ATP - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
Ninth seed Denis Shapovalov takes on the unseeded Joao Fonseca in the quarter-finals in Basel. This is their first career meeting, and the winner will take on Felix Auger-Aliassime or Jaume Munar next. Read on for our prediction of this match.
Joao Fonseca received a walkover in the last round and arrives with a slight advantage over Shapovalov, as he has had more time to prepare.
The Brazilian eliminated Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard in the first round and was to face off with seventh seed Jakub Mensik. Fonseca is having an exciting season and thus far has won 35 matches.
Alternating between the tour and challenger circuits, the teenage sensation has moved up to 42nd in the live ranking. Fonseca was crowned champion in Buenos Aires to mark his first ATP triumph.
Denis Shapovalov got the better of lucky loser Valentin Royer to book this showdown with Fonseca. He won in straight sets, needing fewer minutes than in his three-set battle with Marcos Giron in the first round.
As a result, he has equalled last season’s quarter-final finish here. The Canadian has compiled a 26-20 record with nine of his wins coming in 10 indoor outings.
A former top 10 player, Shapovalov is currently ranked 23rd in the ATP.
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The Best Betting Odds for Joao Fonseca v Denis Shapovalov Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.8 | 2 |
|
|
1.8 | 2.05 |
|
|
1.8 | 1.95 |
|
|
1.8 | 2 |
|
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1.65 | 1.9 |
|
Who will win the Joao Fonseca vs Denis Shapovalov Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Joao Fonseca vs Denis Shapovalov match is: more than two sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Joao Fonseca vs Denis Shapovalov game on 24/10/2025 of the current Swiss Indoors ATP Basel season:
- Joao Fonseca has a 49.63% chance to win against Denis Shapovalov according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 1.8.
- Denis Shapovalov has a 50.37% probability of winning facing Joao Fonseca ⭐ with odds of 2.05 at Betway.
Joao Fonseca vs Denis Shapovalov Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Joao Fonseca has a 49.63 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Joao Fonseca | 49.63 % |
| Denis Shapovalov | 50.37 % |
Joao Fonseca vs Denis Shapovalov Form
Joao Fonseca and Denis Shapovalov Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
23 Oct 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel
21 Oct 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel
14 Oct 2025 - Brussels Open
19 Sep 2025 - Laver Cup,Singles Matches
27 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
25 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
23 Oct 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel
21 Oct 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel
18 Oct 2025 - Stockholm Open
17 Oct 2025 - Stockholm Open
15 Oct 2025 - Stockholm Open
6 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Joao Fonseca - Denis Shapovalov Key Points
- Fonseca has won 15 of 22 indoor matches in his career.
- Shapovalov has lost at least one set eight times in his last 10 outings.
- Shapovalov has claimed nine wins in 10 indoor duels this season.
- Fonseca has played one less game than Shapovalov in Basel.
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Our Joao Fonseca vs Denis Shapovalov Prediction
Our prediction for Joao Fonseca v Denis Shapovalov is for this match to have more than two sets. Shapovalov and Fonseca are strong indoor performers, and this will make for an exciting duel here. They have both compiled strong winning records on such surfaces in their careers.
Shapovalov is the more experienced tour player in the tie and has won over 80 matches indoors. Fonseca, on his part, has won 15 of 22 such outings. With a semi-final at stake, a well-fought-out showdown is likely to ensue, with a decider being played.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Joao Fonseca vs. Denis Shapovalov game!
When you place a bet on the match between Joao Fonseca and Denis Shapovalov you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.
It does not matter whether you bet on Joao Fonseca or Denis Shapovalov, if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
