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Italy vs Australia Prediction & Betting Tips - Test Matches

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Italy
08/11/2025 12:40
Australia

Prediction :

 

Australia -8.5 handicap points

 
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 by Ita Emmanuel | in Rugby Predictions

World No. 7 Australia will travel to face 10th-ranked Italy in their 2025 Tour of the Northern Hemisphere on Saturday. Can the Wallabies return to winning ways against the Blues after their defeat to England? Here is our prediction for the clash. 

Australia lost both halves, conceding 15 unanswered points in the second half, and ultimately fell 25-7 to England in their opening test in the 2025 Tour of the Northern Hemisphere. This result saw Joe Schmidt's side record their fourth defeat in five tests dating back to their Rugby Championship loss to Argentina in September. 

However, the Wallabies have won seven of their last nine tests against lower-ranked opponents dating back to the 2023 Rugby World Cup, including two of their last three away tests against such teams. 

Italy enters this match with two consecutive defeats – the most recent of which was a 45-0 shutout defeat to World No. 1 South Africa. The last time the Blues defeated a higher-ranked team was in the 2024 Six Nations clash against Scotland.

They have lost their subsequent eight tests against higher-ranked sides since then. These include four consecutive home defeats – the most recent of which was a 22-17 loss to Ireland in March 2025. 

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The Best Betting Odds for Italy v Australia Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
William Hill
4 26 1.25
Betway
3.5 26 1.35
Ladbrokes
3.75 26 1.28
Unibet
3.55 29 1.32
NetBet
3.15 22 1.29
Check all Italy vs Australia odds

Italy vs Australia Form

Italy and Australia Last Matches

Italy
Italy Last matches
W L L L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

12 Jul 2025 - Test Matches

South Africa
45 :  0
Italy

5 Jul 2025 - Test Matches

South Africa
42 :  24
Italy

15 Mar 2025 - Six Nations

Italy
17 :  22
Ireland

9 Mar 2025 - Six Nations

England
47 :  24
Italy

23 Feb 2025 - Six Nations

Italy
24 :  73
France

8 Feb 2025 - Six Nations

Italy
22 :  15
Wales
L W L W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

15 Mar 2025 - Six Nations

Italy
17 :  22
Ireland

23 Feb 2025 - Six Nations

Italy
24 :  73
France

8 Feb 2025 - Six Nations

Italy
22 :  15
Wales

23 Nov 2024 - Test Matches

Italy
11 :  29
New Zealand

17 Nov 2024 - Test Matches

Italy
20 :  17
Georgia

9 Nov 2024 - Test Matches

Italy
18 :  50
Argentina
W W L L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

12 Jul 2025 - Test Matches

South Africa
45 :  0
Italy

5 Jul 2025 - Test Matches

South Africa
42 :  24
Italy

9 Mar 2025 - Six Nations

England
47 :  24
Italy

1 Feb 2025 - Six Nations

Scotland
31 :  19
Italy

16 Mar 2024 - Six Nations

Wales
21 :  24
Italy

25 Feb 2024 - Six Nations

France
13 :  13
Italy
Australia
Australia Last matches
W L L L W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

1 Nov 2025 - Test Matches

England
25 :  7
Australia

25 Oct 2025 - Test Matches

Japan
15 :  19
Australia

4 Oct 2025 - The Rugby Championship

Australia
14 :  28
New Zealand

27 Sept 2025 - The Rugby Championship

New Zealand
33 :  24
Australia

13 Sept 2025 - The Rugby Championship

Australia
26 :  28
Argentina

6 Sept 2025 - The Rugby Championship

Australia
28 :  24
Argentina
L L W W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

4 Oct 2025 - The Rugby Championship

Australia
14 :  28
New Zealand

13 Sept 2025 - The Rugby Championship

Australia
26 :  28
Argentina

6 Sept 2025 - The Rugby Championship

Australia
28 :  24
Argentina

2 Aug 2025 - Test Matches

Australia
22 :  12
B&I Lions

26 Jul 2025 - Test Matches

Australia
26 :  29
B&I Lions

19 Jul 2025 - Test Matches

Australia
19 :  27
B&I Lions
L W L L W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

1 Nov 2025 - Test Matches

England
25 :  7
Australia

25 Oct 2025 - Test Matches

Japan
15 :  19
Australia

27 Sept 2025 - The Rugby Championship

New Zealand
33 :  24
Australia

23 Aug 2025 - The Rugby Championship

South Africa
30 :  22
Australia

16 Aug 2025 - The Rugby Championship

South Africa
22 :  38
Australia

30 Nov 2024 - Test Matches

Ireland
22 :  19
Australia

Italy - Australia Key Points

  1. Italy have lost their last eight tests against higher-ranked teams.
  2. Italy have lost their last four home tests against higher-ranked teams.
  3. Australia have won seven of their last nine tests against lower-ranked opposition.
  4. Australia have won two of their last three away tests against lower-ranked teams.
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Our Italy vs Australia Prediction

Australia are well-positioned to bounce back from their defeat to England in Saturday's clash. The Wallabies sit three places above the Blues and have dominated lower-ranked teams in their recent tests. Meanwhile, Italy have found results hard to come by against higher-ranked opposition, losing their last eight tests. 

Gonzalo Quesada's side are unlikely to secure victory against higher-ranked Wallabies, given their poor record against such teams. We are backing Australia to win by at least nine points. Our Italy vs Australia prediction is Australia -8.5 handicap points. 

Prediction :

 

Australia -8.5 handicap points

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Italy vs Australia Prediction

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