Joel Alvarez vs Yaroslav Amosov Prediction & Betting Tips - UFC 328
MMA - UFC 328
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in UFC Predictions
We’re set for a captivating welterweight clash in the UFC 323 as the towering Joel Alvarez trades blows with Ukrainian star Yaroslav Amosov. While Alvarez has looked nearly untouchable since moving up in weight, he’s jumping into the deep end against a man who once held the longest active winning streak in the entire sport. See our match prediction below.
Alvarez comes into this fight with the wind in his sails after a statement performance in his welterweight debut last October, where he dismantled Vicente Luque to earn a dominant unanimous decision. With his 6’3” frame and dangerous guard, El Fenomeno has become one of the division's most feared finishers, racking up seventeen career wins by submission.
But Amosov is a different beast entirely, and might be Alvarez’s toughest opponent yet. Dynamo already established his dominance on the global stage before making a splash in the Octagon. He looked sensational in his most recent match, securing a first-round anaconda choke victory over the veteran Neil Magny in December.
As a four-time World Sambo champion, Amosov’s ability to chain takedowns and maintain a frantic pace makes him a nightmare for specialists who prefer to work from the outside. With a professional record of 29-1, he’s poised to grab UFC gold and reclaim his status as the best welterweight on the planet.
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Joel Alvarez - Yaroslav Amosov Key Points
- Amosov holds a massive advantage in wrestling, averaging a staggering 4.64 takedowns per fifteen minutes with 50% accuracy.
- Amosov has only lost once in thirty professional fights, whereas Alvarez has dropped three bouts against high-level competition.
- While Alvarez is a submission threat, the former Bellator king Amosov has never been submitted in his decade-long career.
- Amosov’s defensive striking is statistically superior, absorbing only 1.55 significant strikes per minute compared to over three for Alvarez.
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Our Joel Alvarez vs Yaroslav Amosov Prediction
This fight is likely to be decided in the transitions where the Dynamo’s sambo-heavy style should neutralise the dangerous guard of El Fenomeno. While the taller man has the tools to catch anyone in a choke, the wrestling pressure and positional control of the favourite are among the best in the world.
Our bet is based on a high-tempo performance where the former champion uses his superior takedown game to dictate where the fight takes place. Hence, our Joel Alvarez vs Yaroslav Amosov prediction is that Yaroslav Amosov wins.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
