Kakamega Homeboyz vs Mara Sugar FC Prediction & Betting Tips - Kenyan Premier League
Kenya - Kenyan Premier League
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by Nella Wagah | in Kenyan Premier League Predictions
Not everything is going to plan as far as Mara Sugar’s second season in the Kenyan Premier League is concerned. They will be away to fifth-placed Kakamega Homeboyz next, looking to rise from 13th spot. Let’s have a look at the match prediction.
Homeboyz have been inconsistent in the season, but this outing promises a major leap should they win. With 27 points and a game in hand, the hosts will move to fifth if they avoid defeat on Saturday.
In their last outing, the Corn Boys outsmarted the struggling Kariobangi Sharks, winning 2-0. That was their seventh win of the campaign and fourth when hosting.
The second-best performing team at home, Homeboyz have only lost once in Kakamega.
Mara Sugar aren’t coming into this game on a very encouraging run. In their latest assignment, the visitors suffered a 1-0 defeat at the hands of reigning champions Police.
That was their second straight defeat, and they’ve also failed to score in those two games. The Millers head into this encounter winless in six matches.
They’ve suffered five losses in those 10 matches, and in the league this season, they managed just four wins. Their only wins during this 10-game window were against Mathare United and bottom-placed Kariobangi Sharks.
Last time out on the road, Mara fell 3-0 against Gor Mahia.
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Kakamega Homeboyz v Mara Sugar FC Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.98 | 2.65 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.99 | 2.94 | 4.19 |
|
|
1.82 | 2.88 | 4.92 |
|
|
2.06 | 2.75 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.82 | 2.88 | 4.92 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Kakamega Homeboyz and Mara Sugar FC?
Our prediction for the Kakamega Homeboyz vs Mara Sugar FC match is: Kakamega Homeboyz wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 31/01/2026 between Kakamega Homeboyz and Mara Sugar FC in Kenyan Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.19% for a win of Kakamega Homeboyz against Mara Sugar FC with odds of 2.06 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Kakamega Homeboyz vs Mara Sugar FC is 49.71% with odds of 2.94 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 17.1% chance ⭐ for a win of Mara Sugar FC vs Kakamega Homeboyz with odds of 4.92 at Betwinner.
Kakamega Homeboyz - Mara Sugar FC Prediction and Best Odds:
| Kakamega Homeboyz Mara Sugar FC Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 49.71% | 2.94 at Melbet |
| Under 2.5 | 71.03% | 1.54 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 52.08% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 24.55% | 3.5 at LSbet |
Kakamega Homeboyz vs Mara Sugar FC Form
Kakamega Homeboyz and Mara Sugar FC's standings in the Kenyan Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
49 | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | +10 |
|
11
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
Kakamega Homeboyz and Mara Sugar FC Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
10 Jan 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
4 Jan 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
22 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
17 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
12 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
22 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
12 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
30 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
23 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
9 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
4 Jan 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
17 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
15 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
29 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
3 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jan 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
18 Jan 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
14 Jan 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
10 Jan 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
22 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
17 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jan 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
22 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
13 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
29 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
22 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
8 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
14 Jan 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
10 Jan 2026 - Kenyan Premier League
17 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
8 Dec 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
15 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
Kakamega Homeboyz vs Mara Sugar FC Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
27 Sept 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
1 Feb 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
25 Aug 2024 - Kenyan Premier League
Kakamega Homeboyz - Mara Sugar FC Key Points
- Mara failed to score in their last two matches against Homeboyz.
- Homeboyz are the second-best home team in the league.
- Mara Sugar suffered two straight defeats ahead of this game.
- Homeboyz are unbeaten in their last nine home games, winning four.
- Across their last 10 matches, Mara Sugar lost five times.
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Our Kakamega Homeboyz vs Mara Sugar FC Prediction
These teams faced off for the first time this season in September, a game that ended 0-0. In Mara Sugar’s context, that was the second straight match against Homeboyz that they failed to score in. Their last visit here didn’t end well either, as they lost 2-0.
There is a high chance this one too will go that direction. Homeboyz have been among the best-performing sides when playing at home. It is based on this that our prediction for Kakamega Homeboyz v Mara Sugar is that Kakamega Homeboyz wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Kakamega Homeboyz Mara Sugar FC
| Kakamega Homeboyz vs Mara Sugar FC | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kakamega Homeboyz wins | 1.91 | 2.06 | +7.9% |
| Draw | 2.95 | 2.94 | -0.3% |
| Mara Sugar FC wins | 4.9 | 4.92 | +0.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 0.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 33.9% and is now 34.0% (0.1%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
