International - Test Matchs
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by Ita Emmanuel | in Rugby Predictions
Wales will take on Japan in the first match of their 2025 Summer Tour on Saturday. The Dragons will aim to return to winning ways against the Brave Blossoms after their disappointing 2025 Six Nations campaign. Let's take you through our prediction for the match.
Wales will head into this match on the back of a dismal Six Nations campaign. They finished bottom of the standings in the tournament, losing all their matches. This included a heavy 68-14 home loss to England in their last match.
Notably, the defeat against England saw Wales become the first Tier One nation to record 16 straight defeats in the sport. Can interim boss Matt Sherratt lead the team to break this harrowing losing streak on Saturday?
Japan, ranked 13th in the world – one place below Wales – are also struggling heading into this match. Eddie Jones' side have lost their last four test matches against higher-ranked teams, the most recent of which being a 59-14 defeat against 2025 Six Nations runners-up England.
They have also struggled for results at home against higher-ranked teams, losing their last three matches by staggering margins. The most recent of which was a 64-19 hammering by New Zealand.
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Japan - Wales Key Points
- Japan have lost their last four test matches against Tier One nations by at least 28 points.
- Japan have lost their last three test matches at home by staggering margins.
- Wales won their last two test matches against lower-ranked teams by 20 points or more.
- Wales defeated Japan in their last meeting and have been historically dominant over the Brave Blossoms.
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Our Japan vs Wales Prediction
Despite coming off the back of 16 straight defeats in test matches, Wales are still considered the favorites to win this game by a good margin. They have been historically dominant over Japan and have won their last meeting.
Also, Matt Sherratt's side won their last two fixtures against lower-ranked teams by a good margin. Meanwhile, Japan have lost their last four test matches against Tier One nations by heavy margins. Hence, we expect Wales to come out victorious and also cover the spread. Our Japan vs Wales prediction is Wales -10.5 handicap points.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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