Hailey Baptiste vs Jasmine Paolini Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
WTA - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
Eighth seed Jasmine Paolini and 30th seed Hailey Baptiste will play each other in the third round in Madrid. The winner of their second career meeting will take on Belinda Bencic or Diana Shnaider for a place in the quarter-finals. Read on for our prediction of the match.
Baptiste defeated Paolini in their very first meeting. Though this was before the Italian became a top 10 player, she has something to add as motivation.
Baptiste, competing in Madrid for a third successive season, defeated the wildcard Kaitlin Quevedo to begin her tournament. She won in straight sets and, as a result, has shot up three places to 29th in the live ranking.
Jasmine Paolini won when she was last paired up against Baptiste. This was on clay at Roland Garros two seasons ago. The Italian would go on to make the French Open final that year and will be hoping for a similar play of events in Madrid.
Paolini is having a disappointing season and is looking for some reprieve. Currently in seventh place in the live ranking, the 30-year-old has compiled a nervy 10-8 record.
She is yet to win more than two matches in nine events played. Paolini defeated Laura Siegemund in the last round.
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Hailey Baptiste v Jasmine Paolini Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
2.33 | 1.6 |
|
|
2.31 | 1.61 |
|
|
2.3 | 1.62 |
|
|
2.26 | 1.58 |
|
|
2.26 | 1.58 |
|
Who will win the Hailey Baptiste vs Jasmine Paolini Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Hailey Baptiste vs Jasmine Paolini match is: exact score: 1-2.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Hailey Baptiste vs Jasmine Paolini game on 25/04/2026 of the current WTA Mutua Madrid Open season:
- Hailey Baptiste has a 38.5% chance to win against Jasmine Paolini according to Melbet ⭐ with the odds of 2.33.
- Jasmine Paolini has a 61.5% probability of winning facing Hailey Baptiste ⭐ with odds of 1.65 at Betway.
Hailey Baptiste vs Jasmine Paolini Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Hailey Baptiste has a 38.5 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Hailey Baptiste | 38.5 % |
| Jasmine Paolini | 61.5 % |
Hailey Baptiste vs Jasmine Paolini Form
Hailey Baptiste and Jasmine Paolini Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
23 Apr 2026 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
16 Apr 2026 - WTA Rouen
14 Apr 2026 - WTA Rouen
1 Apr 2026 - WTA Charleston Open
25 Mar 2026 - WTA Miami
23 Mar 2026 - WTA Miami
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
23 Apr 2026 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
15 Apr 2026 - WTA Stuttgart Open
10 Apr 2026 - Billie Jean King Cup
22 Mar 2026 - WTA Miami
20 Mar 2026 - WTA Miami
10 Mar 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
Hailey Baptiste vs Jasmine Paolini Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
30 May 2024 - WTA French Open
Hailey Baptiste - Jasmine Paolini Key Points
- Paolini defeated Baptiste when they last met.
- Paolini has won over 200 matches on clay.
- Baptiste has suffered 10 defeats this season.
- In four outings on clay this season, Baptiste has lost twice.
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Our Hailey Baptiste vs Jasmine Paolini Prediction
Paolini is having a slow season and hasn’t been able to hit the heights that made her a top 10 player. Despite her struggles, we have her moving on to the next round at the expense of Baptiste. This is because the Italian is a clay court specialist and one of the top players on tour on such surfaces.
Paolini’s sole victory over Baptiste was also achieved on a clay surface. Our prediction for Hailey Baptiste v Jasmine Paolini is for the exact score: 1-2.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Hailey Baptiste vs. Jasmine Paolini game!
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It does not matter whether you bet on Hailey Baptiste or Jasmine Paolini, if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
