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17 November 2023 - 14:45 

- Day 9

Europe - Euro

Italy
VS
North Macedonia

Prediction :

Over 2.5

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Italy vs North Macedonia Prediction & Betting Tips - Euro

 by Devesh Jaganath | in Euro Prediction

Italy and North Macedonia will face off in the hotly-contested Group C of the Euro Qualifiers on Friday. The hosts are currently in third place, while the visitors are one spot below them. England and Ukraine lead the group, while Malta are the bottom side. Italy are assured a playoff spot, having won their group at the Nations League last year. Still, they will not want to leave anything to chance and will want to get into the top two spots in their last two games of this competition. The Blues come into this match off the back of a 3-1 loss to England last month. That result ended a four-match unbeaten run and left them on ten points after six matches. The hosts trail Ukraine by three points and are six behind England. The reverse fixture between these sides ended 1-1, but the Italians will be determined to claim all three points this time on their home patch. Italy have lost only once in their last five matches at home and are strong favourites to secure another victory here. 

Meanwhile, North Macedonia have kept themselves in contention for a qualification spot, but a loss here will see them exit the competition. They have recorded two wins, one draw, and three losses in their six matches, leaving them on seven points with two games left to play. However, even if they win this match, they could still be knocked out if Ukraine get a draw or better in their final group match against Italy next Monday. The Lynxes were beaten by Ukraine 2-0 in their last match in this competition but bounced back with a 3-1 friendly victory over Armenia last month. They will need to bring the same type of form into this match, though it will be difficult away to the formidable Italians. The visitors have lost four of their last five matches on the road and conceded 12 goals in that time while only scoring two. All indicators suggest they will struggle to get anything from this one.

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The Best Betting Odds for Italy v North Macedonia Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.13 8.5 21
NetBet
1.1 8.5 22
Check all Italy vs North Macedonia odds
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Who will win the Italy vs North Macedonia Football match?


The best predictions and winner betting odds for the match between Italy and North Macedonia of Euro on 11/17/23 :

  • There is a probability of 58.09% ⭐ for Italy to win this match against North Macedonia ⚽ with odds of 1.13 found at Bet365.
  • Bet365 ⭐ has the best odds for a draw prediction ⚽️ at 8.5 which implies a probability of 20.32%.
  • Currently, the best odds ⭐ for North Macedonia to win the match are about 22 at NetBet. That means a probability of 21.6%.

Italy - North Macedonia Prediction and Best Odds:

Italy vs North Macedonia prediction

Win Probability

Best Odds
Italy  is favoured to win58.09 %1.13
Draw20.32 %8.5
North Macedonia wins the game21.6 %22

Italy vs North Macedonia Form

Italy and North Macedonia's standings in the Euro

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
Italy
Italy
14 8 4 2 2 7
4
North Macedonia
North Macedonia
8 8 2 2 4 -10

Italy and North Macedonia Last Matches

Italy
Italy Last matches
L W D W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
3.5
BTTS
83%
Goals scored
2
Goals conceded
1.5
Over 2.5
83%
Under 2.5
17%

17 Oct 2023 - Euro

England
3 :  1
Italy

14 Oct 2023 - Euro

Italy
4 :  0
Malta

12 Sep 2023 - Euro

Italy
2 :  1
Ukraine

9 Sep 2023 - Euro

North Macedonia
1 :  1
Italy

18 Jun 2023 - UEFA Nations League

Netherlands
2 :  3
Italy

15 Jun 2023 - UEFA Nations League

Spain
2 :  1
Italy
North Macedonia
North Macedonia Last matches
W L L D W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
3.67
BTTS
50%
Goals scored
1.33
Goals conceded
2.33
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%

17 Oct 2023 - International Friendlies

North Macedonia
3 :  1
Armenia

14 Oct 2023 - Euro

Ukraine
2 :  0
North Macedonia

12 Sep 2023 - Euro

Malta
0 :  2
North Macedonia

9 Sep 2023 - Euro

North Macedonia
1 :  1
Italy

19 Jun 2023 - Euro

England
7 :  0
North Macedonia

16 Jun 2023 - Euro

North Macedonia
2 :  3
Ukraine

Italy against North Macedonia : Head to Head (H2H)

Italy

25 %

Draw

50 %

North Macedonia

25 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
2.5
BTTS
75%
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.25
Goals scored (Team 2)
1.25
Over 2.5
25%
Under 2.5
75%

9 Sep 2023 - Euro

North Macedonia
1 :  1
Italy

24 Mar 2022 - World Cup

Italy
0 :  1
North Macedonia

6 Oct 2017 - World Cup

Italy
1 :  1
North Macedonia

9 Oct 2016 - World Cup

North Macedonia
2 :  3
Italy
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Italy against North Macedonia Lineups: Starting 11

Italy

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
G. Donnarumma
13
M. Darmian
4
F. Gatti
15
F. Acerbi
3
F. Dimarco
18
N. Barella
8
Jorginho
7
G. Bonaventura
11
D. Berardi
11
G. Raspadori
14
F. Chiesa
20
B. Miovski
7
E. Elmas
10
E. Bardhi
8
E. Alioski
5
A. Ademi
17
A. Elezi
13
B. Dimovski
6
V. Musliu
4
N. Serafimov
15
J. Manev
1
S. Dimitrievski

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

North Macedonia

Missing players

Italy
Italy
Goalkeeper

I. Provedel

North Macedonia
North Macedonia
Midfielder

E. Elmas

Italy - North Macedonia Key Points

  1. Seven of Italy’s last ten matches have ended with over 2.5 goals scored
  2. Italy have scored two or more goals in three of their last five home matches
  3. Italy have only kept one clean sheet in their last six games
  4. North Macedonia have conceded two or more goals in three of their last five away matches
  5. North Macedonia are averaging above two goals conceded per match in this competition
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Our Italy vs North Macedonia Prediction

Italy are one of the shortest-priced favourites for the day and could move into second place in the group with a win here. The visitors have to win this match to stay alive in the competition, but we feel that they will struggle to contain the Italians on their home patch. Therefore, our Italy vs North Macedonia prediction: Over 2.5.

Prediction :

Over 2.5

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Italy vs North Macedonia Prediction

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