Giro - Stage 5 Predictions & Betting tips - Giro d'Italia

Prediction published on 13/05/2025, 13:39 by Matthew Newman | Modified on 13/05/2025 at 13:49

Stage 5 of the Giro d'Italia is flat for the vast majority but late on there are some climbs in the last 30km. Only one of them is an official Cat Four but there are some short and sharp rises to consider ahead of making our prediction.

As has already been the case multiple times already at the Giro, in any sprint finish which involves any sort of uphill drag, the main man is Mads Pedersen. This is once more his type of finish and that means he is the main contender here.

It will be interesting to see just how hard the unranked climbs are late for the pure sprinters. Olav Kooij is the best of those but he does not enjoy the hills. If he makes it up them, he has to be a player despite a shock defeat in Stage 4.

Both Wout van Aert and Corbin Strong have finished runner-up to Mads Pedersen in a stage already. Van Aert will be hoping for the small climbs dropping the pure sprinters while Strong is one of those genuine sprint types.

Third in Stage 1 and Stage 3 was Orluis Aular. The Movistar team are set up more with the climbers in mind than trying to win sprint stages so it's to his credit he has been so competitive.

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Giro - Stage 5 - Giro d'Italia prediction key points

Stage 5 consists of 151km with a single categorised climb.
Lidl-Trek has dominated stages with late climbs so far, Mads Pedersen delivered perfectly to win both.
Two wins in the Giro already have moved Mads Pedersen into 5th in the UCI world rankings.
Although it is not categorised, there is a short climb as hard as 10% with 2.5km from the finish, this could be the defining point of the stage.

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Our Giro - Stage 5 - Giro d'Italia prediction

Although this is more of a sprint stage than a puncheurs one, the climbs in the last 30km are going to make it hard enough for the pure speed men to keep in touch with the stronger riders. With the Maglia Rosa to defend as long as possible, we expect that Team Lidl-Trek will be on the front of the peloton to make this as hard as possible on the sprinters and keep their man in front. Our Giro d'Italia Stage 5 prediction is a win for Mads Pedersen.

Prediction :

Mads Pedersen to win

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.