Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction & Betting Tips - NBA
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in NBA Predictions
The Golden State Warriors will be hunting for a win in their NBA game of the new year when they host the Oklahoma City Thunder. While the 1st-seed Thunder are back to their winning ways after recent slip-ups, GSW at home presents a challenge, especially with Curry’s form at the moment. See our best picks in this match prediction below.
Although the 18-16 Warriors are 8th in the West, they currently have the third-highest defensive rating (111.8), trailing only the Thunder and Pistons, who are 1st-seeds in both conferences. Golden State is now on back-to-back wins against the Hornets and Nets, and has also won five of its last six games for the first time this season.
GSW is now comfortably in the qualification playoffs zone (8th) and shows no signs of falling out. However, the real goal is building enough momentum to win an automatic playoff, which a win against the Thunder should provide.
Oklahoma, meanwhile, has now won three straight games against the 76ers, Hawks, and Trail Blazers after losing back-to-back games to the 2nd-seed Spurs. What was a comfortable lead at the top is now being threatened by San Antonio, which is responsible for three of OKC’s losses this season, including an NBA semifinal knockout.
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The Best Betting Odds for Golden State Warriors v Oklahoma City Thunder Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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6 | 1.14 |
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6 | 1.12 |
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6.4 | 1.13 |
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5.5 | 1.14 |
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6 | 1.12 |
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Who will win the Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder Basketball game?
Our prediction for the Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder match is: SGA scores 30+ points.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder game on 02/01/2026 of the current NBA season:
- Golden State Warriors has a 34.18% chance to pick up the win against Oklahoma City Thunder according to Bwin ⭐ with the odds of 6.5.
- There is a probability of 65.82% ⭐ for Oklahoma City Thunder to win vs Golden State Warriors with odds of 1.15 at Tonybet.
Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder Form
Golden State Warriors and Oklahoma City Thunder's standings in the NBA
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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1
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0.857 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 4 |
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8
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0.514 | 35 | 18 | 17 | -1 |
Golden State Warriors and Oklahoma City Thunder Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
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18 Dec 2025 - NBA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
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19 Jul 2024 - NBA Summer League
Golden State Warriors - Oklahoma City Thunder Key Points
- SGA has the 7th-highest offensive rating (122.9).
- Shai is second in points per game averaged so far (32.2).
- SGA has the fourth-highest usage percentage in the league (31.8).
- OKC has the fifth-highest offensive rating (118.8) and makes the second-most PPG (121.7).
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Our Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction
Although Golden State has a stellar defence and boasts the third-highest defensive rating (111.8) at the moment, OKC is operating on a different level. The Thunder beat GSW twice this season, scoring 126 and 124 points (way more than the 113.4 points the Warriors allowed per game).
And that's no surprise considering the 1st-seed Thunder are arguably the best offensive team this season. With SGA’s league-leading usage of 31.8% in that free-firing team, he should be on course to score 30+ points. Hence, our Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder prediction is that SGA scores 30+ points.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.