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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in NBA Predictions
The 1-8 Indiana Pacers have been abysmal this season, and may be on track to lose another game as they visit the Golden State Warriors. However, even if they are to lose, we don't expect a blowout as the desperate Pacers sure up their defense in search of their second win of the season. See our sharp pick in this Golden State Warriors vs Indiana Pacers match prediction.
For us, the best bet here is the +16.5 points handicap in favour of the Pacers. For one, only three of their eight defeats so far saw them lose by 17 or more points. And ironically, their only win for the season was against the Warriors, whom they beat 114-109 a week ago.
What's more, of the Warriors' ten games this season, they've only won one match while covering the 16.5 points spread. Then, when we turn to their H2H, we see that the Pacers have actually beaten GSW in their last four meetings and in seven of their last eight. And in their last 12 meetings, Golden State has only beaten the Pacers once while covering the 16.5-point spread.
We think the Pacers' string of losses has actually overvalued GSW’s winning chances in this game, thus creating a sharp betting opportunity in the points spread. We're taking the +16.5 points bet for the Pacers.
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The Best Betting Odds for Golden State Warriors v Indiana Pacers Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.15 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.14 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.17 | 5 |
|
|
1.13 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.15 | 5.8 |
|
Who will win the Golden State Warriors vs Indiana Pacers Basketball game?
Our prediction for the Golden State Warriors vs Indiana Pacers match is: Pacers +16.5 Points Handicap.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Golden State Warriors vs Indiana Pacers game on 09/11/2025 of the current NBA season:
- Golden State Warriors has a 65.79% chance to pick up the win against Indiana Pacers according to Betway ⭐ with the odds of 1.17.
- There is a probability of 34.21% ⭐ for Indiana Pacers to win vs Golden State Warriors with odds of 6.25 at Bwin.
Golden State Warriors vs Indiana Pacers Form
Golden State Warriors and Indiana Pacers's standings in the NBA
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
0.545 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 1 |
|
14
|
0.1 | 10 | 1 | 9 | -4 |
Golden State Warriors and Indiana Pacers Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
7 Nov 2025 - NBA
5 Nov 2025 - NBA
4 Nov 2025 - NBA
1 Nov 2025 - NBA
30 Oct 2025 - NBA
28 Oct 2025 - NBA
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
4 Nov 2025 - NBA
28 Oct 2025 - NBA
27 Oct 2025 - NBA
23 Oct 2025 - NBA
19 Jul 2025 - NBA Summer League
11 Jul 2025 - NBA Summer League
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
7 Nov 2025 - NBA
5 Nov 2025 - NBA
1 Nov 2025 - NBA
30 Oct 2025 - NBA
24 Oct 2025 - NBA
21 Oct 2025 - NBA
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
8 Nov 2025 - NBA
5 Nov 2025 - NBA
3 Nov 2025 - NBA
1 Nov 2025 - NBA
31 Oct 2025 - NBA
29 Oct 2025 - NBA
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
5 Nov 2025 - NBA
3 Nov 2025 - NBA
1 Nov 2025 - NBA
31 Oct 2025 - NBA
23 Oct 2025 - NBA
14 Jul 2025 - NBA Summer League
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
8 Nov 2025 - NBA
29 Oct 2025 - NBA
26 Oct 2025 - NBA
25 Oct 2025 - NBA
18 Jul 2025 - NBA Summer League
17 Jul 2025 - NBA Summer League
Golden State Warriors vs Indiana Pacers Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
83 %
1 Nov 2025 - NBA
10 Jan 2025 - NBA
23 Dec 2024 - NBA
22 Mar 2024 - NBA
8 Feb 2024 - NBA
5 Dec 2022 - NBA
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Golden State Warriors - Indiana Pacers Key Points
- Of their nine league games this season, the Pacers have lost eight, but only three defeats were by 17 or more points.
- In fact, the Pacers' only win was a 114-109 victory over the Warriors.
- The Warriors have only won one of their ten games so far with 17+ points.
- This bet has won in 11 of the last 12 games between the Warriors and Pacers.
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Our Golden State Warriors vs Indiana Pacers Prediction
The odds for GSW to win are mispriced in our opinion, so backing the Pacers not to lose by 17 or more points is our sharp pick. Yes, the Pacers have been horrible so far, with one win in their nine games this season.
But that only win was against the Warriors, and five of those eight defeats came with less than 17 points difference on the scoreboard. What's more, in their last 12 meetings, this bet has won for the Pacers in 11 games. Hence, our Golden State Warriors vs Indiana Pacers prediction is Pacers +16.5 Points Handicap.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
