Freiburg vs Köln Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Freiburg will hope to make the most of their home form and win against Koln on matchday 19 as the sides jostle to be in the race for Bundesliga European qualification places. This match on Sunday between the eighth-placed ‘Breisgau Brazilians’ and the tenth-placed ‘Billy Goats’ comes with our prediction of a home win.
With 24 points from 18 matches (W6, D6, L6) Freiburg start this round five points away from the top six. Koln’s 20 points (W5, D5, L8) see them begin this round four points further behind.
A 1-0 home win over Maccabi Tel Aviv on Thursday in the Europa League was a welcome break for Freiburg. That helped them bounce back from a run of just one point in their last two league games (D1, L1).
Freiburg enjoy home conditions like no one and their run of seven wins from their last eight competitive matches here (D1) is a proof. Even in the league, they won four of their last seven home games.
Koln won 2-1 at home against Mainz last week to end an eight-game winless run (D3, L5). They still have work to do, as the visitors haven’t won consecutive matches in all competitions since the start of September.
Their away form has been indifferent too, as Koln lost three and drew two of their last five trips.
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Freiburg v Köln Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.04 | 3.75 | 3.7 |
|
|
2.01 | 3.7 | 3.5 |
|
|
1.98 | 3.62 | 3.66 |
|
|
2 | 3.7 | 3.5 |
|
|
1.96 | 3.6 | 3.6 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Freiburg and Köln?
Our prediction for the Freiburg vs Köln match is: Freiburg wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/01/2026 between Freiburg and Köln in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 59.01% for a win of Freiburg against Köln with odds of 2.05 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Freiburg vs Köln is 23.9% with odds of 3.79 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 17.09% chance ⭐ for a win of Köln vs Freiburg with odds of 3.82 at 888Starz.
Freiburg - Köln Prediction and Best Odds:
| Freiburg Köln Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Freiburg wins | 59.01% | 2.05 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 57.63% | 2.2 at Betway |
| Both Team To Score: No | 55.83% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Freiburg | 28.16% | 5.5 at Bet365 |
Freiburg vs Köln Form
Freiburg and Köln's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | -6 |
|
14
|
32 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -14 |
Freiburg and Köln Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
18 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
14 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
10 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
3 Dec 2025 - DFB Pokal
30 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
6 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
22 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
5 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
13 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
5 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
6 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
22 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
25 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
3 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
Freiburg vs Köln Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
17 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
31 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
4 May 2024 - Bundesliga
17 Dec 2023 - Bundesliga
29 Apr 2023 - Bundesliga
6 Nov 2022 - Bundesliga
5 Feb 2022 - Bundesliga
Freiburg against Köln Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
F. Muller
DefenderB. Ogbus
C. Gunter
J. Manzambi
N. Hofler
V. Grifo
C. Irie
J. Adamu
L. Holer
R. Zieler
DefenderC. Ozkacar
MidfielderI. Johanneson
E. Martel
D. Huseinbasic
S. El Mala
F. Schenten
Y. Niang
L. Waldschmidt
Missing players
P. Lienhart
MidfielderD. Kyereh
D. Heintz
T. Hubers
L. Kilian
J. Schmied
J. Simpson-Pusey
Most goals and assists
Freiburg
Köln
I. Matanovic
(11 Goals)
S. El Mala
(13 Goals)
V. Grifo
(4 Assists)
, 
J. Manzambi
(4 Assists)
,
M. Ginter
(4 Assists)
L. Waldschmidt
(4 Assists)
,
M. Bulter
(4 Assists)
Freiburg - Köln Key Points
- Freiburg won six of their last ten competitive matches.
- At home, Freiburg won seven of their last eight competitive games, drawing the other.
- Koln lost three of their last five Bundesliga games, winning just once.
- Koln were beaten in three of their last five away league games.
- Freiburg won three of their last five games against Koln, although losing the latest.
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Our Freiburg vs Köln Prediction
Koln won 4-1 when these sides last met on matchday two, and Freiburg will hope to avenge that result. Playing at home makes Freiburg a dangerous side, as they have won seven of their last eight matches at home in all competitions. Even in the league, three wins from their last four home matches make them a dangerous side for any visitor.
Koln may struggle to break through that record, as they couldn’t win any of their last five Bundesliga trips. That’s why our Freiburg vs Koln prediction is Freiburg wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Freiburg Köln
| Freiburg vs Köln | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg wins | 1.89 | 2.05 | +8.5% |
| Draw | 3.9 | 3.79 | -2.8% |
| Köln wins | 4.37 | 3.82 | -12.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Freiburg is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 8.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 52.9% and is now 48.8% (-4.1%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
