Jasmine Paolini vs Lucrezia Stefanini Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA US Open

WTA - WTA US Open

WTA 21 Italy
Jasmine Paolini
02/09/2026 11:00
WTA 119 Italy
Lucrezia Stefanini

Prediction :

 

Exact score: 2-1

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions

Jasmine Paolini returns at the US Open after a lengthy injury break following her Wimbledon quarter-final defeat. She faces Lucrezia Stefanini in the second round for their third career meeting. Paolini leads this fixture 2-0, and our prediction backs her to prevail. The Italian started off at Flushing Meadows with a three-set win over Veronika Erjavec. She has only lost three times in the second round this season and will be confident of progressing this time. In her first-round match, Paolini showed a bit of rustiness, needing three sets to eliminate the world No. 106. That was expected of a player with a nagging foot injury. Here she is expected to reach the third round at the US Open for the third time in a row, as she holds a 24-3 record against players outside the top-100.

Of her wins against such players, Paolini holds a 2-0 record against Stefanini. For Stefanini, this is another tough outing but a befitting reward after her first-round win over Dayana Yastremska in three sets. The qualifier just registered her second career win at the Grand Slam main draw level. This is also her main draw debut at the US Open after making her way through three qualifying rounds. The world No. 119 has faced 11 top-50 players in her career and lost all. Her only appearance in the second round on tour this season was at Cincinnati, where she lost to Marie Bouzkova.

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Jasmine Paolini v Lucrezia Stefanini Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.39 2.85
1xbet
1.44 2.88
Melbet
1.43 2.85
Betwinner
1.43 2.85
22bet
1.43 2.85
Check all Jasmine Paolini vs Lucrezia Stefanini odds

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Who will win the Jasmine Paolini vs Lucrezia Stefanini Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Jasmine Paolini vs Lucrezia Stefanini match is: exact score: 2-1.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Jasmine Paolini vs Lucrezia Stefanini game on 02/09/2026 of the current WTA US Open season:

  • Jasmine Paolini has a 55.88% chance to win against Lucrezia Stefanini according to 1xbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.44.
  • Lucrezia Stefanini has a 44.12% probability of winning facing Jasmine Paolini ⭐ with odds of 3.05 at Shangrila.

Jasmine Paolini vs Lucrezia Stefanini Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Jasmine Paolini has a 55.88 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Jasmine Paolini55.88 %
Lucrezia Stefanini44.12 %

Jasmine Paolini vs Lucrezia Stefanini Form

Jasmine Paolini and Lucrezia Stefanini Last Matches

Jasmine Paolini Last matches
W W W W L W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

30 Aug 2026 - WTA US Open

Jasmine Paolini
2 :  1
Veronika Erjavec

8 Jul 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships

Marta Kostyuk
2 :  0
Jasmine Paolini

6 Jul 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships

Jasmine Paolini
2 :  1
Alexandra Eala

4 Jul 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships

Jasmine Paolini
2 :  0
Maria Sakkari

2 Jul 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships

Jasmine Paolini
2 :  0
Viktorija Golubic

30 Jun 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships

Jasmine Paolini
2 :  1
Robin Montgomery
Lucrezia Stefanini Last matches
W L W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

30 Aug 2026 - WTA US Open

Lucrezia Stefanini
2 :  1
Dayana Yastremska

27 Aug 2026 - WTA US Open

Julieta Pareja
0 :  2
Lucrezia Stefanini

26 Aug 2026 - WTA US Open

Madison Brengle
0 :  2
Lucrezia Stefanini

24 Aug 2026 - WTA US Open

Ayla Aksu
0 :  2
Lucrezia Stefanini

16 Aug 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open

Marie Bouzkova
2 :  0
Lucrezia Stefanini

12 Aug 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open

Lucrezia Stefanini
2 :  0
Leolia Jeanjean
Jasmine Paolini vs Lucrezia Stefanini Prediction

Jasmine Paolini - Lucrezia Stefanini Key Points

  1. Stefanini is on a 0-11 record against top-50-ranked opponents.
  2. Stefanini hasn’t progressed past the second round on tour this season.
  3. Paolini has won 24 of her 27 matches against players outside the top-100.
  4. Paolini has advanced to the third round at the US Open the last two seasons.
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Our Jasmine Paolini vs Lucrezia Stefanini Prediction

A third straight third-round appearance is top of Jasmine Paolini’s agenda. She has never made it past the fourth round here and will be looking to go beyond this time. A niggling injury is, however, her main undoing. Despite her challenges, we expect Paolini to overcome her compatriot, who is having a much tougher campaign.

Stefanini has lost all her 11 meetings with top 50 players, but we still fancy her to win a set against Paolini, who has lost at least one set in seven of her last 10 matches. Our prediction for Jasmine Paolini v Lucrezia Stefanini is for the exact score: 2-1.

Prediction :

 

Exact score: 2-1

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.