Fluminense vs SAO Paulo Prediction & Betting Tips - Brasileirão Serie A

Brazil - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
27/11/2025 18:30
SAO Paulo

Prediction :

 

Fluminense wins

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in Football Predictions

The 36th round of matches in the Brazilian Serie A will feature Fluminense taking on Sao Paulo. Fluminense, seventh in the standings, will play host to eighth placed Santos in the match at the iconic Maracana. We have the preview and a prediction below.

This match will play a huge role in determining Brazil’s representatives in the Copa Libertadores. Fluminense have the advantage in that respect, currently on a seven-point buffer ahead of Santos.

A win here will secure Fluminense’s slot at the Libertadores qualifiers and officially end any remaining bids for the same. A 0-0 draw with Palmeiras not only prolonged their wait but also saw them fail to score in three of their last five games. 

Sao Paulo snapped a three-game winless run with a 2-1 victory at home to Juventude last time out. While happy for the win, Sao Paulo will be concerned that their back line let in another goal.

They have now failed to keep a clean sheet in four straight outings, and in the last 10 they managed just three. The visitors have suffered five defeats in their latest nine matches.

It is worse on the road, Sao Paulo having managed only two wins in the last 11. While they have three wins in five against Fluminense, all those came at home. When traveling to Fluminense, they lost four straight.

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The Best Betting Odds for Fluminense v SAO Paulo Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.46 3.9 7
Betfred
1.53 3.75 6
William Hill
1.55 3.6 6.5
Unibet
1.56 3.7 6.5
Betway
1.5 4 6.5
Check all Fluminense vs SAO Paulo odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Fluminense and SAO Paulo?

Our prediction for the Fluminense vs SAO Paulo match is: Fluminense wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/11/2025 between Fluminense and SAO Paulo in Brasileirão Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 67.43% for a win of Fluminense against SAO Paulo with odds of 1.57 at Stake.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Fluminense vs SAO Paulo is 10.32% with odds of 4 at Betway.
  • Our prediction model gives a 22.26% chance ⭐ for a win of SAO Paulo vs Fluminense with odds of 7 at Bet365.

Fluminense - SAO Paulo Prediction and Best Odds:

Fluminense SAO Paulo Prediction Probability Odds
Fluminense wins 67.43% 1.57 at Stake
Under 2.5 63.35% 1.95 at Bet365
Both Team To Score 21.67%
Half-time / Full-time : Fluminense/Fluminense 30.66% 2.5 at Ladbrokes

Fluminense vs SAO Paulo Form

Fluminense and SAO Paulo's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
5
Fluminense
Fluminense
64 38 19 7 12 11
8
SAO Paulo
SAO Paulo
51 38 14 9 15 -4

Fluminense and SAO Paulo Last Matches

Fluminense
Fluminense Last matches
W L W D W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

22 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
0 :  0
Fluminense

19 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
2 :  1
Flamengo

9 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Cruzeiro
0 :  0
Fluminense

6 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
1 :  0
Mirassol

2 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Ceara
2 :  0
Fluminense

29 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
1 :  0
Ceara
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

19 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
2 :  1
Flamengo

6 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
1 :  0
Mirassol

29 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
1 :  0
Ceara

25 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
1 :  0
Internacional

16 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
1 :  0
Juventude

4 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
3 :  0
Atletico MG
D L L L D D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

22 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
0 :  0
Fluminense

9 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Cruzeiro
0 :  0
Fluminense

2 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Ceara
2 :  0
Fluminense

20 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Vasco Da Gama
2 :  0
Fluminense

8 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Mirassol
2 :  1
Fluminense

1 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Sport Recife
2 :  2
Fluminense
SAO Paulo
SAO Paulo Last matches
W W D L L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

23 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
2 :  1
Juventude

20 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Corinthians
3 :  1
SAO Paulo

8 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
0 :  1
Bragantino

5 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
2 :  2
Flamengo

2 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Vasco Da Gama
0 :  2
SAO Paulo

25 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
2 :  0
Bahia
L L W D L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

23 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
2 :  1
Juventude

8 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
0 :  1
Bragantino

5 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
2 :  2
Flamengo

25 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
2 :  0
Bahia

5 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
2 :  3
Palmeiras

29 Sept 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
0 :  1
Ceara
L W L L W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

20 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Corinthians
3 :  1
SAO Paulo

2 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Vasco Da Gama
0 :  2
SAO Paulo

19 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Mirassol
3 :  0
SAO Paulo

16 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Gremio
2 :  0
SAO Paulo

2 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fortaleza
0 :  2
SAO Paulo

21 Sept 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Santos
1 :  0
SAO Paulo

Fluminense vs SAO Paulo Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Fluminense

50 %

Draw

0 %

SAO Paulo

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1.33
Goals scored (home team)
1.17
Goals scored (away team)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

27 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
3 :  1
Fluminense

1 Sept 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
2 :  0
SAO Paulo

13 May 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
2 :  1
Fluminense

22 Nov 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
1 :  0
SAO Paulo

1 Jul 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A

SAO Paulo
1 :  0
Fluminense

5 Nov 2022 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
3 :  1
SAO Paulo

Fluminense against SAO Paulo Lineups: Starting 11

Fluminense

Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1

1
Fabio
2
S. Xavier
3
T. Silva
22
J. Freytes
6
Rene
8
M. Martinelli
90
K. Serna
35
Hercules
32
L. Acosta
17
A. Canobbio
9
Everaldo
14
G. Tapia
77
E. Rigoni
21
D. Bobadilla
45
L. Marques
20
Marcos Antonio
29
P. Maia
42
M. Gomes Viegas
16
L. Gustavo
28
A. Franco
32
N. Ferraresi
50
Young

Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2

SAO Paulo

Missing players

Fluminense
Fluminense
Defender

Manoel

Forward

G. Cano

SAO Paulo
SAO Paulo
Goalkeeper

Rafael

Defender

Wendell

E. Diaz

R. Arboleda

Sabino

Midfielder

Oscar

L. Santos

Rodriguinho

Forward

J. Calleri

R. Francisco

A. Silva

J. Dinenno

Ferreira

L. Moura

Luciano

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Fluminense
CD Huachipato SAO Paulo
Top Goalscorer
Colombia K. Serna (10 Goals)
Argentina G. Cano (10 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Brazil Luciano (10 Goals)
Best assists
Colombia J. Arias (6 Assists)
Best assists
Argentina E. Diaz (5 Assists)
Brazil Luciano (5 Assists)

Fluminense - SAO Paulo Key Points

  1. Fluminense are unbeaten in their last four matches.
  2. Fluminense have won four of their last seven matches.
  3. Sao Paulo are winless in three of their last four matches.
  4. Sao Paulo lost six of their last eight away matches.
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Our Fluminense vs SAO Paulo Prediction

The odds are heavily stacked against Sao Paulo coming into this game. The visitors carry a four-game losing run when playing away to Fluminense. In a match that could define the teams going into the Copa Libertadores next season, we expect an end-to-end attacking game.

Four wins in the last seven matches will offer Fluminense the confidence they need for this encounter. At home, Fluminense are unbeaten in their last eight matches, winning six. Our prediction for Fluminense v Sao Paulo is that Fluminense wins.

Prediction :

 

Fluminense wins

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Fluminense SAO Paulo

Fluminense vs SAO Paulo Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Fluminense wins 1.86 1.46 -21.5%
Draw 3.2 3.9 +21.9%
SAO Paulo wins 4.5 7 +55.6%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Fluminense is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 21.5% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 53.8% and is now 68.5% (14.7%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Fluminense vs SAO Paulo Prediction