ATP - ATP Chengdu Open
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
Juncheng Shang began his Chengdu Open title defence with a win over Zizou Bergs to march on to the second round. He will be up against fourth seed Brandon Nakashima, the two only meeting for the first time. We have a prediction for this match below.
Shang’s debut here in 2024 saw him beat top players to become the first Chinese ATP title winner on home soil. This season hasn’t been great for him, as he needed surgery, which forced him to miss about six months of action.
Before beating Bergs, he had suffered five straight losses, but with a 5-0 record in Chengdu, he will be eyeing an upset. Shang enters this game placed 236th in the live rank.
Nakashima is making a return here after his disappointing 2023 debut. Back then he was eliminated in the first round. He comes into this game having had a first-round bye, and though facing the champions, he will be expected to win.
Ranking more than 100 places better than Shang, Nakashima will also see this as a chance to better his season. The American is currently on a 27-23 record and has the Acapulco and Houston semis as his major highlights.
He is coming from a second-round loss at the US Open three weeks ago, leaving him 34th in the live rankings.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
The Best Betting Odds for Juncheng Shang v Brandon Nakashima Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
2.3 | 1.62 |
|
|
2.38 | 1.57 |
|
|
2.25 | 1.65 |
|
|
2.15 | 1.65 |
|
|
2.23 | 1.66 |
|
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Who will win the Juncheng Shang vs Brandon Nakashima Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Juncheng Shang vs Brandon Nakashima match is: Nakashima to win in three sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Juncheng Shang vs Brandon Nakashima game on 19/09/2025 of the current ATP Chengdu Open season:
- Juncheng Shang has a 43.21% chance to win against Brandon Nakashima according to William Hill ⭐ with the odds of 2.38.
- Brandon Nakashima has a 56.79% probability of winning facing Juncheng Shang ⭐ with odds of 1.67 at 22bet.
Juncheng Shang vs Brandon Nakashima Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Juncheng Shang has a 43.21 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Juncheng Shang | 43.21 % |
| Brandon Nakashima | 56.79 % |
Juncheng Shang vs Brandon Nakashima Form
Juncheng Shang and Brandon Nakashima Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
17 Sep 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open
25 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
7 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
27 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto
13 Jan 2025 - ATP Australian Open
4 Jan 2025 - Hong Kong Open
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
27 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
24 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
12 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
10 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open
1 Aug 2025 - ATP Toronto
30 Jul 2025 - ATP Toronto
Juncheng Shang - Brandon Nakashima Key Points
- Nakashima has a 13-3 record in second-round matches.
- Nakashima dropped a set in each of his last five matches.
- Shang has only won four times this season.
- Shang won at least one set in his last three matches.
- Shang failed to win a set in just three of his nine matches this season.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Juncheng Shang vs Brandon Nakashima Prediction
Last year Shang swept away top players to march to the title here. With the backing of home fans, he will be eyeing the same. However, this time he isn’t in great shape and is only recovering from surgery. Interestingly, though, he has already eliminated a higher-ranked player, and Nakashima won't have it easy.
The American should particularly beware of the fact that even when losing, Shang rarely goes without winning a set. Nakashima himself dropped at least a set in his last five matches. Our prediction for Junchen Shang v Brandon Nakashima is for Nakashima to win in three sets.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Juncheng Shang vs. Brandon Nakashima game!
When you place a bet on the match between Juncheng Shang and Brandon Nakashima you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.
It does not matter whether you bet on Juncheng Shang or Brandon Nakashima , if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
