Kilmarnock vs Livingston Prediction & Betting Tips - Scottish Premiership
Scotland - Scottish Premiership
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by Thobelani Moyo | in Scottish Premiership Predictions
Kilmarnock are set to host newly-promoted Livingston at Rugby Park in the curtain raiser of the 2025-26 Scottish Premiership. Let's head into the match prediction.
Kilmarnock finished in ninth place in the regular season and were able to secure a third-place finish in the relegation round. This was undeniably a downgrade for a team that had finished in fourth place in the championship round in the 2023-24 Scottish Premiership season.
Killie have made all necessary preparations for the 2025-26 Scottish Premiership. They have undergone four competitive matches in the Scottish League Cup. Their performance was nothing short of impressive as they won three of the available four games to top Group H.
Last time out, they saw off the threat of East Fife by romping to a commanding 4-0 home victory.
Livingston have made an immediate return to the Scottish Premiership after being relegated in the 2023-24 season.
The West Lothian club won promotion to the Scottish Premiership by beating Ross County 4-2 in the second leg of the promotion playoffs. In the first leg, the result ended in a 1-1 draw.
Livi have also been involved in the Scottish League Cup. They were placed in the same group as Kilmarnock, who handed them their only defeat as they won three to finish as runners-up in Group H. Their recent match was a dominant 6-0 home victory against Kelty Hearts.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
The Best Betting Odds for Kilmarnock v Livingston Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.2 | 3.4 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.38 | 3.3 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.25 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.07 | 3.55 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.3 | 3 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Kilmarnock and Livingston?
Our prediction for the Kilmarnock vs Livingston match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/08/2025 between Kilmarnock and Livingston in Scottish Premiership :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.55% for a win of Kilmarnock against Livingston with odds of 2.38 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Kilmarnock vs Livingston is 9.01% with odds of 3.6 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 45.45% chance ⭐ for a win of Livingston vs Kilmarnock with odds of 3.75 at Stake.
Kilmarnock - Livingston Prediction and Best Odds:
| Kilmarnock Livingston Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Kilmarnock wins | 45.55% | 2.38 at Betfred |
| Under 2.5 | 57.44% | 1.84 at 888Starz |
| Both Team To Score | 27.08% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Kilmarnock/Kilmarnock | 18.11% | 3.75 at Bet365 |
Kilmarnock vs Livingston Form
Kilmarnock and Livingston's standings in the Scottish Premiership
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11
|
12 | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -15 |
|
12
|
9 | 16 | 1 | 6 | 9 | -14 |
Kilmarnock and Livingston Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jul 2025 - Scottish League Cup
22 Jul 2025 - Scottish League Cup
16 Jul 2025 - Scottish League Cup
12 Jul 2025 - Scottish League Cup
4 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
28 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jul 2025 - Scottish League Cup
16 Jul 2025 - Scottish League Cup
4 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
28 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2025 - Scottish Premiership
10 May 2025 - Scottish Premiership
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Jul 2025 - Scottish League Cup
12 Jul 2025 - Scottish League Cup
14 May 2025 - Scottish Premiership
3 May 2025 - Scottish Premiership
12 Apr 2025 - Scottish Premiership
29 Mar 2025 - Scottish Premiership
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jul 2025 - Scottish League Cup
19 Jul 2025 - Scottish League Cup
16 Jul 2025 - Scottish League Cup
12 Jul 2025 - Scottish League Cup
5 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jul 2025 - Scottish League Cup
19 Jul 2025 - Scottish League Cup
5 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
22 May 2025 - Scottish Premiership
16 May 2025 - Scottish Premiership
2 May 2025 - Scottish Championship
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Jul 2025 - Scottish League Cup
12 Jul 2025 - Scottish League Cup
3 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 May 2025 - Scottish Premiership
13 May 2025 - Scottish Premiership
26 Apr 2025 - Scottish Championship
Kilmarnock vs Livingston Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
16 Jul 2025 - Scottish League Cup
7 Feb 2024 - Scottish Premiership
Players list
M. Stryjek
DefenderB. Brannan
L. Mayo
G. Stanger
J. Brandon
MidfielderD. Thompson
R. McKenzie
D. Watson
B. Lyons
L. Polworth
ForwardB. Anderson
J. Prior
DefenderD. Finlayson
A. Montgomery
D. Wilson
MidfielderM. Tait
Z. Rudden
S. Pittman
S. May
ForwardL. Smith
R. McGowan
J. Bokila
Substitutes
E. Beach
DefenderE. Brown
D. Thompson
R. McKenzie
J. Thomson
G. Kiltie
ForwardM. Watkins
B. Anderson
J. Hamilton
DefenderS. Blaney
MidfielderL. Smith
A. Shinnie
ForwardJ. Bokila
S. May
Z. Rudden
J. Wanner
S. Culbert
Most goals and assists
Kilmarnock
Livingston
B. Anderson
(3 Goals)
,
D. Watson
(3 Goals)
J. Bokila
(5 Goals)
Kilmarnock - Livingston Key Points
- Kilmarnock have scored five goals in their last two competitive home matches.
- Livingston have score ten goals in their last four competitive games.
- Both teams scored in four of Kilmarnock's last seven home matches against Livingston.
- Kilmarnock averages 1.5 goals when playing at home, and Livingston averages 2.1 goals per game when playing away.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Kilmarnock vs Livingston Prediction
Kilmarnock have already gotten the better of Livingston this season. They secured a 1-0 home victory in the Scottish League Cup and will aim to repeat the same feat. It has to be pointed out that they have been impressive in this fixture, winning four of their last five meetings. Their victory here is inevitable.
However, a clean sheet is out of the question considering Livingston's attacking prowess of late. The visitors scored a whopping six goals in their last competitive game and can cause problems for Kilmarnock's defense here. Our Kilmarnock vs Livingston prediction: both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Kilmarnock Livingston
| Kilmarnock vs Livingston | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kilmarnock wins | 2.05 | 2.2 | +7.3% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.4 | -2.9% |
| Livingston wins | 3.4 | 3.2 | -5.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Kilmarnock is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 7.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 48.8% and is now 45.5% (-3.3%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Kilmarnock vs. Livingston game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Kilmarnock and Livingston when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Scottish Premiership!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
