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by Devesh Jaganath in World Cup Predictions
The final matchday 8 clash on Monday evening in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Qualifiers will see Ghana play host to Mali at the Accra Sports Stadium. The Black Stars lead CAF Group I, while the Eagles are third in the standings. Let’s get into the match prediction.
After a poor few years by their lofty standards, Ghana are starting to find something like their best form again and are in pole position to qualify for the World Cup with 16 points after seven games.
However, the Black Stars endured a setback last week when they were forced to settle for a 1-1 draw against Chad after conceding the equalising goal in the final minute of regulation time.
Still, the hosts are unbeaten in their last five matches in this competition and scored two or more goals in four of those games. They have also won all three home matches, scoring a combined tally of 10 goals in those games.
Meanwhile, Mali trail Ghana by just four points, meaning if they win this match, it will blow the race for top spot in Group I wide open heading into the final two rounds.
The Eagles secured a commanding 3-0 victory over the Comoros on Thursday, marking their fourth consecutive clean sheet in these qualifiers.
Three of those shutouts came in their three away games in this competition. However, they were beaten 2-1 by this opponent when they met in the reverse fixture.
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The Best Betting Odds for Ghana v Mali Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.1 | 2.9 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.15 | 3 | 3.6 |
|
|
2.15 | 3 | 3.6 |
|
|
2.1 | 3 | 3.8 |
|
|
2.07 | 3.15 | 3.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Ghana and Mali?
Our prediction for the Ghana vs Mali match is: Ghana draw no bet.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/09/2025 between Ghana and Mali in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.49% for a win of Ghana against Mali with odds of 2.16 at Vbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Ghana vs Mali is 24.54% with odds of 3.18 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 39.97% chance ⭐ for a win of Mali vs Ghana with odds of 4 at Vbet.
Ghana vs Mali Form
Ghana and Mali's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
16 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
|
3
|
12 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
Ghana and Mali Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sep 2025 - World Cup
31 May 2025 - International Friendlies
28 May 2025 - International Friendlies
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
18 Nov 2024 - AFCON
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 May 2025 - International Friendlies
28 May 2025 - International Friendlies
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
18 Nov 2024 - AFCON
10 Oct 2024 - AFCON
5 Sep 2024 - AFCON
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sep 2025 - World Cup
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
15 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
9 Sep 2024 - AFCON
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sep 2025 - World Cup
5 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Nov 2024 - AFCON
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sep 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - AFCON
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
6 Sep 2024 - AFCON
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
3 Feb 2024 - AFCON
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
15 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
Ghana vs Mali Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
Ghana - Mali Key Points
- Ghana are unbeaten in their last five matches in this competition.
- Ghana have won all three home games in this competition and scored a combined tally of 10 goals in those matches.
- Ghana have won three of their last four matches against this opponent.
- Mali have failed to score in four of their last six away games across all competitions.
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Our Ghana vs Mali Prediction
Ghana would have been bitterly disappointed to squander their one-goal lead against Chad last week, especially since a win in that fixture would have given them some breathing room at the top of the Group I standings.
However, the Black Stars have still been very impressive in this competition, particularly at home, and we feel they will be able to overcome Mali’s well-drilled defence in this crucial matchday 8 clash. With favourable odds on offer, we will opt for the safety of our money back in case of a draw. Our Ghana vs Mali prediction is Ghana draw no bet.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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