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by Daniel Ngulu | in World Cup Predictions
The biggest test in Ivory Coast’s chase for a fourth appearance at a FIFA World Cup awaits in Franceville. The African champions are set to travel to Gabon for what in the end could be the decisive match in Group F of the 2026 World Cup qualifiers. One point separates the two nations, and below is our analysis of the match as well as two predictions.
Hosts Gabon head into this game placed second. They have, in these qualifiers, their best opportunity to make a first-ever World Cup appearance. The Panthers have been to the apex of African football nine times and will feel a place among the world’s best is due.
That quest will meet massive resistance in the shape of Ivory Coast. The visitors arrive for the match looking to protect not just their lead but also extend their head-to-head advantage. Across the last decade these two have faced off six times, with Ivory Coast winning four.
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The Best Betting Odds for Gabon v Côte d'Ivoire Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.8 | 3.25 | 2.05 |
|
|
3.75 | 3 | 2.05 |
|
|
3.8 | 3.1 | 2.05 |
|
|
3.75 | 3.2 | 2.05 |
|
|
3.88 | 3.1 | 2.04 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Gabon and Côte d'Ivoire?
Our prediction for the Gabon vs Côte d'Ivoire match is: under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/09/2025 between Gabon and Côte d'Ivoire in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.29% for a win of Gabon against Côte d'Ivoire with odds of 3.88 at Vbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Gabon vs Côte d'Ivoire is 15.83% with odds of 3.25 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 40.88% chance ⭐ for a win of Côte d'Ivoire vs Gabon with odds of 2.08 at Betwinner.
Gabon vs Côte d'Ivoire Form
Gabon and Côte d'Ivoire's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
19 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15 |
|
2
|
18 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 10 |
Gabon and Côte d'Ivoire Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Sep 2025 - World Cup
9 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
18 Nov 2024 - AFCON
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
15 Nov 2024 - AFCON
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Sep 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2025 - World Cup
18 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
6 Sep 2024 - AFCON
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - AFCON
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2025 - World Cup
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - AFCON
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
6 Sep 2024 - AFCON
7 Jun 2024 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
15 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
Gabon vs Côte d'Ivoire Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
7 Jun 2024 - World Cup
Gabon - Côte d'Ivoire: Form Analysis
Gabon momentarily took leadership of this group last week, courtesy of a 4-0 away win in Seychelles. That was before Ivory Coast played Burundi. Now the Panthers have the chance to go top and stay there by their own terms.
Beating Seychelles moved Gabon to 18 points. It increasingly seems they will have a chance at the playoffs just in case they fail to finish top in this group.
Among the second-placed teams, Gabon rank highest. They, however, don’t measure up when it comes to matches against Ivory Coast. The hosts lost 1-0 in their first Group F meeting and fell 3-0 the last time they hosted the Ivorians.
Gabon are Ivory Coast’s biggest challengers in the chase for a fourth World Cup appearance.
Ivory Coast are the bookies’ favorites to collect three points from this match, and it isn’t hard to see why. They don’t just have the head-to-head advantage but are also the only undefeated side in this group.
The African champions have also not conceded a goal in this qualification campaign, and their run is inclusive of a 1-0 win at home against Gabon.
The Elephants have the mental edge, having only lost once in six meetings with Gabon. In their latest outing, Emerse Fae’s charges earned a hard-fought 1-0 win over Burundi and hit 19 points.
Another win here will push them even closer to a fourth World Cup appearance.
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Missing players
U. Mboula
ForwardU. Eneme-Ella
E. Latte Lath
Gabon & Côte d'Ivoire Squad Analysis
Passionate home support will be one of the major strengths for Gabon, but they bring a lot too in terms of player quality. Denis Bouanga scored three in the last game, and with that, edged ahead of Mohamed Salah as the top scorer in the qualifiers.
The LAFC forward is enjoying a good season and will target being the first to score against Ivory Coast in this group. Bouanga is proving a great replacement for the aging Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang.
In this game he will surely benefit from the support of Teddy Averlant and David Sambissa from the flanks.
An aging Gabon backline could find things tough against Ivory Coast’s youthful attack.
While Gabon have been fluid at home, they can’t afford any mistakes in the backline. Ivory Coast have a lethal attack coming up for this match.
A brand of youthful forwards, including Manchester United’s Amad Diallo and Sunderland’s Simon Adingra, will be on show. They won’t need a second invitation to isolate Gabon veteran Bruno Ecuele Manga as a weak point. The 37-year-old is experienced but might struggle in this match.
Another positive is Seko Fofana’s return to the team. His versatility means he helps defensively, while chipping in with important goals. The Rennes man has scored three times in the current qualifiers.
Gabon - Côte d'Ivoire Key Points
- Ivory Coast’s last eight away matches produced under 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in only two of Ivory Coast’s last 10 away games.
- At least one side failed to score in six of Gabon’s last 10 home outings.
- Gabon failed to score in their two home matches against Ivory Coast.
- Three of Gabon’s last five home matches produced under 2.5 goals.
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Our Gabon vs Côte d'Ivoire Prediction
Ivory Coast are the favorites to triumph here, but facing their biggest challengers in the group, in an away game, makes this a tough outing. We can’t rule out the significance of home support even though Gabon have struggled when hosting this match.Considering these factors and the two nations’ recent forms, we do not expect a high-scoring match.
In their last four home games, Gabon were only dominant against minnows Seychelles. On the other hand, Ivory Coast haven't managed more than a goal in their last six away matches. As such, our prediction for Gabon v Ivory Coast is for under 2.5.
Gabon vs Côte d'Ivoire - Other Interesting Predictions
Ivory Coast to win
Our second prediction will be for Ivory Coast to win this match. With history and form favoring the visitors, Gabon might suffer in this game. They are facing one of the toughest defences in these qualifiers, a team yet to concede after seven rounds. At the same time, Ivory Coast have dominated previous meetings with Gabon.
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Gabon vs Côte d'Ivoire match : Frequently asked questions
The Gabon v Ivory Coast match will be played on Tuesday, 9th September.
The Gabon v Ivory Coast match will be played at the Franceville Stadium in Gabon.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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