Europe - Euro U21
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by Nella Wagah | in Euro U21 Predictions
The last of four quarter-final matches at the Euro U21 Championship is a mouthwatering one, as Germany U21 squares off with Italy U21. While Germany topped Group B, Italy finished second in Group A to set up this clash. Rivalries don’t get bigger than this, and we have the match prediction below.
These two nations have eight Euro U21 titles between them and have finished as runners-up a combined four times. Germany are gunning for a fourth title and their group stage performance presents them as favorites here.
They are the only quarter-finalists to have won all their group matches. Germany were also the joint highest scorers.
Meanwhile, Italy racked up the stats in an opposite department; only Portugal bettered them defensively. A rock-solid Italian side conceded only once but scored just three times, leading to a second-placed finish in Group A.
With such a run, Italy will expect to stand up to a German side that has not lost any of the last 18 matches. But they are a strong unit themselves, losing just once in the last 13 matches. Their low-scoring traits go beyond this competition.
Italy’s last two wins against Germany were identical 1-0 wins. However, Germany won the most recent of their meetings; 4-2 and 2-1 in 2022 and 2018 friendly matches, respectively.
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The Best Betting Odds for Germany -21 v Italy -21 Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2 | 3.4 | 3.7 |
|
|
1.9 | 3.6 | 4 |
|
|
1.85 | 3.25 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.3 | 3.5 |
|
|
1.85 | 3.65 | 4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Germany -21 and Italy -21?
Our prediction for the Germany -21 vs Italy -21 match is: Germany U21 wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/06/2025 between Germany -21 and Italy -21 in Euro U21 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.36% for a win of Germany -21 against Italy -21 with odds of 2 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Germany -21 vs Italy -21 is 17.51% with odds of 3.75 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.14% chance ⭐ for a win of Italy -21 vs Germany -21 with odds of 4.15 at BC Game.
Germany -21 - Italy -21 Prediction and Best Odds:
| Germany -21 Italy -21 Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Germany -21 wins | 50.36% | 2 at Bet365 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.51% | 1.93 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 45.83% | 1.67 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Germany -21 | 17.51% | 5.1 at Unibet |
Germany -21 vs Italy -21 Form
Germany -21 and Italy -21 Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jun 2025 - Euro U21
15 Jun 2025 - Euro U21
12 Jun 2025 - Euro U21
25 Mar 2025 - U21 Friendly Games
21 Mar 2025 - U21 Friendly Games
19 Nov 2024 - U21 Friendly Games
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Jun 2025 - Euro U21
25 Mar 2025 - U21 Friendly Games
15 Nov 2024 - U21 Friendly Games
11 Oct 2024 - Euro U21
26 Mar 2024 - Euro U21
22 Mar 2024 - Euro U21
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jun 2025 - Euro U21
15 Jun 2025 - Euro U21
21 Mar 2025 - U21 Friendly Games
19 Nov 2024 - U21 Friendly Games
15 Oct 2024 - Euro U21
10 Sep 2024 - Euro U21
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jun 2025 - Euro U21
14 Jun 2025 - Euro U21
11 Jun 2025 - Euro U21
24 Mar 2025 - U21 Friendly Games
21 Mar 2025 - U21 Friendly Games
19 Nov 2024 - U21 Friendly Games
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jun 2025 - Euro U21
24 Mar 2025 - U21 Friendly Games
21 Mar 2025 - U21 Friendly Games
19 Nov 2024 - U21 Friendly Games
15 Nov 2024 - U21 Friendly Games
15 Oct 2024 - Euro U21
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jun 2025 - Euro U21
14 Jun 2025 - Euro U21
10 Sep 2024 - Euro U21
25 Jun 2023 - Euro U21
22 Jun 2023 - Euro U21
31 May 2021 - Euro U21
Germany -21 vs Italy -21 Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
24 Jun 2017 - Euro U21
Germany -21 against Italy -21 Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Most goals and assists
Germany -21
Italy -21
N. Woltemade
(6 Goals)
T. Baldanzi
(1 Goals)
,
C. Casadei
(1 Goals)
,
N. Pisilli
(1 Goals)
,
G. Ambrosino
(1 Goals)
,
L. Koleosho
(1 Goals)
N. Woltemade
(3 Assists)
G. Wilfried
(2 Assists)
Germany -21 - Italy -21 Key Points
- Italy scored exactly one goal in each of their last five matches.
- Germany scored two or more in each of their last four matches.
- Germany are unbeaten in 18 matches, among them 15 wins.
- Italy won just twice in the last eight matches.
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Our Germany -21 vs Italy -21 Prediction
While these two nations come with incredible numbers from the group stage. We expect a defensive outlay from Italy to deal with the Germans’ attack. Dealing with a team that has three straight wins from the group stage places Italy at a disadvantage. It might also derail them that they aren’t a very outgoing side in terms of attack.
Germany, who are more expressive in that department, will come at them, and we expect the Germans to outscore Italy. Our prediction for Germany U21 v Italy U21 is that Germany U21 wins the match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Germany -21 Italy -21
| Germany -21 vs Italy -21 | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Germany -21 wins | 2 | 2 | 0% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.4 | 0% |
| Italy -21 wins | 3.25 | 3.7 | +13.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Germany -21 is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 50.0% and is now 50.0% (0.0%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Germany -21 vs. Italy -21 game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Germany -21 and Italy -21? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Euro U21! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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