Ireland vs Japan Prediction & Betting Tips - Test Matches
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by Ita Emmanuel | in Rugby Predictions
Ireland’s 2025 Autumn Nations Series continues on Saturday against Japan in Dublin. Can Andy Farrell’s side bounce back against the Brave Blossoms after their defeat to New Zealand? Here is our prediction for the match.
Ireland began their 2025 Autumn Nations Series on a disappointing note against New Zealand in Chicago last Friday. Lock Tadhg Beirne saw a red card in the third minute as the Shamrocks surrendered a three-point lead in the first half to fall 26-13 to the All Blacks.
Despite the Chicago setback, Ireland will head into Saturday’s matchup brimming with confidence. Andy Farrell’s side sit 10 places above Japan in the World Rugby rankings and have won nine of their last 11 tests.
After their blowout victory over Tonga in the Pacific Nations Cup semi-finals in November, Japan have endured a grim-looking record in their next three tests. They have suffered defeats in each of those tests, including a heavy 61-7 loss to South Africa in their most recent match.
Moreover, four of their most recent five encounters with Ireland have ended in defeats. These include a comprehensive 60-5 loss in their most recent matchup.
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The Best Betting Odds for Ireland v Japan Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.01 | 51 | 26 |
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1.01 | 51 | 21 |
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1.01 | 50 | 12 |
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1 | 37 | 37 |
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1 | 45 | 45 |
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Ireland vs Japan Form
Ireland and Japan Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
1 Nov 2025 - Test Matches
12 Jul 2025 - Test Matches
5 Jul 2025 - Test Matches
15 Mar 2025 - Six Nations
8 Mar 2025 - Six Nations
22 Feb 2025 - Six Nations
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
1 Nov 2025 - Test Matches
8 Mar 2025 - Six Nations
1 Feb 2025 - Six Nations
30 Nov 2024 - Test Matches
23 Nov 2024 - Test Matches
15 Nov 2024 - Test Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
12 Jul 2025 - Test Matches
5 Jul 2025 - Test Matches
15 Mar 2025 - Six Nations
22 Feb 2025 - Six Nations
9 Feb 2025 - Six Nations
13 Jul 2024 - Test Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
1 Nov 2025 - Test Matches
25 Oct 2025 - Test Matches
20 Sept 2025 - World Rugby Pacific Nations Cup
14 Sept 2025 - World Rugby Pacific Nations Cup
6 Sept 2025 - World Rugby Pacific Nations Cup
30 Aug 2025 - World Rugby Pacific Nations Cup
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
25 Oct 2025 - Test Matches
20 Sept 2025 - World Rugby Pacific Nations Cup
30 Aug 2025 - World Rugby Pacific Nations Cup
12 Jul 2025 - Test Matches
5 Jul 2025 - Test Matches
26 Oct 2024 - Test Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
1 Nov 2025 - Test Matches
14 Sept 2025 - World Rugby Pacific Nations Cup
6 Sept 2025 - World Rugby Pacific Nations Cup
24 Nov 2024 - Test Matches
9 Nov 2024 - Test Matches
17 Sept 2023 - Rugby World Cup
Ireland vs Japan Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
28 Sept 2019 - Rugby World Cup
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Ireland - Japan Key Points
- Ireland have won nine of their last 11 tests.
- Ireland have won three of their last four tests.
- Japan have lost their last three tests, the most recent of which ended with a 61-7 defeat
- Japan have lost four of their last five meetings with Ireland, the most recent of which by 55 points.
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Our Ireland vs Japan Prediction
It's not a question of whether Ireland can bounce back against Japan on Saturday but by what margin. A significant 10-place gap separate the two teams in the World Rugby rankings and their recent results have justified the wide gulf between them.
Additionally, Japan have found results hard to come by against Ireland, with their most recent meeting ending in a heavy defeat. Overturning this poor record in Dublin will prove difficult for Eddie Jones’ men. We are not only tipping Ireland to win, but to do so convincingly. Our Ireland vs Japan prediction is Ireland -35.5 handicap points.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
