ATP - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
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by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Predictions
British No. 1 Jack Draper is inking his name in clay surfaces and will be confident going into this match against Matteo Arnaldi. The duo’s first meet comes in the Madrid Masters quarter-finals, the winner set to face Lorenzo Musetti or Gabriel Diallo next. Read on for our prediction.
Draper continued with his great run at Madrid with a straight-set win against Tommy Paul in the fourth round. The American offered so little in the way of challenge as Draper needed just over one hour for a 6-2,6-2 win.
Before this season, the fourth seed had only reached the second round at the Madrid Masters. Now he has a winning record at this event and is 17-4 for the season.
Matteo Arnaldi’s journey at this event started from the first round. He dropped the first set in that opening round against Borna Coric and hasn’t looked back after surviving the scare.
His next three matches were won in straight sets, not to mention these were against superb players. In the second round, he eliminated Novak Djokovic, and right after, Damir Dzumhur and Frances Tiafoe.
He goes into another tough encounter. It may not work in his favor that here in Madrid, he has now played four hours more than Draper.
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The Best Betting Odds for Jack Draper v Matteo Arnaldi Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.3 | 3.5 |
|
|
1.28 | 3.4 |
|
|
1.29 | 3.4 |
|
|
1.32 | 3.42 |
|
|
1.32 | 3.42 |
|
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Who will win the Jack Draper vs Matteo Arnaldi Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Jack Draper vs Matteo Arnaldi match is: Draper to win in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Jack Draper vs Matteo Arnaldi game on 01/05/2025 of the current ATP Mutua Madrid Open season:
- Jack Draper has a 65.86% chance to win against Matteo Arnaldi according to Betobet ⭐ with the odds of 1.35.
- Matteo Arnaldi has a 34.14% probability of winning facing Jack Draper ⭐ with odds of 3.6 at Tonybet.
Jack Draper vs Matteo Arnaldi Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Jack Draper has a 65.86 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Jack Draper | 65.86 % |
| Matteo Arnaldi | 34.14 % |
Jack Draper vs Matteo Arnaldi Form
Jack Draper and Matteo Arnaldi Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
30 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
29 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
26 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
10 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
8 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
22 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
30 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
28 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
26 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
24 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
14 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona
6 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Jack Draper - Matteo Arnaldi Key Points
- Draper has eight wins in his last 10 outings.
- Draper is yet to drop a set at the 2025 Madrid Masters.
- Arnaldi has suffered four defeats in his last 10 matches.
- Arnaldi has played four more hours than Draper at Madrid.
- Five of Arnaldi’s last eight matches needed a deciding set.
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Our Jack Draper vs Matteo Arnaldi Prediction
Matteo Arnaldi has run his race at Madrid. He comes here having shocked one top-10 player already. His quest for another such win could be harmed by the fact that he has spent more hours on the court in Madrid.
A number of his recent matches have also gone the distance, and fatigue might be an issue. Coming with that concern to a game against in-form Jack Draper could mean one thing - potential defeat. Our prediction for Jack Draper v Matteo Arnaldi is for Draper to win in straight sets.
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When you place a bet on the match between Jack Draper and Matteo Arnaldi you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.
It does not matter whether you bet on Jack Draper or Matteo Arnaldi , if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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