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29 May 2025, 07:00 

Giro d'Italia

Cycling

Giro - Stage 18

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Prediction :

 

Olav Kooij to win

 
$300 offered for betting!

Giro - Stage 18 Predictions & Betting tips - Giro d'Italia

 by Matthew Newman |

There are some early climbs on Stage 18 of the Giro d'Italia but nothing like those that have been crested in the past couple of days, nor those which are still to come. It is not a true sprinters stage but a long flat run to the line suggests that teams will be trying to set it up that way.

The issue is, after two very tough days, what sprinter still has it in the legs to get over the Cat 2 and two Cat 3 climbs to stick with the peloton? The two punchers are Mads Pedersen and Wout van Aert.

Pedersen has made hay on days with similar climbs, winning four stages of the Giro already. He is not an out-and-out sprinter like Olav Kooij but has more pace than the majority of the peloton. 

The job of Wout van Aert will depend on whether Kooij makes it over the three climbs in one piece. If Kooij is with the peloton, van Aert will be his lead-out man as when Kooij won Stage 12, if he isn't, van Aert will take over the hopes of Team Visma himself.

The likes of Kaden Groves, Casper van Uden and Corbin Strong will all have their chance if they make it over the Cat 2 climb. The sprinters teams are liable to control the pace over the climbs but they need to balance that with not letting a break get too far ahead.

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Giro - Stage 18 - Giro d'Italia prediction key points

  1. At 144 km long, Stage 18 is the second shortest non time trial stage of the Giro.
  2. The last 50 km are downhill or flat which should make it a stage for the speed men.
  3. Visma set things up perfectly in Stage 12 for Kooij and they have the advantage of being fully intact. Pedersen’s team are missing two riders, Groves's team is missing one.
  4. Even though he has just one win in the Giro, there is no getting away from Kooij being the top-ranked sprinter in the race.
$300 offered for betting! 

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Our Giro - Stage 18 - Giro d'Italia prediction

This is a stage where those who like to bet in running will have an advantage. If Olav Kooij makes it over the climbs, his team will have him in pole position to add to his Stage 12 win. If they don't then it is open season for the rest of the peloton. We have to form an opinion in advance rather than in-running but we have to stick to the fastest man in the race. Our Giro d'Italia Stage 18 prediciton is a win for Olav Kooij.

Prediction :

 

Olav Kooij to win

 
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