12 12 +1
16 Genoa
41 38 10 11 17 -10

Lazio and Genoa Last Matches

Lazio
Lazio Last matches
D L D W L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

24 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  0
Lazio

19 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  3
Como 1907

11 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
0 :  1
Lazio

7 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
2 :  2
Fiorentina

4 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  2
Napoli

27 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Udinese
1 :  1
Lazio
W D D L D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

19 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  3
Como 1907

7 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
2 :  2
Fiorentina

4 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  2
Napoli

20 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  0
Cremonese

7 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  1
Bologna

4 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia

Lazio
1 :  0
AC Milan
L L W D W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

24 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  0
Lazio

11 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
0 :  1
Lazio

27 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Udinese
1 :  1
Lazio

13 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  1
Lazio

29 Nov 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Lazio

9 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
2 :  0
Lazio
Genoa
Genoa Last matches
L D D W D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

25 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
3 :  2
Bologna

18 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  0
Genoa

12 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
3 :  0
Cagliari

8 Jan 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  1
Genoa

3 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  1
Pisa SC

29 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Roma
3 :  1
Genoa
W L L D W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

25 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
3 :  2
Bologna

12 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
3 :  0
Cagliari

3 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  1
Pisa SC

21 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  1
Atalanta

14 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  2
Inter Milan

29 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
2 :  1
Hellas Verona
D L W L D D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

18 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  0
Genoa

8 Jan 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  1
Genoa

29 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Roma
3 :  1
Genoa

8 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Udinese
1 :  2
Genoa

3 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia

Atalanta
4 :  0
Genoa

22 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Cagliari
3 :  3
Genoa

Lazio vs Genoa Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Lazio

83 %

Draw

0 %

Genoa

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.83
Total goals
0%
BTTS
1.67
Goals scored
0.17
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

29 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  3
Lazio

23 Apr 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  2
Lazio

27 Oct 2024 - Serie A

Lazio
3 :  0
Genoa

19 Apr 2024 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  1
Lazio

5 Dec 2023 - Coppa Italia

Lazio
1 :  0
Genoa

27 Aug 2023 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  1
Genoa
Lazio vs Genoa Prediction

Lazio against Genoa Lineups: Starting 11

Lazio

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

94
I. Provedel
77
A. Marusic
34
M. Gila
25
O. Provstgaard
3
L. Pellegrini
24
K. Taylor
32
D. Cataldi
26
T. Basic
18
G. Isaksen
9
Pedro
27
D. Maldini
9
Vitinha
29
L. Colombo
3
A. Martin
77
M. Ellertsson
32
M. Frendrup
17
R. Malinovskyi
15
B. Norton Cuffy
22
J. Vasquez
5
L. Ostigard
27
A. Marcandalli
16
J. Bijlow

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

Genoa

Substitutes

Lazio
Lazio
Goalkeeper

A. Furlanetto

E. Motta

Defender

N. Tavares

L. Pellegrini 82'

E. Hysaj

Midfielder

R. Belahyane

F. Dele-Bashiru

K. Taylor 81'

N. Rovella

M. Vecino

M. Lazzari

Forward

T. Noslin

G. Isaksen 88'

P. Ratkov

D. Maldini 72'

M. Cancellieri

Pedro 73'

B. Dia

M. Zaccagni

Genoa
Genoa
Goalkeeper

D. Sommariva

N. Leali

Defender

S. Otoa

N. Zatterstrom

S. Sabelli

A. Celik Kumer

Midfielder

P. Masini

R. Malinovskyi 87'

J. Onana

H. Cuenca

M. Cornet

Vitinha 80'

M. Thorsby

Forward

C. Ekuban

L. Colombo 80'

J. Ekhator

J. Messias

A. Martin 68'

J. Nuredini

Missing players

Lazio
Lazio
Defender

Patric

S. Gigot

Genoa
Genoa

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Lazio
CD Huachipato Genoa
Top Goalscorer
Denmark G. Isaksen (5 Goals)
Spain Pedro (5 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Italy L. Colombo (7 Goals)
Best assists
Argentina T. Castellanos (3 Assists)
Croatia T. Basic (3 Assists)
Best assists
Spain A. Martin (4 Assists)

Lazio - Genoa Key Points

  1. Genoa are unbeaten in five matches, three being draws.
  2. Genoa played to two draws in their latest two away matches.
  3. Across their last nine league matches, Lazio posted five draws.
  4. Both Lazio and Genoa have drawn more than they’ve won in Serie A.
  5. Lazio are winless in their last five home matches, having drawn three.
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Our Lazio vs Genoa Prediction

This fixture has in recent times gone in favor of Lazio, but going by their recent run of form, things could change here. They come here winless in their last five home games, three having ended in draws. The same result has been recorded in five of their last nine league matches.

Genoa have also been sharing spoils in most of their recent matches, and there’s reason to expect the same here. These two sides have drawn more than they’ve won in the league, and our prediction for Lazio v Genoa is for a draw.

Prediction :

 

Draw

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lazio Genoa

Lazio vs Genoa Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Lazio wins 2.03 2.31 +13.8%
Draw 3.2 3 -6.3%
Genoa wins 4.3 4.17 -3.0%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • A draw is the most likely outcome
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 6.3% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 31.3% and is now 33.3% (2.1%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.