Gor Mahia vs Leopards SC Prediction & Betting Tips - Kenyan Premier League
Kenya - Kenyan Premier League
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Nella Wagah in Kenyan Premier League Predictions
The biggest match in the Kenyan Premier League will be staged this weekend as Gor Mahia plays host to AFC Leopards. This match will be staged at the Nyayo National Stadium, with five points currently separating the two rivals. Let’s have a look at the match prediction.
Gor Mahia will be looking to bounce back here. The former champions were shocked at home by APS Bomet in their last outing, losing 4-1.
That was their second defeat of the season, which halted their seven-match unbeaten run. They had posted six wins in that stretch, after only drawing with Ulinzi Stars.
AFC Leopards will hope to add to Gor Mahia’s woes with an away win in this fixture. They need that, having failed to win any of their last three matches.
The visitors played to a 1-1 draw with Kariobangi Sharks in their last outing, scoring for the first time in three games.
Fred Ambani's side is looking to end a 27-year wait for a league title this season, but that quest hasn’t started in the strongest fashion. They’ve only managed three wins in their opening nine games.
Leopards’ only defeat this season came in an away match, a shock 2-0 defeat at Mara Sugar. They are winless in their previous four meetings with Gor Mahia, losing twice.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Gor Mahia v Leopards SC Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.93 | 3 | 3.75 |
|
|
1.97 | 3.09 | 4.02 |
|
|
2.02 | 3 | 3.85 |
|
|
2 | 3.15 | 3.95 |
|
|
2.02 | 3 | 3.85 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Gor Mahia and Leopards SC?
Our prediction for the Gor Mahia vs Leopards SC match is: draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/12/2025 between Gor Mahia and Leopards SC in Kenyan Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.65% for a win of Gor Mahia against Leopards SC with odds of 2.02 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Gor Mahia vs Leopards SC is 39.31% with odds of 3.15 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 28.04% chance ⭐ for a win of Leopards SC vs Gor Mahia with odds of 4.02 at Melbet.
Gor Mahia - Leopards SC Prediction and Best Odds:
| Gor Mahia Leopards SC Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 39.31% | 3.15 at Tonybet |
| Under 2.5 | 63.84% | 1.78 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 56.25% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 18.61% | 4 at LSbet |
Gor Mahia vs Leopards SC Form
Gor Mahia and Leopards SC's standings in the Kenyan Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
69 | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | +28 |
|
2
|
64 | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | +16 |
Gor Mahia and Leopards SC Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
22 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
9 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
2 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
30 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
26 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
22 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
2 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
26 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
21 Sept 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
22 Jun 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
30 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
5 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
27 Sept 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
10 Sept 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
15 Jun 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
16 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
8 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
2 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
29 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
25 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
2 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
25 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
15 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
20 Sept 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
22 Jun 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
8 Nov 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
29 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
3 Oct 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
15 Jun 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
2 Jun 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
Gor Mahia vs Leopards SC Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
2 Jun 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
30 Mar 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
21 Apr 2024 - Kenyan Premier League
Gor Mahia - Leopards SC Key Points
- AFC Leopards are coming off two straight draws.
- Gor Mahia posted just two wins in their last 10 home games.
- The last two meetings between these teams ended in draws.
- AFC Leopards are winless in four matches against Gor Mahia.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Gor Mahia vs Leopards SC Prediction
Gor Mahia may have been affected by the lack of a stable home ground, as they don’t have a consistent run at home. They’ve managed only two wins in the last 10 games they hosted. Coming off a loss, they will be hard pressed to bounce back here.
AFC Leopards will not make it easy, with bragging rights at stake here. The last two meetings between these giants ended in draws, and we expect the same here. Our prediction for Gor Mahia v AFC Leopards is for a draw.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Gor Mahia Leopards SC
| Gor Mahia vs Leopards SC | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gor Mahia wins | 1.93 | 2.02 | +4.7% |
| Draw | 3 | 3.15 | +5.0% |
| Leopards SC wins | 4 | 4.02 | +0.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have increased by 5.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 33.3% and is now 31.7% (-1.6%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
