Genk vs Malmo Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League
Europe - Europa League
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by Ita Emmanuel | in Europa League Predictions
Genk welcome Malmo FF to Cegeka Arena in this 2025–26 Europa League league-phase final round on Thursday. The Blue-White are 10th in the standings with 13 points, while Malmo FF are second from bottom with just one point. Here is our prediction for the match.
Genk sealed their berth in the 2025–26 Europa League knockout rounds following a 2–0 away victory over Dutch side Utrecht in their penultimate fixture last week. However, they have yet to complete the job, with a top-eight finish for direct qualification to the round of 16 still within reach.
Nicky Hayen’s side sit just one point outside the top eight and will look to boost their chances of breaking through with a win on Thursday. They drew 1–1 against Cercle Brugge KSV over the weekend in the Belgian top flight and have found the net in each of their last six competitive matches in all competitions.
Malmo FF are eliminated from the 2025–26 Europa League following a run of zero wins, one draw and six losses. This includes a 1–0 defeat to Serbian side Crvena zvezda last week. They have conceded in each of their seven 2025–26 Europa League league-phase matches and are unlikely to keep Genk at bay, with the hosts boasting a solid scoring record in the competition this season.
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Genk v Malmo Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.31 | 6 | 9.4 |
|
|
1.28 | 5.85 | 10 |
|
|
1.28 | 5.85 | 10 |
|
|
1.33 | 5.5 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.3 | 5.6 | 9.6 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Genk and Malmo?
Our prediction for the Genk vs Malmo match is: Genk score between 1–2 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/01/2026 between Genk and Malmo in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47.8% for a win of Genk against Malmo with odds of 1.33 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Genk vs Malmo is 22.32% with odds of 6.2 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 29.88% chance ⭐ for a win of Malmo vs Genk with odds of 10.7 at 888Starz.
Genk - Malmo Prediction and Best Odds:
| Genk Malmo Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Genk wins | 47.8% | 1.33 at Bet365 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.75% | 1.46 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 71.43% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Genk/Genk | 23.32% | 1.83 at Bet365 |
Genk vs Malmo Form
Genk and Malmo's standings in the Europa League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9
|
16 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +4 |
|
35
|
1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -11 |
Genk and Malmo Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
17 Jan 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
9 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Dec 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
19 Dec 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jan 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
9 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Dec 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
14 Dec 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
4 Dec 2025 - Belgian Cup
30 Nov 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
17 Jan 2026 - Jupiler Pro League
19 Dec 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
7 Dec 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
9 Nov 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
16 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
9 Nov 2025 - Allsvenskan
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
16 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Nov 2025 - Allsvenskan
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
27 Oct 2025 - Allsvenskan
23 Oct 2025 - Europa League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
1 Nov 2025 - Allsvenskan
18 Oct 2025 - Allsvenskan
5 Oct 2025 - Allsvenskan
2 Oct 2025 - Europa League
Genk against Malmo Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
B. Stevens
H. Van Crombrugge
DefenderJ. Ndenge Kongolo
Kayembe
K. Nkuba
Y. Sor
N. Sattlberger
R. Mirisola
K. Karetsas
A. De Wannemacker
ForwardJ. Erabi
A. Bibout
J. Dahlin
DefenderV. Ponnert Hidalgo
M. Olsson
MidfielderA. Palac
H. Bolin
A. Skogmar
O. Lewicki
E. Ekong
S. Soumah
E. Botheim
S. Haksabanovic
Most goals and assists
Genk
Malmo
D. Heymans
(4 Goals)
, 
Z. El-Ouadi
(4 Goals)
L. Johnsen
(1 Goals)
, 
O. Lewicki
(1 Goals)
,
T. Ali
(1 Goals)
K. Karetsas
(4 Assists)
T. Ali
(1 Assists)
,
O. Rosengren
(1 Assists)
,
K. Busuladzic
(1 Assists)
Genk - Malmo Key Points
- Genk have scored in three of their last four UEL league-phase matches.
- Genk have found the net in their last six competitive matches, scoring between 1–2 goals in five of those.
- Genk have scored between 1–2 goals in five of their last six competitive home matches.
- Malmo FF have conceded in each of their seven UEL league-phase matches this season.
- Malmo FF have conceded in five of their last six away matches in all competitions.
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Our Genk vs Malmo Prediction
Malmo FF are playing for pride on Thursday, having been technically knocked out of the competition. Notably, the Swedes haven't kept a clean sheet in their seven Europa League league-phase matches, underlining their defensive woes.
Genk have a lot to play for with an automatic ticket to the competition’s round of 16 still up for grabs. The Belgians are clear favourites to clinch this contest and have maintained a decent scoring record in their recent matches. Our Genk vs Malmo FF prediction is Genk score between 1–2 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Genk Malmo
| Genk vs Malmo | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Genk wins | 1.5 | 1.33 | -11.3% |
| Draw | 4 | 6.2 | +55.0% |
| Malmo wins | 5.5 | 10.7 | +94.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Genk is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 11.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 66.7% and is now 75.2% (8.5%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
