Brazil - Brasileirão Serie A
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by Nella Wagah | in Football Predictions
A lengthy injury list will be one of the troubles Flamengo deal with in preparation for their home match against Atletico MG. Flamengo, placed second, will be targeting three points against their ninth-placed visitors. We have a prediction for the match below.
Flamengo have recovered well from their shock loss to Santos three matchdays ago. They’ve responded with back-to-back wins. Their latest was courtesy of a stunning second-half comeback to beat Bragantino 2-1.
In the last eight league outings, Flamengo suffered just one loss, and not at home. The last time they dealt with a home loss in the league was in October 2024.
Atletico MG will come into this match as the clear underdogs. Their recent form has been unimpressive, and results uninspiring. This will be another match in which they are expected to turn up, but the pressure might just be too high.
The visitors have suffered defeat in three of their last four matches. Their most recent was elimination from the Copa Sudamericana, then two of their last three league matches ended in defeat.
In four straight matches against Flamengo, Atletico are winless. They failed to score in the last two and conceded seven times in the earlier two.
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The Best Betting Odds for Flamengo v Atletico MG Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.48 | 4 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.4 | 3.75 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.44 | 4 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.45 | 4.2 | 7 |
|
|
1.45 | 4.1 | 8 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Flamengo and Atletico MG?
Our prediction for the Flamengo vs Atletico MG match is: Flamengo wins to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/07/2025 between Flamengo and Atletico MG in Brasileirão Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 61.97% for a win of Flamengo against Atletico MG with odds of 1.68 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Flamengo vs Atletico MG is 15.27% with odds of 4.21 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 22.76% chance ⭐ for a win of Atletico MG vs Flamengo with odds of 8 at Unibet.
Flamengo vs Atletico MG Form
Flamengo and Atletico MG's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
33 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 23 |
|
9
|
20 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 1 |
Flamengo and Atletico MG Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
20 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
16 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
12 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
29 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
24 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
12 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
29 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
20 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
16 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
1 Jun 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
16 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
24 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
25 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
7 May 2025 - Copa Libertadores
4 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jul 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
20 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
17 Jul 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
12 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
12 Jun 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
1 Jun 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jul 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
12 Jun 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
29 May 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
24 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
21 May 2025 - Copa do Brasil
15 May 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
17 Jul 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
12 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
1 Jun 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
18 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
8 May 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
Flamengo vs Atletico MG Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
13 Nov 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
10 Nov 2024 - Copa do Brasil
3 Nov 2024 - Copa do Brasil
3 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
29 Nov 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A
29 Jul 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A
Flamengo vs Atletico MG last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists
Flamengo
Atletico MG
G. De Arrascaeta
(11 Goals)
Hulk
(6 Goals)
G. De Arrascaeta
(6 Assists)
Hulk
(3 Assists)
Flamengo and Atletico MG Stats in Brasileirão Serie A
Flamengo - Atletico MG Key Points
- Flamengo are unbeaten in the league at home in 12 matches.
- Flamengo are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Atletico.
- Flamengo have the second-best home form in Serie A this season.
- Atletico failed to score in their last two meetings with Flamengo.
- Atletico lost their last two league matches.
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Our Flamengo vs Atletico MG Prediction
In terms of looking to bounce back, this will not be the match for Atletico MG to set such targets. They could still win as well, but heading into the game, their recent form doesn’t resonate with a side that can head to the Maracana and beat Flamengo in their current state.
Flamengo are the second-best-performing home team in Serie A. They are also the best defensive side in the league and are fresh from back-to-back wins. Our prediction for Flamengo v Atletico MG is that Flamengo wins to nil.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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