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by Devesh Jaganath | in NBA Predictions
We are back at the Toyota Center on Wednesday night for Game 5 of the NBA series between the Houston Rockets and Golden State Warriors. The Warriors beat the Rockets in Game 4 to take a 3-1 series lead. Let’s get into the match prediction.
The Houston Rockets will be kicking themselves after allowing two golden opportunities to level the series slip away, especially in Game 4 when they were neck-and-neck with GSW until the final few minutes.
On Monday, Alperen Sengun and Fred VanVleet combined for 56 points, 12 rebounds and 11 assists, but Sengun missed a clutch shot in the final seconds of the match, which cost them the game.
Back on their home court and with the series on the line, Houston will need to get back to what earned them the number two seed in the West - solid defence. They held the Warriors to under 100 points in the two previous games in the series at this venue.
Meanwhile, the Golden State Warriors will be extremely pleased with the 109-106 win on Monday, and for the first time in the series, it wasn’t Stephen Curry who had to carry the team.
Jimmy Butler top-scored with 27 points, including several key baskets down the stretch, Brandin Podziemski put up 26 points, and Draymond Green got a massive stop on Sengun at the end.
The Warriors' Playoff experience is starting to show, and with Butler back, Curry leading, and the likes of Green and Buddy Hield contributing, they are going to be a tough side to beat.
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The Best Betting Odds for Houston Rockets v Golden State Warriors Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.56 | 2.5 |
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1.53 | 2.45 |
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1.53 | 2.47 |
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1.62 | 2.37 |
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1.56 | 2.48 |
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Who will win the Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Basketball game?
Our prediction for the Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors match is: Golden State Warriors -4.0.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors game on 30/04/2025 of the current NBA season:
- Houston Rockets has a 45.74% chance to pick up the win against Golden State Warriors according to Tonybet ⭐ with the odds of 1.62.
- There is a probability of 54.26% ⭐ for Golden State Warriors to win vs Houston Rockets with odds of 2.55 at William Hill.
Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Form
Houston Rockets and Golden State Warriors Last Matches

1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
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Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
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Houston Rockets - Golden State Warriors Key Points
- The Warriors have won seven of their last 10 games against this opponent.
- The Warriors have won four of the last five games in which they were installed as underdogs.
- The Warriors have won nine of their last 10 away games against Western Conference opposition.
- The Warriors have covered the spread in seven of their last eight away games against this opponent.
- The Rockets have only covered the spread in two of their last seven games.
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Our Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Prediction
Every game from here on is as good as a final for the Rockets after letting Game 4 slip away, and it will be interesting to see how this young team handles that pressure against the experience of their opponents.
The Warriors came up trumps when it mattered the most on Monday, and the most impressive part was that they did so without needing Curry to bail them out. Additionally, they are getting key contributions from the likes of Podziemski and Hield, which makes them all the more dangerous. Our Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors prediction is Golden State Warriors -4.0.
If your team in the Houston Rockets and Golden State Warriors game takes a 20-point lead, you win!
If you want to place a bet on the moneyline in the Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors game, then bet365 is the place to do it. If the team that you have bet on takes a 20-point lead in the game, then bet365 will pay your bet out as a winner. If your team goes on to lose, you are still a winner.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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