Heidenheim vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Heidenheim can still salvage their 2025-26 Bundesliga season with a win over Mainz, who have nothing to play for on the final matchday on Saturday in Heidenheim. This match between the 17th-placed FCH and the 10th-placed 05ers is likely to see the home side continue their recent improved form, so our prediction is a Heidenheim win.
With 26 points (W6, D8, L19), Heidenheim have the same points as the other two teams – Wolfsburg and St Pauli – in the relegation zone. Mainz have 37 points (W9, D10, L14) and can finish tenth at best.
A 3-1 away win at Koln last week continued Heidenheim’s revival, as they have lost only one of their last seven league games (W3, D3). That included two wins in their last three outings (D1), improving their chances of finishing in the relegation playoffs.
Those chances get a further boost from their home form, as FCH have won back-to-back home league games.
Mainz were beaten 3-1 at home against Union Berlin, which was their third defeat in the last five league games (W1, D1). The 05ers are guaranteed to finish in the mid-table, so there’s very little incentive for them to finish with a win here.
Mainz can be a pain on the road, though, as they are unbeaten in their last five league trips (W3, D2).
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Heidenheim v 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.94 | 4.2 | 3.45 |
|
|
1.82 | 4.4 | 3.6 |
|
|
1.92 | 4.26 | 3.34 |
|
|
1.8 | 4.33 | 3.6 |
|
|
1.82 | 4.2 | 3.6 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Heidenheim and 1 Fsv Mainz 05?
Our prediction for the Heidenheim vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 match is: Heidenheim wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/05/2026 between Heidenheim and 1 Fsv Mainz 05 in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 34.64% for a win of Heidenheim against 1 Fsv Mainz 05 with odds of 1.99 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Heidenheim vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 is 28.75% with odds of 4.42 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 36.61% chance ⭐ for a win of 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Heidenheim with odds of 3.85 at Tonybet.
Heidenheim - 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Prediction and Best Odds:
| Heidenheim 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Fsv Mainz 05 wins | 36.61% | 3.85 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.79% | |
| Both Team To Score | 59.17% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: 1 Fsv Mainz 05/1 Fsv Mainz 05 | 14.3% | 6 at Bet365 |
Heidenheim vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Form
Heidenheim and 1 Fsv Mainz 05's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10
|
40 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | -9 |
|
17
|
26 | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -31 |
Heidenheim and 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - Bundesliga
2 May 2026 - Bundesliga
25 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
19 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
11 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
11 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - Bundesliga
2 May 2026 - Bundesliga
19 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - Bundesliga
3 May 2026 - Bundesliga
25 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
19 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
16 Apr 2026 - Conference League
12 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - Bundesliga
25 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
12 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
9 Apr 2026 - Conference League
22 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
19 Mar 2026 - Conference League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2026 - Bundesliga
19 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
16 Apr 2026 - Conference League
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
15 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
Heidenheim vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
40 %
20 %
40 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
13 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
16 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Sept 2024 - Bundesliga
5 May 2024 - Bundesliga
16 Dec 2023 - Bundesliga
Heidenheim against 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 1 - 1
Formation : 3 - 3 - 2 - 2
Substitutes
D. Ramaj
DefenderO. Traore
T. Siersleben
MidfielderA. Beck
J. Niehues
L. Kerber
ForwardM. Honsak
C. Conteh
S. Schimmer
R. Zentner
DefenderA. Caci
D. da Costa
L. Maloney
L. Jae-sung
N. Veratschnig
S. Kawasaki
ForwardA. Sieb
N. Weiper
Missing players
L. Paqarada
ForwardS. Conteh
M. Kaufmann
D. Gleiber
ForwardB. Hollerbach
S. Katompa Mvumpa
K. Bos
Most goals and assists
Heidenheim
1 Fsv Mainz 05
B. Zivzivadze
(6 Goals)
N. Amiri
(12 Goals)
M. Busch
(5 Assists)
B. Hollerbach
(3 Assists)
,
D. da Costa
(3 Assists)
, 
S. Becker
(3 Assists)
Heidenheim - 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Key Points
- Heidenheim have won three of their last five Bundesliga games, losing only once.
- Heidenheim are unbeaten in their last three home league games, including two victories in a row.
- Mainz lost four of their last six competitive matches, winning only once.
- In the league, Mainz were beaten in three of their last five games, winning and drawing one each.
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Our Heidenheim vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Prediction
Mainz have nothing to play for, as they can’t finish better than tenth. Heidenheim, on the other hand, have so much to play for. With some impressive results in the last weeks, they have given themselves a shot at saving their season. Their best bet is to win here and move into the relegation play-off spot, and going by their recent improvements, that could be on the cards.
Heidenheim have improved at home lately, and that could continue with a win, so our Heidenheim vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 prediction is Heidenheim wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Heidenheim 1 Fsv Mainz 05
| Heidenheim vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim wins | 2.77 | 1.99 | -28.2% |
| Draw | 4.41 | 4.42 | +0.2% |
| 1 Fsv Mainz 05 wins | 2.34 | 3.85 | +64.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- 1 Fsv Mainz 05 is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 64.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 42.7% and is now 26.0% (-16.8%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
