Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
Parma and Genoa will both be hoping to overcome their early-season struggles when they clash in Serie A this Sunday. Parma enter the weekend sitting 14th and Genoa 19th. Read on to find our prediction for the match.
It is already turning out to be another difficult campaign for Genoa, who are still in search of their first league win. With only two points so far, Genoa are enduring their worst start to a Serie A season.
Much of this is down to their poor run-in attack, Patrick Vieira’s men having scored only three league goals. The picture is even grimmer considering none of the goals came at home. They are actually winless in six league games at home.
Parma are not so different from Genoa, only that they are placed much higher in the standings. Their problems in attack are also well documented, having scored just three in the opening six matches.
The visitors have posted one win so far but in their last outing failed to build on it, falling 1-0 at home to Lecce. This was their first loss across the last four games, but heading to an away game, there isn’t much to smile about.
They are winless in three away league matches, losing two. Parma have also lost three of their last five matches against Genoa.
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The Best Betting Odds for Genoa v Parma Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.25 | 2.88 | 3.75 |
|
|
2.38 | 2.88 | 3.6 |
|
|
2.2 | 3 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.3 | 2.88 | 3.6 |
|
|
2.15 | 2.95 | 3.8 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Genoa and Parma?
Our prediction for the Genoa vs Parma match is: Genoa to win and under 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/10/2025 between Genoa and Parma in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.61% for a win of Genoa against Parma with odds of 2.38 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Genoa vs Parma is 31.54% with odds of 3.2 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 21.84% chance ⭐ for a win of Parma vs Genoa with odds of 3.97 at 888Starz.
Genoa - Parma Prediction and Best Odds:
| Genoa Parma Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Genoa wins | 46.61% | 2.38 at Betfred |
| Under 2.5 | 56.16% | 1.96 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 40.42% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Genoa | 21.94% | 5.5 at Betfair |
Genoa vs Parma Form
Genoa and Parma's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
16
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -7 |
|
17
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -8 |
Genoa and Parma Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2025 - Serie A
29 Sept 2025 - Serie A
25 Sept 2025 - Coppa Italia
20 Sept 2025 - Serie A
15 Sept 2025 - Serie A
31 Aug 2025 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Sept 2025 - Serie A
25 Sept 2025 - Coppa Italia
31 Aug 2025 - Serie A
23 Aug 2025 - Serie A
15 Aug 2025 - Coppa Italia
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2025 - Serie A
20 Sept 2025 - Serie A
15 Sept 2025 - Serie A
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
24 May 2025 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2025 - Serie A
29 Sept 2025 - Serie A
24 Sept 2025 - Coppa Italia
21 Sept 2025 - Serie A
13 Sept 2025 - Serie A
30 Aug 2025 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2025 - Serie A
29 Sept 2025 - Serie A
24 Sept 2025 - Coppa Italia
30 Aug 2025 - Serie A
17 Aug 2025 - Coppa Italia
1 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sept 2025 - Serie A
13 Sept 2025 - Serie A
24 Aug 2025 - Serie A
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Genoa vs Parma Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
17 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
12 Jan 2025 - Serie A
4 Nov 2024 - Serie A
5 Feb 2023 - Serie B
3 Sept 2022 - Serie B
19 Mar 2021 - Serie A
30 Nov 2020 - Serie A
Genoa against Parma Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Missing players
E. Lysionok
MidfielderN. Stanciu
ForwardJ. Messias
E. Valeri
MidfielderJ. Ondrejka
ForwardM. Frigan
Most goals and assists
Genoa
Parma
L. Ostigard
(3 Goals)
M. Pellegrino
(4 Goals)
A. Martin
(2 Assists)
S. Britschgi
(2 Assists)
, 
A. Benedyczak
(2 Assists)
Genoa - Parma Key Points
- Genoa have two straight wins against Parma.
- Parma beat Genoa once in the teams’ last five meetings.
- Parma are winless in three straight league matches on the road.
- Parma’s six league matches have had an average of 1.6 goals.
- Genoa’s six matches in Serie A have so far had under 2.5 goals on average.
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Our Genoa vs Parma Prediction
Parma may have the favorites’ feel going into this game, but they have just one win in 16 away league games. They have also not posted the best results when facing Genoa in recent times. It doesn’t help a lot that they are struggling in attack.
Genoa are also poor in attack, which gives reason this could be a low-scoring match. Also, in light of their form against Parma, we feel Genoa might rise to the occasion here. Our prediction for Genoa v Parma is for Genoa to win and under 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Genoa Parma
| Genoa vs Parma | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa wins | 1.83 | 2.25 | +23.0% |
| Draw | 4 | 2.88 | -28.0% |
| Parma wins | 3.75 | 3.75 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Genoa is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 23.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 54.6% and is now 44.4% (-10.2%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Genoa vs. Parma game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Genoa and Parma? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Serie A! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
