Granada vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa del Rey
Spain - Copa del Rey
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Football Predictions
Granada and Rayo Vallecano will look to become the last team to get into the round of 16 of the 2025-26 Copa del Rey when they meet on Tuesday in Granada. This match between the second division side, the Nasrids, and the top flight club, Los Franjirrojos, comes with our prediction of an away win.
Granada’s best performance in this competition has been as a losing finalist in the 1958-59 season. They are looking to make it to the quarter-finals for the first time since the 2020-21 edition. Vallecano have never gone beyond the semis and are looking to make it past the round of 32 for the first time since 2021-22.
A 3-2 away defeat to Almeria in La Liga 2 last weekend continued Granada’s winless run (D2, L2) since they last won, which was in this competition. Their struggles are highlighted by their presence in the relegation zone.
To go with that, they haven’t dominated at home as much as they would have loved. Vallecano come here with a 1-1 draw at the weekend against Getafe to remain perilously close to the relegation zone.
The visitors had a great season in the Conference League, where they qualified for the round of 16 with four wins out of six (D1, L1). That should be an indicator of their strengths in cup competitions.
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The Best Betting Odds for Granada v Rayo Vallecano Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.7 | 3.4 | 1.96 |
|
|
3.5 | 3 | 2.05 |
|
|
3.5 | 3.2 | 2 |
|
|
3.8 | 3.3 | 2.06 |
|
|
3.6 | 3.4 | 2 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Granada and Rayo Vallecano?
Our prediction for the Granada vs Rayo Vallecano match is: Rayo Vallecano wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/01/2026 between Granada and Rayo Vallecano in Copa del Rey :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 26.67% for a win of Granada against Rayo Vallecano with odds of 3.9 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Granada vs Rayo Vallecano is 41.87% with odds of 3.5 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 31.46% chance ⭐ for a win of Rayo Vallecano vs Granada with odds of 2.14 at LSbet.
Granada - Rayo Vallecano Prediction and Best Odds:
| Granada Rayo Vallecano Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 41.87% | 3.5 at Tonybet |
| Under 2.5 | 54.21% | 1.8 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 54.17% | 1.95 at Betway |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 24.33% | 5 at Bet365 |
Granada vs Rayo Vallecano Form
Granada and Rayo Vallecano Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jan 2026 - LaLiga 2
21 Dec 2025 - LaLiga 2
13 Dec 2025 - LaLiga 2
7 Dec 2025 - LaLiga 2
4 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
29 Nov 2025 - LaLiga 2
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Dec 2025 - LaLiga 2
7 Dec 2025 - LaLiga 2
22 Nov 2025 - LaLiga 2
9 Nov 2025 - LaLiga 2
25 Oct 2025 - LaLiga 2
10 Oct 2025 - LaLiga 2
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jan 2026 - LaLiga 2
13 Dec 2025 - LaLiga 2
4 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
29 Nov 2025 - LaLiga 2
15 Nov 2025 - LaLiga 2
3 Nov 2025 - LaLiga 2
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
21 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
18 Dec 2025 - Conference League
15 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
11 Dec 2025 - Conference League
7 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
18 Dec 2025 - Conference League
15 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
1 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
9 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
6 Nov 2025 - Conference League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
11 Dec 2025 - Conference League
7 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
4 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
27 Nov 2025 - Conference League
23 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
Granada vs Rayo Vallecano Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
25 %
75 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
15 May 2024 - LaLiga
21 Aug 2023 - LaLiga
3 Apr 2022 - LaLiga
29 Aug 2021 - LaLiga
Players list
A. Astralaga
DefenderM. Lama
D. Hormigo
P. Serna
Flores
MidfielderS. Ruiz
M. Trigueros
R. Alcaraz
ForwardJ. Pascual
P. Saenz
J. Arnaiz
D. Cardenas
DefenderF. Lejeune
A. Ratiu
A. Espino
J. Vertrouwd
MidfielderO. Valentin
P. Diaz
I. Palazon
S. Camello
ForwardP. Chavarria
J. De Frutos
Substitutes
I. Garcia Chico
DefenderP. Haro
A. Sola
M. Lama
B. Diallo
MidfielderP. Serna
S. Ruiz
G. Akogo
ForwardJ. Arnaiz
J. Pascual
S. Faye
A. Molina
A. Batalla
DefenderP. Chavarria
N. Mendy
M. de las Sias
MidfielderI. Palazon
S. Gomez
O. Valentin
S. Camello
R. Nteka
J. De Frutos
Most goals and assists
Granada
Rayo Vallecano
J. Pascual
(5 Goals)
,
P. Serna
(5 Goals)
J. De Frutos
(7 Goals)
S. Faye
(6 Assists)
A. Garcia
(4 Assists)
Granada - Rayo Vallecano Key Points
- Granada lost two of their three recent games, drawing the other.
- At home this season, Granada could win just two of their ten competitive matches, drawing five and losing three.
- Vallecano won and drew two matches each in their last five games in all competitions.
- Vallecano won nine of their last 11 matches against Granada in all competitions, drawing two.
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Our Granada vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction
Last season saw Vallecano complete a season double against Granada, winning 2-0 here and 2-1 at home, both coming in La Liga. With the hosts now playing in the Segunda Division, this could be their only chance of playing each other. Vallecano wouldn’t want to go through the same fate as Getafe or Celta Vigo, who have been dumped by second-division teams in this round of the competition.
The challenge for Granada is their own home form, though, which has been middling at best. Our Granada vs Rayo Vallecano prediction is Rayo Vallecano wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Granada Rayo Vallecano
| Granada vs Rayo Vallecano | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Granada wins | 3.3 | 3.7 | +12.1% |
| Draw | 3.05 | 3.4 | +11.5% |
| Rayo Vallecano wins | 2.2 | 1.96 | -10.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have increased by 11.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 32.8% and is now 29.4% (-3.4%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Granada vs. Rayo Vallecano game!
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Try your luck on this year's Copa del Rey! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
