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by Joseph King | in NBA Predictions
A Texas shootout is on Monday’s NBA card as the Houston Rockets host the Dallas Mavericks at the Toyota Center. The Rockets are seventh in the West standings at 3-2 while the Mavs come in sitting 14th at 2-4. Check out our match prediction below!
It’s not been a good start to the 2025-26 season for the Mavericks, who many had high hopes for after landing Cooper Flagg in the NBA Draft. Understandably, Flagg has struggled as he adjusts to the pro level.
The result has been the Mavericks losing four of their first six following their 122-110 loss to the Pistons in Mexico City. To make matters even worse for Dallas, they’ll be without their star player Anthony Davis who suffered a calf injury.
The Rockets suffered a tough start to the new season, losing their first two in a row against the Thunder and the Pistons. They’ve since bounced back in a strong way by winning the next three on the bounce.
Their last outing saw them blow out the Boston Celtics 128-101 on the road, which also marked their second straight road win. Houston has been putting up some big scorelines recently, averaging 134.7 points scored during their current winning streak.
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The Best Betting Odds for Houston Rockets v Dallas Mavericks Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 
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                                1.15 | 5.75 | 
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| 
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                                1.14 | 5.5 | 
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| 
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                                1.14 | 5.5 | 
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| 
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                                1.14 | 5.5 | 
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| 
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                                1.14 | 6.1 | 
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Who will win the Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks Basketball game?
Our prediction for the Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks match is: Rockets -12.5.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks game on 03/11/2025 of the current NBA season:
- Houston Rockets has a 59.74% chance to pick up the win against Dallas Mavericks according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 1.15.
 - There is a probability of 40.26% ⭐ for Dallas Mavericks to win vs Houston Rockets with odds of 6.1 at Unibet.
 
Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks Form
Houston Rockets and Dallas Mavericks's standings in the NBA
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 
                 
                    6
                     
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            0.667 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 
| 
                 
                    14
                     
             | 
            0.286 | 7 | 2 | 5 | -2 | 
Houston Rockets and Dallas Mavericks Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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14 Jul 2025 - NBA Summer League
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
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Houston Rockets - Dallas Mavericks Key Points
- The Mavericks will be without leading scorer Anthony Davis.
 - The Rockets have won their last three in a row.
 - Houston ranks second in adjusted net rating (+7.6) while Dallas ranks 24th (-3.0).
 - The Mavericks have the second worst record in the West at 2-4.
 
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Our Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction
After finishing second in the West last season, the Rockets have a real chance to once again finish in the top three seeds in the conference and the addition of Kevin Durant was a real statement of intent. The 37-year-old has been excellent so far, averaging 27.2 points per game on 55.1% shooting.
The Mavericks could be in for a long night here as they are without Anthony Davis, in addition to Kyrie Irving and Derrick Lively while Dante Exum is a doubt. Our Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks prediction: Rockets -12.5.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.