Wales - FAW Welsh Cup
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by Ian John in Football Predictions
Rodney Parade in Newport will host the 2025 Welsh Cup Final between Champions of Wales The New Saints and surprise finalists Connah's Quay Nomads. The Saints have enjoyed another stellar campaign in both league and cup as well as performing well in Europe earlier in the season. They are the big favourites to win the domestic double against a Nomads team that were forced into the relegation playoff section of the playoffs, as opposed to the Championship section. What will our prediction be for this intriguing domestic final match of the season?
There's no doubt The New Saints are the big favourites to win the cup and secure The Double. They won the Welsh League by 14 points from Penybont in the Championship Playoffs. In contrast, Connah's Quay Nomads finished below midway in the table and were forced into the relegation playoffs, finishing second in the bottom six to preserve their status in the division. Both teams have won all five games in the Cup, conceding just two goals, but The New Saints scored 33 goals in their five cup games, Connah's Quay managed just a dozen.
Coming into the game, The New Saints have won 14 of their last 15 league games, alongside their perfect cup record. That includes a 2-1 home win over Bala Town before a 3-1 away win over Haverfordwest in their most recent match.
Connah's Quay's form is less impressive as they are without a win in three, losing 2-0 at home to Barry Town, before drawing 1-1 with Aberystwyth Town in their most recent game.
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The Best Betting Odds for Connah's Quay Nomads FC v The New Saints Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8 | 5 | 1.29 |
|
|
7.5 | 5 | 1.28 |
|
|
8.44 | 4.75 | 1.33 |
|
|
8.44 | 4.75 | 1.33 |
|
|
9.75 | 5.55 | 1.25 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Connah's Quay Nomads FC and The New Saints?
Our prediction for the Connah's Quay Nomads FC vs The New Saints match is: The New Saints to Win and Both Teams to Score - Yes.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/05/2025 between Connah's Quay Nomads FC and The New Saints in FAW Welsh Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 30.6% for a win of Connah's Quay Nomads FC against The New Saints with odds of 9.75 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Connah's Quay Nomads FC vs The New Saints is 5.12% with odds of 5.55 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 64.28% chance ⭐ for a win of The New Saints vs Connah's Quay Nomads FC with odds of 1.33 at 1xbet.
Connah's Quay Nomads FC - The New Saints Prediction and Best Odds:
| Connah's Quay Nomads FC The New Saints Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| The New Saints wins | 64.28% | 1.33 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.72% | |
| Both Team To Score | 30.83% | 1.83 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time / Full-time: The New Saints/The New Saints | 28.86% | 1.85 at Ladbrokes |
Connah's Quay Nomads FC vs The New Saints Form
Connah's Quay Nomads FC and The New Saints Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2025 - Cymru Premier
13 Apr 2025 - Cymru Premier
29 Mar 2025 - Cymru Premier
21 Mar 2025 - Cymru Premier
15 Mar 2025 - FAW Welsh Cup
11 Mar 2025 - Cymru Premier
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Apr 2025 - Cymru Premier
15 Mar 2025 - FAW Welsh Cup
11 Mar 2025 - Cymru Premier
7 Mar 2025 - Cymru Premier
8 Feb 2025 - Cymru Premier
1 Feb 2025 - Cymru Premier
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2025 - Cymru Premier
29 Mar 2025 - Cymru Premier
21 Mar 2025 - Cymru Premier
22 Feb 2025 - Cymru Premier
16 Feb 2025 - FAW Welsh Cup
25 Jan 2025 - Cymru Premier
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2025 - Cymru Premier
11 Apr 2025 - Cymru Premier
29 Mar 2025 - Cymru Premier
22 Mar 2025 - Cymru Premier
16 Mar 2025 - FAW Welsh Cup
11 Mar 2025 - Cymru Premier
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Apr 2025 - Cymru Premier
11 Mar 2025 - Cymru Premier
8 Mar 2025 - Cymru Premier
15 Feb 2025 - FAW Welsh Cup
8 Feb 2025 - Cymru Premier
1 Feb 2025 - Cymru Premier
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2025 - Cymru Premier
29 Mar 2025 - Cymru Premier
22 Mar 2025 - Cymru Premier
16 Mar 2025 - FAW Welsh Cup
28 Feb 2025 - League Cup
21 Feb 2025 - Cymru Premier
Connah's Quay Nomads FC vs The New Saints Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
20 %
0 %
80 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
31 Dec 2024 - Cymru Premier
30 Oct 2024 - Cymru Premier
28 Apr 2024 - FAW Welsh Cup
21 Apr 2024 - Cymru Premier
8 Mar 2024 - Cymru Premier
Most goals and assists
Connah's Quay Nomads FC
The New Saints
R. Holden
(2 Goals)
R. Brobbel
(2 Assists)
Connah's Quay Nomads FC - The New Saints Key Points
- The New Saints have won four of the last five between the two teams.
- In five cup games, Connah's Quay have scored twelve goals. The New Saints have scored 33.
- Both teams have scored in four of the last five matches between the two teams.
- The New Saints scored 89 league goals compared to just 47 for Connah's Quay.
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Our Connah's Quay Nomads FC vs The New Saints Prediction
Our prediction for the Welsh Cup Final The New Saints vs. Connah's Quay Nomads are: The New Saints to Win and Both Teams to Score - Yes.
These two teams have had contrasting seasons. The New Saints are, once again, comfortable League winners, Connah's Quay survived through the relegation playoffs. Recent games between the two have been both close and have seen goals at ends, which makes backing the very low price win for New Saints with both teams scoring in the game a good option here.
Prediction :
The New Saints to Win and Both Teams to Score - Yes
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Connah's Quay Nomads FC The New Saints
| Connah's Quay Nomads FC vs The New Saints | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Connah's Quay Nomads FC wins | 9.5 | 8 | -15.8% |
| Draw | 5.5 | 5 | -9.1% |
| The New Saints wins | 1.22 | 1.29 | +5.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- The New Saints is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 5.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 82.0% and is now 77.5% (-4.4%)
Use the Connah's Quay Nomads FC vs. The New Saints game in an acca to gain up to a 100% bonus!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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