Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA Cincinnati Open

WTA - WTA Cincinnati Open

WTA 3 USA
Jessica Pegula
22/08/2026 12:00
WTA 5 Poland
Iga Swiatek

Prediction :

 

Exact score: 1-2

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions

Iga Swiatek continues with her title defence in Cincinnati, with the seventh seed set to meet third seed Jessica Pegula in the semi-finals. These two are familiar foes, having faced off 12 times before. Swiatek has the head-to-head advantage, and having only dropped one set here, our prediction is for her to progress.

This season the two players faced off on the Rome clay, and Pegula lost her bid to win three straight matches against Swiatek. She was beaten in straight sets, and here the American will be looking to bounce back.

For the second straight outing, Pegula lost a set, as she battled Amanda Anisimova in the last round. The world No. 3 has, as a result, spent over two hours more on the court than Swiatek.

Swiatek is set to play in her fourth semi-final of the season, and she will be keen not to lose a second time. In her latest last-four outing, the Pole posted a win to progress to the Toronto final, which she eventually won.

The 25-year-old is going for a second straight title at Cincinnati and in as many weeks. It will be tough for Pegula to handle her as she comes well rested, her opponent in the quarters having pulled out.

Swiatek was set to have a cracker against Elena Rybakina, but in just the opening set, the Kazakh retired.

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Jessica Pegula v Iga Swiatek Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Stake
3 1.42
1xbet
3.01 1.44
Melbet
2.94 1.41
Betwinner
2.94 1.41
22bet
2.94 1.41
Check all Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek odds

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Who will win the Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek match is: exact score: 1-2.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek game on 22/08/2026 of the current WTA Cincinnati Open season:

  • Jessica Pegula has a 38.02% chance to win against Iga Swiatek according to Tonybet ⭐ with the odds of 3.05.
  • Iga Swiatek has a 61.98% probability of winning facing Jessica Pegula ⭐ with odds of 1.44 at 1xbet.

Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Jessica Pegula has a 38.02 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Jessica Pegula38.02 %
Iga Swiatek61.98 %

Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek Form

Jessica Pegula and Iga Swiatek Last Matches

Jessica Pegula Last matches
W L W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

20 Aug 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open

Amanda Anisimova
1 :  2
Jessica Pegula

19 Aug 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open

Sorana Cirstea
1 :  2
Jessica Pegula

17 Aug 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open

Emma Navarro
0 :  2
Jessica Pegula

15 Aug 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open

Simona Waltert
0 :  2
Jessica Pegula

8 Aug 2026 - WTA National Bank Open

Jessica Pegula
0 :  2
Diana Shnaider

6 Aug 2026 - WTA National Bank Open

Jessica Pegula
2 :  0
Kamilla Rakhimova
Iga Swiatek Last matches
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

19 Aug 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open

Iga Swiatek
2 :  0
Diane Parry

17 Aug 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open

Iga Swiatek
2 :  1
Maria Sakkari

16 Aug 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open

Iga Swiatek
2 :  0
Emiliana Arango

13 Aug 2026 - WTA National Bank Open

Iga Swiatek
2 :  0
Elena Rybakina

12 Aug 2026 - WTA National Bank Open

Elina Svitolina
1 :  2
Iga Swiatek

10 Aug 2026 - WTA National Bank Open

Diana Shnaider
0 :  2
Iga Swiatek

Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Jessica Pegula

50 %

Iga Swiatek

50 %

13 May 2026 - WTA Rome

Jessica Pegula
0 :  2
Iga Swiatek

28 Jun 2025 - WTA Bad Homburg Open

Jessica Pegula
2 :  0
Iga Swiatek

4 Sept 2024 - WTA US Open

Iga Swiatek
0 :  2
Jessica Pegula

6 Nov 2023 - WTA Doha

Jessica Pegula
0 :  2
Iga Swiatek

12 Aug 2023 - WTA National Bank Open

Iga Swiatek
1 :  2
Jessica Pegula

18 Feb 2023 - WTA Doha

Iga Swiatek
2 :  0
Jessica Pegula
Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek Prediction

Jessica Pegula - Iga Swiatek Key Points

  1. Swiatek has won each of her last 10 matches.
  2. Swiatek has the head-to-head advantage in this fixture.
  3. Pegula has dropped a set in each of her last two matches.
  4. Pegula has failed to win a set in just one of her last 20 matches.
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Our Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek Prediction

Each of the last four meetings between these two players was settled in straight sets, but we see a change here. The two players have enjoyed good runs ahead of this face-off, and the competitive levels they’ve shown can only point to a deciding set being called here.

Each one of them has won a title on a hard court this year, which further raises the stakes. We feel Swiatek will have a slight advantage, though, having spent fewer hours on the court. Our prediction for Jessica Pegula v Iga Swiatek for the exact score: 1-2.

Prediction :

 

Exact score: 1-2

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.