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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Second seed Alexander Zverev takes on qualifier Jacob Fearnley in round one of the Erste Open. The winner of this indoor hard court match being played in Vienna will be up against unseeded Matteo Arnaldi in round two. Read our match prediction below.
Alexander Zverev is third in the live rankings and a place lower in the ATP Race. A deep run here will secure his place in the Tour Finals. Zverev has won 24 of his 35 hard court matches this year. He'll want to end his 0-2 record in indoor hard court tournaments.
The German is playing Fearnley for the fourth time this year. All have been on hard courts and Zverev leads 3-0. Two were in Grand Slam tournaments and Fearnley has lost all eight of the sets they've played, never winning more than four games.
Jacob Fearnley is 77th in the live rankings but was as high as 49th four months ago. He had to win two qualifying matches to make it into this main draw and did so without dropping a set. His most recent tournament saw him lose in round two to Elias Ymer in Stockholm, winning only four games.
We tip Alexander Zverev to win in straight sets.
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The Best Betting Odds for Jacob Fearnley v Alexander Zverev Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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3.5 | 1.3 |
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3.5 | 1.3 |
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3.5 | 1.3 |
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3.4 | 1.3 |
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3.4 | 1.32 |
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Who will win the Jacob Fearnley vs Alexander Zverev Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Jacob Fearnley vs Alexander Zverev match is: Alexander Zverev to win in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Jacob Fearnley vs Alexander Zverev game on 21/10/2025 of the current ATP Vienna season:
- Jacob Fearnley has a 36.38% chance to win against Alexander Zverev according to NetBet ⭐ with the odds of 3.7.
- Alexander Zverev has a 63.62% probability of winning facing Jacob Fearnley ⭐ with odds of 1.32 at Unibet.
Jacob Fearnley vs Alexander Zverev Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Jacob Fearnley has a 36.38 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Jacob Fearnley | 36.38 % |
| Alexander Zverev | 63.62 % |
Jacob Fearnley vs Alexander Zverev Form
Jacob Fearnley and Alexander Zverev Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
19 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna
18 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna
16 Oct 2025 - Stockholm Open
13 Oct 2025 - Stockholm Open
8 Oct 2025 - Roanne, France
7 Oct 2025 - Roanne, France
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
15 Oct 2025 - Six King Slam
6 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
4 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
29 Sep 2025 - ATP Beijing Open
28 Sep 2025 - ATP Beijing Open
26 Sep 2025 - ATP Beijing Open
Jacob Fearnley vs Alexander Zverev Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
28 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
22 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami
16 Jan 2025 - ATP Australian Open
Jacob Fearnley - Alexander Zverev Key Points
- Only Alcaraz and Sinner are above Zverev in the live rankings.
- Zverev is fourth in the ATP Live Race with Fearnley in 73rd place.
- Zverev has beaten Fearnley three times this year, all on hard courts.
- Fearnley has played eight sets against Zverev and has lost them all, never winning more than four games.
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Our Jacob Fearnley vs Alexander Zverev Prediction
Alexander Zverev stil hasn't won a hard court title this year. He hasn't won an indoor hard court match either but we believe that stat will become redundant tomorrow. He is in good form and still third in the rankings.
Jacob Fearnley has slipped down the rankings in the second half of the year. His best results have come on clay and grass. His record against Zverev is terrible with three losses and eight sets lost. Our Jacob Fearnley v Alexander Zverev prediction is Alexander Zverev to win in straight sets.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
