ATP - ATP Mutua Madrid Open


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by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Predictions
Tommy Paul and Karen Khachanov will square off in the third round at the Madrid Masters. This second meeting between them will produce a winner to face Jack Draper or Matteo Berrettini. Let’s have a look at the numbers before offering a prediction for the match.
In the second round, Paul was pushed to the limit by Brazilian upshot Joao Fonseca, eventually winning 7-6,7-6. For Paul, it was another showing of his mental strength.
While his battling side is commendable, the fact that he has found things often challenging leaves a dent on his confidence levels.
Like Paul, Khachanov had a first-round bye. He then saw off Reilly Opelka in straight sets in the second round and will target a deep run. Khachanov has advanced past the third round at Madrid in the last two seasons.
His best at this Masters event has been getting to the quarters, and he will want to do better this time. The journey towards surpassing his best at this event will not be easy, looking at the draws.
His best this season has been getting to the Barcelona semis, but generally he’s been unconvincing. The Russian has a 9-9 record thus far.
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The Best Betting Odds for Karen Khachanov v Tommy Paul Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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2.2 | 1.67 |
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2.15 | 1.65 |
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2.12 | 1.68 |
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2.12 | 1.73 |
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2.12 | 1.73 |
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Who will win the Karen Khachanov vs Tommy Paul Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Karen Khachanov vs Tommy Paul match is: Paul to win in three sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Karen Khachanov vs Tommy Paul game on 29/04/2025 of the current ATP Mutua Madrid Open season:
- Karen Khachanov has a 44.43% chance to win against Tommy Paul according to Betobet ⭐ with the odds of 2.21.
- Tommy Paul has a 55.57% probability of winning facing Karen Khachanov ⭐ with odds of 1.77 at Vbet.
Karen Khachanov vs Tommy Paul Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Karen Khachanov has a 44.43 % chance to win.
Prediction | Chance to win |
---|---|
Karen Khachanov | 44.43 % |
Tommy Paul | 55.57 % |
Karen Khachanov vs Tommy Paul Form
Karen Khachanov and Tommy Paul Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
26 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
19 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona
18 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona
17 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona
15 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona
7 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
26 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
5 Apr 2025 - ATP Houston
4 Apr 2025 - ATP Houston
2 Apr 2025 - ATP Houston
23 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami
21 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami
Karen Khachanov - Tommy Paul Key Points
- Tommy Paul lost only three of his last 10 clay matches.
- Tommy Paul won the only contest between these two so far.
- Khachanov suffered four defeats in eight clay court games.
- Four of Khachanov’s last 10 matches had three sets.
- Three of Paul’s last six outings needed a decider.
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Our Karen Khachanov vs Tommy Paul Prediction
Tommy Paul has the head-to-head advantage coming into this latest meeting between these two. That 2022 match on the hardcourts of Miami needed a decider to separate the two players.
Heading into this fixture, both players haven't had really convincing outputs, but Paul has a slight advantage. Khachanov is on a 9-9 record, while Paul has a slightly better run at 16-6, placing him as a favorite. Our prediction for Karen Khachanov v Tommy Paul is for Paul to win in three sets.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Karen Khachanov vs. Tommy Paul game!
When you place a bet on the match between Karen Khachanov and Tommy Paul you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.
It does not matter whether you bet on Karen Khachanov or Tommy Paul , if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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