Fiorentina vs AC Milan Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

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Italy - Serie A

Fiorentina
11/01/2026 08:00
AC Milan

Prediction :

 

AC Milan wins

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula in Serie A Predictions

Fiorentina are looking to rise from their latest heartbreak when they host AC Milan this Sunday in Serie A. Both sides drew their midweek outings, which left Fiorentina second from bottom and Milan second in the standings. Read on to find our prediction of this match.

Fiorentina’s immediate ambition is to get out of the bottom three. That suffered in their last outing as they conceded a late goal to draw 2-2 with Lazio. It meant they come into this round three points adrift of safety.

Two straight wins in their latest home matches, however, will give home fans some hope. At home also, La Viola have failed to score just once in the league this season.

AC Milan are keen on completing a double over Fiorentina after their 2-1 away win in October. The Rossoneri extended their unbeaten run against Fiorentina to two matches with that win, though they’ve only lost this fixture twice in 10 meetings.

Heading into this game, they suffered a heartbreak of their own in a 1-1 draw with Genoa, a result that dented their title ambitions.

The visitors are now three points behind Inter Milan but will be looking to close in as Inter are facing Napoli this weekend. Milan will have all the reason to stay confident, having only lost once this season and being unbeaten away from home.

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The Best Betting Odds for Fiorentina v AC Milan Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
3.5 3.3 2.15
Betfred
3.5 3.4 2.05
William Hill
3.4 3.2 2.05
Unibet
3.55 3.25 2.12
Betway
3.4 3.3 2.15
Check all Fiorentina vs AC Milan odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Fiorentina and AC Milan?

Our prediction for the Fiorentina vs AC Milan match is: AC Milan wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/01/2026 between Fiorentina and AC Milan in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.81% for a win of Fiorentina against AC Milan with odds of 3.7 at 888Starz.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Fiorentina vs AC Milan is 23.55% with odds of 3.46 at 888Starz.
  • Our prediction model gives a 43.64% chance ⭐ for a win of AC Milan vs Fiorentina with odds of 2.2 at 888Starz.

Fiorentina - AC Milan Prediction and Best Odds:

Fiorentina AC Milan Prediction Probability Odds
AC Milan wins 43.64% 2.2 at 888Starz
Under 2.5 52.13% 1.95 at Tonybet
Both Team To Score 53.75% 1.76 at Unibet
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: AC Milan 17.11% 5.5 at Bet365

Fiorentina vs AC Milan Form

Fiorentina and AC Milan's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
AC Milan
AC Milan
39 18 11 6 1 15
18
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
13 19 2 7 10 -10

Fiorentina and AC Milan Last Matches

Fiorentina
Fiorentina Last matches
L L W L W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

7 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
2 :  2
Fiorentina

4 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  0
Cremonese

27 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  0
Fiorentina

21 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
5 :  1
Udinese

18 Dec 2025 - Conference League

Lausanne-Sport
1 :  0
Fiorentina

14 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  2
Hellas Verona
D L W L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

4 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  0
Cremonese

21 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
5 :  1
Udinese

14 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  2
Hellas Verona

11 Dec 2025 - Conference League

Fiorentina
2 :  1
Dynamo Kyiv

27 Nov 2025 - Conference League

Fiorentina
0 :  1
AEK Athens

22 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  1
Juventus
D L L L L D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

7 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
2 :  2
Fiorentina

27 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  0
Fiorentina

18 Dec 2025 - Conference League

Lausanne-Sport
1 :  0
Fiorentina

6 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Sassuolo
3 :  1
Fiorentina

30 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  0
Fiorentina

9 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
2 :  2
Fiorentina
AC Milan
AC Milan Last matches
W D L W W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

8 Jan 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  1
Genoa

2 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari
0 :  1
AC Milan

28 Dec 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  0
Hellas Verona

18 Dec 2025 - Italian Super Cup

Napoli
2 :  0
AC Milan

14 Dec 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  2
Sassuolo

8 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Torino FC
2 :  3
AC Milan
D W W D W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

8 Jan 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  1
Genoa

28 Dec 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  0
Hellas Verona

14 Dec 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  2
Sassuolo

29 Nov 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Lazio

2 Nov 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Roma

24 Oct 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  2
Pisa SC
D W L W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

2 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari
0 :  1
AC Milan

18 Dec 2025 - Italian Super Cup

Napoli
2 :  0
AC Milan

8 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Torino FC
2 :  3
AC Milan

4 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia

Lazio
1 :  0
AC Milan

23 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
0 :  1
AC Milan

8 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Parma
2 :  2
AC Milan

Fiorentina vs AC Milan Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Fiorentina

33 %

Draw

17 %

AC Milan

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.83
Total goals
83%
BTTS
1.33
Goals scored (home team)
1.5
Goals scored (away team)
83%
Over 2.5
17%
Under 2.5

19 Oct 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  1
Fiorentina

5 Apr 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  2
Fiorentina

6 Oct 2024 - Serie A

Fiorentina
2 :  1
AC Milan

30 Mar 2024 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  2
AC Milan

25 Nov 2023 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Fiorentina

4 Mar 2023 - Serie A

Fiorentina
2 :  1
AC Milan

Fiorentina vs AC Milan last Lineups

Fiorentina

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

43
D. De Gea
2
Dodo
15
P. Comuzzo
5
M. Pongracic
21
R. Gosens
8
R. Mandragora
44
N. Fagioli
27
C. Ndour
65
F. Parisi
91
R. Piccoli
10
A. Gudmundsson
10
R. Leao
11
C. Pulisic
33
D. Bartesaghi
12
A. Rabiot
14
L. Modric
19
Y. Fofana
56
A. Saelemaekers
31
S. Pavlovic
46
M. Gabbia
23
F. Tomori
16
M. Maignan

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

AC Milan

Missing players

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Defender

T. Lamptey

Midfielder

J. Fazzini

A. Sabiri

A. Richardson

Forward

E. Dzeko

AC Milan
AC Milan
Forward

C. Balentien

S. Gimenez

C. Nkunku

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Fiorentina
CD Huachipato AC Milan
Top Goalscorer
Iceland A. Gudmundsson (6 Goals) , 
Italy M. Kean (6 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
USA C. Pulisic (8 Goals)
Best assists
Italy N. Fagioli (3 Assists)
Best assists
France A. Rabiot (3 Assists)

Fiorentina and AC Milan Stats in Serie A

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
AC Milan
AC Milan
11%
Wins
61%
37%
Draw
33%
53%
Losses
6%
2.63
Total goals per match
2.39
1.05
Goals scored per match
1.61
1.58
Goals conceded per match
0.78
58%
Over 2.5
50%
42%
Under 2.5
50%
63%
BTTS
50%
16%
Clean Sheet
50%

Fiorentina - AC Milan Key Points

  1. Milan posted six wins in their last 10 Serie A matches.
  2. In their nine home league matches, Fiorentina lost five times.
  3. Fiorentina lost six times in their last 10 meetings with AC Milan.
  4. AC Milan have only lost once in the league this season, winning 11.
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Our Fiorentina vs AC Milan Prediction

In their away matches in Serie A, Milan haven't tasted defeat this season, and overall, they are unbeaten since matchday one. They are coming here off the back of three straight wins on the road, and among the teams they’ve beaten this season was Fiorentina.

The hosts’ only wins in the league so far came at home in the last two games they hosted. This run, they will be hoping lifts them against Milan. However, they haven't had a great run in this particular fixture over the past five seasons. Our prediction for Fiorentina v AC Milan is that AC Milan wins.

Prediction :

 

AC Milan wins

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Fiorentina vs AC Milan Prediction