UFC - UFC 323
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in UFC Predictions
The light heavyweight division faces a potential changing of the guard at UFC 323 as the legendary former champion Jan Blachowicz tries to halt the rise of Bogdan Guskov. This matchup feels like a classic crossroads fight where we have to decide if the veteran has one last run in him or if the new blood takes over. See our best Jan Blachowicz vs Bogdan Guskov match prediction here.
Blachowicz, or John as he is known to his fans, is finding himself in a tough spot at 42 years old. He looked hesitant in his last outing against Carlos Ulberg in March 2025, losing a unanimous decision where he just could not pull the trigger. That loss raised serious questions about his ability to keep up with the younger and faster generation of 205-pounders.
On the other side of the cage stands Bogdan Guskov, also known as Czarevitch, who is tearing through the division with scary momentum. Guskov is fresh off a first-round knockout of Nikita Krylov in July 2025, extending his winning streak to four straight finishes.
Czarevitch brings chaotic power and aggression that overwhelms opponents early, something that is a massive danger for an aging fighter like Blachowicz. We expect Guskov’s youth and explosive output to be the difference-maker against the slower and more methodical veteran.
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Jan Blachowicz - Bogdan Guskov Key Points
- Bogdan Guskov is riding a four-fight winning streak, winning every match by KO/TKO or submission.
- John is now 42 years old and looked significantly slower in his unanimous decision loss to Carlos Ulberg in March 2025.
- Czarevitch needed only one round to knockout the highly-ranked Nikita Krylov in his last fight in July 2025.
- Blachowicz has not secured a victory since May 2022.
- Guskov has a 100% finish rate in his UFC victories, showing he does not let fights go to the judges.
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Our Jan Blachowicz vs Bogdan Guskov Prediction
This fight is heavily skewed by the momentum and physical freshness of the two combatants. John has the experience to survive early storms, but his recent hesitation to throw strikes is a death sentence against a head-hunter like Guskov.
Guskov will likely push a pace that the former champion can no longer match, forcing exchanges that favor his superior pace and explosiveness. We expect the prospect to make a statement and retire the legend. Hence, our Jan Blachowicz vs Bogdan Guskov prediction is that Bogdan Guskov wins.
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