Africa - African Nations Championship
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by Kennedy Kechula | in African Nations Championship Predictions
Uganda will have another chance to save face at the 2025 African Nations Championship (Chan) when they meet Guinea. The tournament co-hosts Uganda will arrive for this game sitting bottom of Group C while Guinea are second. Let’s have a look at the match prediction.
Guinea, on their fourth appearance at this event, started off with a 1-0 win against Niger. In their last Chan appearance, Guinea managed to better their earlier performance which was reaching the semis and finishing fourth.
In 2020, they got to the semis and finished third. To mark this as a better tournament, Guinea will target getting to the final. However, with one win only in the last six matches, there’s need to improve.
As Guinea target improvement, so will Uganda be. This match comes at the height of their humiliating defeat by tournament favorites Algeria. The co-hosts’ matchday one outing was a nightmare, as they suffered a 3-0 defeat at the hands of the North Africans.
The three goals conceded mean Uganda hit rock bottom as they enter this game. The east African nation has managed just one win in the last five matches.
In their last meeting with Guinea, Uganda put a halt on Guinea’s dominance with a 1-0 win.
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The Best Betting Odds for Guinea v Uganda Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.45 | 2.9 | 3 |
|
|
2.5 | 2.75 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.45 | 2.75 | 3 |
|
|
2.5 | 2.7 | 3 |
|
|
2.5 | 2.87 | 3.1 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Guinea and Uganda?
Our prediction for the Guinea vs Uganda match is: under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/08/2025 between Guinea and Uganda in African Nations Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.09% for a win of Guinea against Uganda with odds of 2.5 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Guinea vs Uganda is 23.73% with odds of 3.03 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 35.18% chance ⭐ for a win of Uganda vs Guinea with odds of 3.18 at LSbet.
Guinea - Uganda Prediction and Best Odds:
| Guinea Uganda Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Guinea wins | 41.09% | 2.5 at Betfred |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.5% | 3.4 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 50% | 2.63 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Guinea | 22.58% | 5.8 at Unibet |
Guinea vs Uganda Form
Guinea and Uganda's standings in the African Nations Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
|
4
|
4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 |
Guinea and Uganda Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
7 Jul 2025 - International Friendlies
4 Jul 2025 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
20 Dec 2024 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
20 Dec 2024 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2024 - AFCON
12 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sept 2024 - AFCON
10 Jun 2024 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
7 Jul 2025 - International Friendlies
4 Jul 2025 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Nov 2024 - AFCON
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
15 Nov 2024 - AFCON
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
9 Sept 2024 - AFCON
10 Jun 2024 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
6 Sept 2024 - AFCON
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
Guinea vs Uganda Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
17 Nov 2023 - World Cup
Players list
O. Camara
DefenderB. Cisse
M. Diabate
K. Kouyate
MidfielderO. Drame
M. Bangoura
ForwardYarobo
L. Bangoura
A. Bangoura
Y. Gnagna
J. Mutakubwa
DefenderR. Torach Ochaki
H. Achayi
G. Kizito
H. Mukundane
MidfielderA. Watambala
A. Okello
E. Ssebagala
J. Sserunjogi
ForwardJ. Ssemugabi
R. Mpande
Substitutes
M. Camara
I. Keita
DefenderS. Sylla
MidfielderM. Camara
I. Sankhon
M. Youla
ForwardI. Camara
C. Kusiima
D. Kiggundu
DefenderN. Mwere
A. Odong
E. Ngonde
MidfielderA. Usama
ForwardI. Ahimbisibwe
P. Kakande
L. Bwambale
S. Kwikiriza
Guinea - Uganda Key Points
- Guinea’s last six matches had under 2.5 goals.
- Guinea failed to score in three of five matches.
- Uganda failed to score in three of their last five games.
- Six out of 10 of Uganda’s latest matches had under 2.5 goals.
- 11 goals were scored in the last five meetings between these nations.
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Our Guinea vs Uganda Prediction
These two nations meet for the second time this year. Uganda are looking to make it three wins in five in this fixture. Uganda, the Chan co-hosts started the tournament with a loss, and only a win can put things straight for them.
The loss to Algeria exposed Uganda’s attacking woes, and this has been a trend. In their last five matches, they failed to score three times. Guinea aren’t much better, though with a matchday one win, they will happily hold off the hosts. In their last five matches they scored just twice. Our prediction for Guinea v Uganda is for under 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Guinea Uganda
| Guinea vs Uganda | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guinea wins | 2.7 | 2.45 | -9.3% |
| Draw | 3.1 | 2.9 | -6.5% |
| Uganda wins | 2.55 | 3 | +17.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Guinea is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 9.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 37.0% and is now 40.8% (3.8%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Guinea vs. Uganda game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Guinea and Uganda? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's African Nations Championship! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
