Guinea vs Gambia Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
by Daniel Ngulu | in AFCON Prediction
Guinea will be up against Gambia on Match Day 2 of the 2023 AFCON, both nations looking to rise from opening day lows. In this Group C encounter, Guinea starts the day in third place and Gambia bottom. For up-to-date tips on this and all other matches at the tournament, follow our AFCON predictions page.
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The Best Betting Odds for Guinea v Gambia Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2 | 3.2 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.99 | 2.85 | 3.85 |
|
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Who will win the Guinea vs Gambia Football match?
The best predictions and winner betting odds for the match between Guinea and Gambia of AFCON on 1/19/24 :
- There is a probability of 50.85% ⭐ for Guinea to win this match against Gambia ⚽ with odds of 2 found at Bet365.
- Bet365 ⭐ has the best odds for a draw prediction ⚽️ at 3.2 which implies a probability of 16.27%.
- Currently, the best odds ⭐ for Gambia to win the match are about 4.2 at Bet365. That means a probability of 32.87%.
Guinea - Gambia Prediction and Best Odds:
| Guinea vs Gambia prediction | Win Probability | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Guinea is favoured to win | 50.85 % | 2 |
| Draw | 16.27 % | 3.2 |
| Gambia wins the game | 32.87 % | 4.2 |
Guinea vs Gambia Form
Guinea and Gambia's standings in the AFCON
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 |
|
4
|
0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 |
Guinea and Gambia Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Jan 2024 - AFCON
8 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
17 Nov 2023 - World Cup
17 Oct 2023 - International Friendlies
13 Oct 2023 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Jan 2024 - AFCON
20 Nov 2023 - World Cup
16 Nov 2023 - World Cup
10 Sep 2023 - AFCON
14 Jun 2023 - AFCON
28 Mar 2023 - AFCON
Guinea against Gambia : Head to Head (H2H)
24 Jan 2022 - AFCON
Guinea - Gambia: Form Analysis
Guinea are coming from a 1-1 draw with continental giants Cameroon and hope to improve on that here. In the contest against Cameroon, Kaba Diawara’s men took the lead early but could not see it out as the five-time champions pegged them back early in the second half. Guinea even had to finish the game with 10 men and missing some key players just about showed their fighting ability. That Match Day 1 performance should be enough to inspire the Syli Nationale’s confidence coming into this clash. Having lost just once in seven matches further strengthens Guinea’s placing as favorites here. They will however be looking to improve on the run of three wins in their last seven matches. Their 1-0 loss to Botswana remains the only time in 12 matches that they failed to score. Defensively, Diawara will hope to see some improvement, his team having managed just a clean sheet in the last five matches. Meanwhile, both teams scored in seven of Guinea’s last 10 matches.
After their flight ordeal heading to the AFCON competition, Gambia didn’t have a great start. They were thrashed 3-0 by cup holders Senegal and will be eyeing a better showing here. This is only Gambia’s second AFCON appearance but they get to face Guinea for a second time. In the 2022 edition, Gambia won 1-0 in an ill-tempered clash that had a player sent off for both sides. Like Guinea in their opening game here, Gambia also had a man sent off, making their mission against Senegal virtually impossible. That loss to the champions was Gambia’s third in a row and they have conceded at least twice in five straight games. In their last two matches, Gambia failed to score, a highlight of the poor run they carry to this game. They also failed to score in their last two AFCON matches but being against Cameroon and Senegal, that is understandable.
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Players list
I. Kone
DefenderA. Conte
J. Jeanvier
M. Diakhaby
I. Sylla
F. Conte
MidfielderA. Diawara
A. Toure
A. Camara
ForwardN. Keita
J. Kante
B. Gaye
DefenderS. Janko
J. Gomez
O. Colley
J. Mendy
N. Sonko Sundberg
MidfielderE. Darboe
A. Jallow
ForwardE. Colley
A. Fadera
M. Barrow
Substitutes
M. Camara
DefenderM. Camara
S. Sow
A. Conte
K. Cisse
A. Diawara
N. Keita
M. Konate
S. Cisse
ForwardF. Conte
J. Kante
S. Guirassy
M. Jobe
DefenderI. Touray
M. Sanneh
B. Sanneh
MidfielderH. Barry
Y. Bobb
N. Dawda
A. Manneh
ForwardA. Sanyang Bamba
M. Badamosi
Y. Minteh
A. Sowe
Missing players
I. Moriba
A. Toure
I. Jome
Guinea & Gambia Squad Analysis
Both Guinea and Gambia had a player sent off in the first half of their Match Day 1 encounters. Guinea will be without Francois Kamano for this game following his 45th minute red card against Cameroon. This will be a big blow for coach Kaba Diawara as he has other key men out with injury. In-form Serhou Guirassy will remain out with a thigh injury, as will former Liverpool man Naby Keita. Both players missed the opening encounter and it is now a race against time to have them on Match Day 3. The coach will be crossing fingers to not lose another player here. Meanwhile, Gambia, led by Tom Saintfiet will be without midfielder Ebou Adams who was sent off on Match Day 1. A key man to watch for Gambia will be Newcastle United’s Yankuba Minteh. The 19-year-old winger started in the last game and should be good to go again here.
Guinea - Gambia Key Points
- Both teams managed to score in seven of Guinea’s last 10 matches
- Guinea haven't managed a clean sheet in three AFCON matches
- In five of Guinea’s last six away matches, both teams managed to score
- Gambia have kept no clean sheet in their last five matches
- In three of Gambia’s last five matches, both teams scored in three
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Our Guinea vs Gambia Prediction
Guinea will come into this game as favorites and in their scoring run, we expect them to collect three points here. However, they will still have jitters with their defensive record, an area that Gambia will be keen to exploit. Our prediction for Guinea v Gambia is for both teams to score.
Guinea vs Gambia - Other Interesting Predictions
Under 2.5 goals
These two sides have a history of low scoring affairs at the AFCON finals. Gambia haven't scored in their last two AFCON matches, and only one of five has had over 2.5 goals. Basically, Gambia have never scored more than a goal in an AFCON match, having played six times at that level. With Guinea it is a similar case; in their last six AFCON matches, they haven't managed more than a goal a game. Meanwhile, four of their last five AFCON matches ended in under 2.5 goals. Away from AFCON, only one of Guinea’s last six matches had over 2.5 goals. It is on this backdrop that we expect another low scoring affair here, and we will go for under 2.5 goals as our second bet.
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Guinea vs Gambia match : Frequently asked questions
The 2023 AFCON game pitting Guinea v Gambia will be staged at the Stade de Yamoussoukro in Ivory Coast.
The 2023 AFCON game pitting Guinea v Gambia will be played on Friday January 19th starting 8pm GMT
The 2023 AFCON game pitting Guinea v Gambia will be live on SuperSport for African audiences and on Sky Sports in the UK. You can also follow the game and others at AFCON via Sportytrader.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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