WTA - WTA Finals
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
The final set of games in the round-robin stage see Jessica Pegula face Jasmine Paolini. Pegula is still in with a chance of reaching the knockout stages of the WTA Finals but Paolini has been eliminated. Here's our match prediction.
Jessica Pegula began this indoor hard court tournament in Riyadh with a three-set victory over defending champion Cori Gauff. Next up though, the American lost to world number one Aryna Sabalenka in three sets.
If Pegula can get the win here, then she will qualify for the semi-finals. The fifth seed has won five of her previous six matches against Paolini and it's 3-1 on hard courts. Pegula won their first five matches but lost to the Italian in the recent Billie Jean King Cup Finals.
Jasmine Paolini has lost both of her matches in this group and cannot qualify for the semi-finals. It's been a difficult week for her with just nine games won in her two matches against Aryna Sabalenka and Cori Gauff.
Those losses make it three successive defeats for Paolini and not a set being won. In her six previous matches against Pegula, she had failed to win a set before finally getting a win against her in September.
We tip Pegula to win in straight sets.
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The Best Betting Odds for Jessica Pegula v Jasmine Paolini Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.25 | 4 |
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|
1.25 | 4 |
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1.22 | 4.25 |
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1.25 | 3.7 |
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1.26 | 4 |
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Who will win the Jessica Pegula vs Jasmine Paolini Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Jessica Pegula vs Jasmine Paolini match is: Pegula wins in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Jessica Pegula vs Jasmine Paolini game on 06/11/2025 of the current WTA Finals season:
- Jessica Pegula has a 65% chance to win against Jasmine Paolini according to Unibet ⭐ with the odds of 1.26.
- Jasmine Paolini has a 35% probability of winning facing Jessica Pegula ⭐ with odds of 4.25 at Betway.
Jessica Pegula vs Jasmine Paolini Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Jessica Pegula has a 65 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Jessica Pegula | 65 % |
| Jasmine Paolini | 35 % |
Jessica Pegula vs Jasmine Paolini Form
Jessica Pegula and Jasmine Paolini Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
4 Nov 2025 - WTA Finals
2 Nov 2025 - WTA Finals
12 Oct 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open
11 Oct 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open
9 Oct 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open
8 Oct 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
4 Nov 2025 - WTA Finals
2 Nov 2025 - WTA Finals
18 Oct 2025 - Ningbo Open
17 Oct 2025 - Ningbo Open
16 Oct 2025 - Ningbo Open
11 Oct 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open
Jessica Pegula vs Jasmine Paolini Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
21 Sept 2025 - Billie Jean King Cup
10 Aug 2023 - WTA National Bank Open
Jessica Pegula - Jasmine Paolini Key Points
- Pegula has won five of her last seven matches.
- Pegula has won five of her six previous matches against Paolini.
- All of Pegula's wins over Paolini have been in straight sets.
- Paolini has lost her last three matches, winning no sets and just 14 games. She's already been eliminated from this tournament.
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Our Jessica Pegula vs Jasmine Paolini Prediction
This match is all about Jessica Pegula and whether the American can reach the semi-finals. After beating Cori Gauff, Pegula took Aryna Sabalenka to three sets but ended up losing the match. A sixth win over Jasmine Paolini will take her into the last four.
It's been a tough time in Riyadh for Jasmine Paolini. Both of her matches have ended in straight sets defeats and the Italian cannot make it into the knockout stages. Our Jessica Pegula v Jasmine Paolini prediction is Pegula wins in straight sets.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
